Girona vs Almeria Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 8 November 2026
🔊 Almeria have moved to within one point of first place, but now face a serious test at Montilivi. Girona play attacking football at home and are looking to return to the play-off places. A home win would cut the gap between the sides to two points, while the visitors will have to show that their unbeaten run can survive a meeting with one of the strongest home sides in the Segunda División.
Girona are more dangerous at home
The last La Liga meeting on 14 January 2024 ended in a goalless draw. Almeria had 18 shots to Girona’s six but failed to score. Girona had a slight edge in possession, with 54%.
📊 In 14 official meetings, Girona have won seven times, Almeria four, and three matches have ended in draws. The difference is particularly clear at Girona's ground: five wins in seven games and 17 goals scored, compared with seven for Almeria.
Head-to-head statistics Girona - Almeria
Girona: home attack firing on all cylinders
Girona lost 0-1 away to Real Sociedad 2 in their latest Segunda match. After a goalless first half, they were reduced to ten men. Their opponents outshot them 14-8.
Girona are seventh with 21 points, having recorded six wins, three draws and three defeats. In 12 league matches, they have scored 22 goals and conceded 11, maintaining one of the best goal differences in the league. The hosts are particularly dangerous at Montilivi, where they have won four of their seven matches and scored 16 goals. Ten of those home goals came in the first half, while all six goals they conceded came in the second. Their last five league matches have brought two wins, two draws and one defeat, so strong home performances have yet to guarantee Girona a steady return of points.
Match Results: Girona
Almería: nine matches unbeaten
In their last Segunda match, Almeria led away to Eibar at half-time but drew 1-1. Eibar had more shots, 20 to 13.
Almeria are second with 26 points, just one point behind Castellón. In 12 matches, they have recorded eight wins, two draws and two defeats. Their unbeaten run has reached nine league matches, and the visitors have scored 23 goals in the league so far - the same number as the leaders. However, their away results have been less impressive: three wins, one draw and two defeats in six trips. In addition, Almeria have conceded five goals in their last three league matches - half their total for the season - pointing to emerging defensive problems.
Match Results: Almeria
Latest news
Girona
❌ David López is suspended after being sent off. Bryan Gil and Javier Bonar are recovering from injuries, while Jastin García's participation is in doubt.
Almeria
🚑 Rodrigo Ely and Nicolás Melamed are continuing their lengthy recoveries. Daijiro Chirino is training separately due to an ankle injury and risks missing another match.
Prediction for the 1st half
Girona start home matches particularly strongly, scoring before half-time in 5 of their 7 league games this season. On four of those occasions, the hosts went into the break ahead. Almeria have one of the most reliable defences in the Segunda, but have conceded noticeably more often in recent rounds. At Montilivi, the visitors will have to withstand pressure from a team who average 2.29 goals per home game. Even accounting for the strength of the opposition, Girona have enough chances to score in the opening 45 minutes. Bet: Girona Team Total Goals in the 1st Half - Over 0.5 at 1.76*.
Match Result Prediction
Almeria are unbeaten in nine consecutive league matches and remain one of the leading contenders for automatic promotion. During this run, they have learned to get results even when they cannot fully control a game. However, the visitors have won only half of their away matches in the current league campaign, so backing them for a convincing win is risky. Girona also rarely lose at home, with just one defeat in seven matches. Both teams are strong enough to prevent the other from gaining a decisive advantage. Our pick: Almeria to avoid defeat at 1.65*.
Corners Prediction
Girona are not among the league’s most prolific teams for corners won. The hosts average 3.75 corners per match, although that figure rises to 4.86 at home. Almeria allow opponents to take corners noticeably more often away from home - 6.5 per match on average - which poses a risk. However, Girona can turn attacks into shots without constantly relying on deliveries from the flanks. So even against opponents who concede plenty of corners, the hosts will not necessarily exceed their usual figures. We’re backing Girona Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 at 1.68*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Girona have scored 22 goals in 12 rounds and have failed to score only twice in the league. Almeria score even more often, averaging 1.92 goals per match. However, the visitors have conceded five goals in their last three rounds, losing some of their previous defensive solidity. Bet: Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.63*.
Safer Bet
Girona are strong going forward at home, where they have scored 16 goals in seven matches. The teams scored at least two goals between them in six of those home matches, with just one goalless draw. Almeria also have a productive attack, having scored 23 goals in 12 rounds. Even if the match unfolds cautiously, the two sides will find it difficult to completely neutralise each other’s strengths. Therefore, an open, high-scoring contest is not necessary for the required number of goals to be scored. Our pick: Total Goals - Over 1.5 at 1.23*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary between bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11.51%), 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.46%). Of these, 1-1 has the highest probability.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Girona and Almeria have strong attacks, but this meeting between direct rivals could be considerably more cautious than their usual matches. The hosts are particularly dangerous before the break, while the visitors are capable of withstanding pressure and getting back into the game after conceding. Almeria have conceded just ten goals in the league, and Girona defend fairly reliably at home, so a flurry of goalscoring chances is not necessarily to be expected. Both teams have the resources to score once, but may then focus on protecting the result. Correct score prediction: 1-1. Main bet: Total Goals - Under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Girona - Almeria
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