Lens vs Como Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 4 November 2026

📊 Lens and Como will meet for the first time. Lens have won four, drawn one and lost five of their European matches against Italian clubs. None of those 10 games ended goalless, with the teams scoring 27 goals between them. Their first meeting with Como could be another open affair.

Lens have gone 12 matches without a clean sheet. Even Lyon and Paris scored at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis despite losing there. Como are a tricky opponent for a defence with that record: they have scored in 11 of their last 12 away matches. But the Italian side are vulnerable on the road too, with both teams scoring in seven of their last eight trips. We expect goals at both ends. The pick is both teams to score at odds of 1.48*.

There have been at least nine corners in six of Como’s last seven away matches. The teams took 16 corners in Florence this autumn and 15 in Frosinone. Lens should add plenty of their own: across their last 10 competitive matches, the French side have taken 64 corners to their opponents’ 36. Over the same period, Como have taken 53 and conceded 47. The hosts need goals, which should mean plenty of crosses and corner opportunities. We expect at least nine corners. The pick is over 8.5 total corners at odds of 1.57*.

More than two yellow cards have been shown in 13 of the last 20 competitive matches involving Lens and Como, with each team accounting for 10 of those games. Lens have picked up more bookings than their opponents over their last 10 matches, receiving 19 yellow cards to their opponents’ 12. The pattern is reversed for Como: they have received 17 yellows, while their opponents have picked up 20. Referees have shown 31 yellow cards across Lens’ last 10 matches and 37 across Como’s. The hosts need the points more, and we expect a fiercely contested midfield battle. The pick is over 2.5 total yellow cards.

Tasos Douvikas has scored in each of his three Champions League appearances. With Moise Kean injured, the Greek forward remains Como’s main attacking threat and started on Sunday. It was Douvikas who won the penalty against Venezia after defender Juan Jesus fouled him in the box. Lens, meanwhile, have conceded in 16 consecutive Champions League matches, a club record. We expect the Greek’s scoring run to continue. Our pick: Douvikas to score.

A Como win with Lens also scoring follows naturally from our prediction. Heavy defeats at the “Bollaert-Delelis” are rare: Lens have lost by more than one goal there just twice in their last 23 matches. They know how to respond at home, too, having scored twice against both Lyon and Paris. The risk is that Lens have scored only in Prague so far in the Champions League. But Como rarely draw a blank away from home, so a goal from the hosts need not stop the Italians winning. The bet is Como to win and both teams to score at odds of 3.55*.

Lens’s last eight matches have all featured fewer than five goals. Even the highest-scoring games in that run, against Troyes and Le Mans, produced just four goals apiece. The numbers are tighter at home: seven of Lens’s last eight home games have featured fewer than four goals. This bet wins with any scoreline featuring fewer than five goals, including 1-3. The pick is under 4.5 goals at odds of 1.22*.

The likely scenario is that Como score first, as they have in all three league-phase matches, and go on to win. An early Lens goal could change that: Como have conceded in the first half in seven consecutive away matches. That would leave the Italian side chasing the game and give Lens space to counter-attack. If Lens take the lead in the opening half-hour, the hosts to avoid defeat could be worth considering as an in-play bet.

*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers

📌 Editor’s prediction

Como have won five straight matches and lost just two of their last 18. Their only Champions League defeat came by a single goal in Rotterdam, while Lens have failed to score in their last two games in the competition. The hosts could get on the scoresheet: Como have conceded in eight consecutive away matches. But the visitors’ unbeaten run is longer, and we expect them to leave the Stade Bollaert-Delelis with all three points. The pick is Como to win, with a predicted score of 1-2.