St Pauli vs Greuther Furth Prediction 9 August 2026
🔊 The first-round 2. Bundesliga match between St. Pauli and Greuther Fürth will take place at Millerntor in Hamburg. The hosts are starting the new season after relegation from the Bundesliga and immediately get a chance to see how quickly the team can adapt to the realities of the second division. Greuther Fürth, for their part, avoided relegation only through the playoff matches last season and come into the campaign with a refreshed squad and the aim of staying clear of a survival battle this time around.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview based on official meetings between St. Pauli and Greuther Fürth:
- 32 matches played;
- home wins - 10, away wins - 13, draws - 9;
- goals scored - 50 vs 60;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.44, in the 2nd - 2;
- average total goals per match - 3.44.
Head-to-head statistics St Pauli - Greuther Furth
St. Pauli Team Overview
St. Pauli are returning to the 2. Bundesliga after a difficult season in the top flight, where the team were relegated. The club began a new chapter in the summer: Alexander Blessin left his position as head coach, and Marcel Rapp, who previously worked with Holstein Kiel, took charge. The new manager has been tasked not just with returning the team to the upper part of the table, but with building a more stable project following significant squad turnover.
St. Pauli have lost several important players, including captain Jackson Irvine and a number of defensive players, so the start of the season will be a test for the rebuilt squad. The club's management has not set an immediate return to the Bundesliga as a mandatory objective, but expects the team to establish themselves among the leading sides in the second division.
Pre-season preparations were busy: the team played several friendlies to test new playing principles. Despite a defeat to Bournemouth (1:4) in their penultimate warm-up match, the coaching staff have noted progress in physical fitness and player combinations.
The home factor remains an important advantage for St. Pauli. Millerntor is traditionally considered one of the most difficult venues in Germany, where the pressure from the stands often helps the team play more aggressively and get into the match more quickly.
Match Results: St. Pauli
Greuther Furth Team Overview
Greuther Fürth are heading into the new season after a difficult previous campaign. The team spent a long time in the relegation zone but managed to keep their place in the 2. Bundesliga thanks to a strong finish and a win in the playoff against Rot-Weiss Essen (0:1, 2:0). The club's aim now is to avoid a repeat of that scenario.
Over the summer, the Cloverleaves went through a major squad overhaul. Several key attacking players left, including Branimir Hrgota, who joined St. Pauli, along with other first-team regulars. Head coach Heiko Vogel is looking to build a new team around his leaders - Felix Klaus, Paul Will and Dennis Srbeny.
Pre-season showed that Greuther Fürth are capable of causing problems in attack. The team beat some high-profile opponents with confidence, including Zürich (3:2) and Freiburg (3:0). The main question mark remains the defence following the departure of a number of experienced players.
The head-to-head record is broadly even overall, but in recent years the advantage has been with St. Pauli: the Hamburg side have not lost to Greuther Fürth in their last five meetings (three wins and two draws).
Match Results: Greuther Furth
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head matches:
- played - 32;
- first half wins for the home side - 7; for the away side - 7; draws - 2;
- average first half total: 1.44;
- today's home side average 0.59 goals, the away side - 0.84.
- St. Pauli have scored in the first half at home in 6 consecutive head-to-head matches between these sides (2. Bundesliga).
Total Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average total):
- home side - 1.56, away side - 1.88;
- in head-to-head matches - 3.44;
- both teams scored: all time - 22 times; at the home team's ground - 12 times.
- Total over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head matches between these sides (2. Bundesliga).
Prediction on the outcome
Head-to-head matches:
- played - 32;
- home wins - 10, away wins - 13, draws - 9.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 0 vs 3;
- losses: 7 vs 5;
- draws: 3 vs 2.
- Greuther Fürth cover the +1.5 handicap away in 14 of the last 16 head-to-head meetings between these sides (2. Bundesliga).
- Greuther Fürth cover the +1.5 handicap in 8 matches in a row (2. Bundesliga).
- Greuther Fürth cover the +1.5 handicap away in 7 of their last 8 matches (2. Bundesliga).
⭐ Editor's Pick
St. Pauli look better prepared for the start of the season thanks to their Bundesliga experience, home advantage and higher squad quality even after significant personnel changes. Greuther Fürth are capable of making it a contest through character and attacking potential, but the team's rebuild following a difficult previous season could show precisely at the start of the campaign.
The hosts will likely control the ball more and try to play on the front foot, while the visitors will look to stay compact and hit on the counter. The editor's pick is a St. Pauli win. A more stable structure, home advantage and a positive recent head-to-head record make the hosts favourites, though a comfortable victory should not be expected given the squad rebuild. Predicted score - 2:1.
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Betting Tips: St. Pauli - Greuther Furth
in 7 of last 8 home games against Greuther Furth (2nd Bundesliga).
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