Shinnik vs Arsenal Tula Prediction 8 August 2026
📢 Shinnik and Arsenal Tula meet in round 5 of the First League, with both sides sitting in the bottom half of the table but still within touching distance of the promotion places. Their early-season form looks different: the hosts have been harder to beat, while the visitors have already lost twice in four games. For both clubs, the priority is staying in the race and not letting the top sides pull away this early. Points matter here - drop them and the gap starts to grow.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 18 April 2026 and ended with a score of 2:0. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Shinnik Yaroslavl):
- ball possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Shinnik Yaroslavl and Arsenal Tula:
- played 10 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 6, for the away team - 2, draws - 2;
- number of goals - 15 against 10;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.2, in the 2nd half - 1.3;
- average total goals in the match - 2.5.
Head-to-head statistics Shinnik - Arsenal Tula
Shinnik Yaroslavl Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Football National League tournament (home team - Nizhny Novgorod, away team - Shinnik Yaroslavl). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here's the game statistics (Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Nizhny Novgorod):
- ball possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 6.
Shinnik have picked up five points from their opening four games - one win, two draws, one defeat. Over their last ten matches, they've won four, drawn five and lost just once, which points to a fairly consistent side. In that run, they've averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. No real threat up front, but they're organized and hard to beat - enough to take points off teams at a similar level.
Match Results: Shinnik Yaroslavl
Arsenal Tula Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Football National League tournament (home team - Arsenal Tula, away - Torpedo Moscow). The match ended with a score of 1:0.
Here are the game statistics (Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moscow):
- ball possession: 33% vs 67%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 5;
- shots on target: 1 vs 3.
Arsenal Tula have had a shaky start to the season - wins and losses alternating, four rounds in and sitting mid-table. Over their last ten matches, they've won just twice, drawn three and lost five. In that run, they averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Poor finishing and defensive errors have kept them away from the top of the table, and ahead of the trip to Shinnik, something needs to improve at both ends.
Match Results: Arsenal Tula
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.5, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Arsenal Tula
- average total in the tournament: 2.75 vs 2.5;
- average total goals scored: 1.25 vs 0.75;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.5 vs 0.25;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.75 vs 0.5;
- Shinnik Yaroslavl: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Arsenal Tula: average total away in the tournament - 0;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 2) vs 0.7 (away - 0.25).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Shinnik Yaroslavl games against Arsenal Tula (Football National League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 10;
- both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Arsenal Tula
- number of matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 1;
- number of BTTS matches for Shinnik Yaroslavl at home - 1 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Arsenal Tula away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Shinnik Yaroslavl at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Arsenal Tula away - 1 (25%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (5/36, 13.9%);
- Shinnik Yaroslavl at home most often finish matches: 2:0 , 2:2 (1/2, 50%);
- Arsenal Tula away most often play: 5:0 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.54% (odds 5.4)
1:0 - 10.93% (odds 6.4)
2:0 - 10.67% (odds 10)
⭐ Editor's Pick
The bookmakers aren't separating these two, which makes sense given how unconvincing both sides have been so far. Shinnik and Arsenal Tula are sitting close together in the table and neither has shown anything close to consistency, so don't expect either side to take unnecessary risks. Their head-to-head record backs that up too - 6 of their last 7 meetings have produced no more than two goals. The most logical play here is total goals under 2.5. Predicted score: 0-0.
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Betting Tips: Shinnik Yaroslavl - Arsenal Tula
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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