Napoli vs Bodo Glimt Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 20 October 2026
π Massimiliano Allegri has called on his side to turn their season around in European competition, but the team coming to Naples currently looks stronger than the hosts. Those words came after a defeat to Venezia in Serie A - the fifth loss in nine official matches this season. In the Champions League, Napoli have zero points and sit 32nd out of 36. BodΓΈ/Glimt, by contrast, have won four matches in a row and have already beaten Dortmund in the league phase (1-0). Can Allegri begin a turnaround against this opponent?
π We will update this prediction as new information about the teams becomes available. Check back just before kick-off so you don't miss any important changes.
Head-to-Head
π These two sides have never met in an official match, but Norwegian clubs are no strangers to Italian opposition. Glimt thrashed Roma at home and knocked Lazio out of the Europa League in 2025. Away in Italy, though, things have been different: in five trips since 2020, the Norwegians won just once in normal time. That one win, however, was a significant one - in February, Glimt beat Inter 2-1 at San Siro to advance to the Round of 16 of the Champions League.
Head-to-head statistics Napoli - Bodo Glimt
Napoli: shots without goals and defensive lapses
On Saturday, Napoli lost 1-0 to Venezia in Serie A, and that match exposed both of the problems affecting Massimiliano Allegri's side. They did have a penalty: Kevin De Bruyne struck it low, but goalkeeper StankoviΔ saved it. The only goal came from Akor Adams, who won his aerial duel with defender Amir Rrahmani. "It would have been better to take one chance and score, but the opposite happened," was Allegri's summary.
The manager himself acknowledges the defensive errors: "We have been making mistakes since the start of the season and we are being punished for them." They have proved most costly in the Champions League, where Napoli have lost both matches. Arsenal took three points from Naples after a Martin Γdegaard goal on 76 minutes. In Villarreal, the Italians went ahead almost immediately but conceded twice before half-time and once more late on.
Match Results: Napoli
BodΓΈ/Glimt: a spot in the next round and back-to-back clean sheets
BodΓΈ/Glimt began the Champions League league phase with a heavy defeat to Bayern, but bounced back in the second round. On 14 October, Kjetil Knutsen's side kept Dortmund off the scoresheet at home. The only goal came from a cross, finished by right-back Fredrik SjΓΈvold. The Norwegians now sit 24th - the last position that earns a place in the next round - and three points ahead of Napoli.
Glimt are managing two fronts for now. In the Eliteserien they lead the table with 56 points, level with their closest rivals Viking. On Saturday, Knutsen rested some of his first-choice players, but the team still won away at Ham-Kam and kept another clean sheet. The trip came at a cost, though: Ole Didrik Blomberg, who scored the first goal, was hurt in a challenge and left the field before half-time.
Match Results: Bodo/Glimt
Latest news
Napoli
β The hosts have a number of injury concerns. Allegri himself missed training on Sunday due to illness. David Neres is treating a minor hamstring strain picked up in Villarreal. Antonio Vergara is out for around six weeks with a calf injury sustained on international duty with Italy. Alessandro Buongiorno and Costantino Favasuli were not included in the squad for the Venice match. Alisson Santos is also a doubt after coming on as a substitute on Saturday and feeling muscle pain.
Bodo/Glimt
β Knutsen's main concern is Blomberg. If there is no ligament damage, the player could be available by Tuesday, but the manager feels it is too early to say. Hakon Evjen and August Mikkelson are both carrying injuries and have not been included in the squad for either of the Champions League matches.
Predicted Lineups
π Predicted starting XI for Napoli: Milinkovic-Savic - Rrahmani, Rafa Marin, Badiashile - Politano, Gilmour, McTominay, Di Lorenzo - Giovane, De Bruyne - Hojlund.
π Predicted starting XI for Bode/Glimt: Haikin - Sjovold, Gundersen, Aleesami, Bjorkan - Auklend, Berg, Fet - Blomberg, Helmersen, Hauge.
β½οΈ Goals prediction
Napoli have scored fewer than three goals in 19 of their last 21 home matches. This season they have only reached that mark against Frosinone. In the Champions League, Allegri's side have managed one goal in two matchdays, and that came from defender Rrahmani. BodΓΈ/Glimt have conceded more than two goals in just one of their last 10 matches, against Bayern. We are not expecting a third goal from the hosts. The bet is Napoli Team Total - Under 2.5.
π© Corners prediction
Napoli have taken at least four corners in 6 of their last 7 Champions League matches. Across their last 10 official matches, the Italians have delivered 52 corners, and on only two occasions did they take fewer than three in a game. Glimt's opponents have earned 27 corners in their last 10 matches, but 15 of those came from Bayern and Dortmund. Norwegian sides tend to sit back against stronger teams, and Napoli need a win on Tuesday. We expect the hosts to take at least three corners. The bet is Napoli Team Total Corners - Over 2.5.
π¨ Yellow cards prediction
Fewer than five yellow cards were shown in 14 of BodΓΈ/Glimt's last 15 Champions League matches. The Norwegians are a disciplined side: across their last 10 official matches, Knutsen's players received seven bookings while their opponents received 14. Over the same span of 10 matches for Napoli, referees showed a combined 24 cards to both teams, and only the match at Villarreal produced more than four. We are not expecting an evening heavy on bookings. The bet is Total Yellow Cards - Under 4.5.
π Player statistic bet
Glimt's central striker Andreas Helmersen was on the bench on Saturday and will come into this match fresh. In the Champions League he has started both games and has had two shots on each occasion. No one else in the squad has more shots in the competition this season. Napoli will be looking to make up for two defeats, which should give the visitors room on the counter-attack. We expect at least two shots from Helmersen. The bet is Helmersen Total Shots - Over 1.5.
π± Risky match bet
BodΓΈ/Glimt make fast starts away from home: in 12 of their last 13 away matches the Norwegians have scored before half-time. Napoli need a win, which means the hosts will push forward from the first minute and leave space for counter-attacks. The risk is genuine: at home, the Italians could pin the visitors back themselves, in which case the first half might pass without a Glimt goal. The bet is BodΓΈ/Glimt to Score in the First Half at 2.73*.
π― Reliable match bet
BodΓΈ/Glimt have not received more than two yellow cards in 15 consecutive Champions League matches. Across their last 10 official matches, Knutsen's side have not even picked up a pair of bookings in a single game. Against Dortmund they went through without a yellow card at all. Our bet comes in even if the referee shows the visitors two cards. The bet is BodΓΈ/Glimt Team Total Yellow Cards - Under 2.5.
π If the match does not go to plan
Our prediction rests on Glimt scoring and not losing. An early Napoli goal that the visitors fail to answer before half-time would be dangerous for them, as it would make it easier for the hosts to sit back. The chances of that happening are slim: Glimt have scored in the first half in 12 of their last 13 away matches. But if the Norwegians are still goalless at the break, in-play look at a Napoli win and a match with fewer than three goals.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
π Editorial Prediction
BodΓΈ/Glimt rarely lose heavily. They have been beaten by more than one goal only once in 31 matches - away in Munich. Napoli, for their part, seldom win by a comfortable margin either: in nine official matches this season, the Italians have won by two goals or more just twice. And Knutsen's side tend to take something from games more often than not - they have gone unbeaten in 23 of their last 25 matches. We expect Glimt to concede no more than one goal at worst, and possibly to take all three points. The bet is BodΓΈ/Glimt - Handicap +1.5. Predicted score: 1-2.
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Betting Tips: Napoli - Bodo/Glimt
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