Plymouth vs Exeter Prediction 10 August 2026
🔊 This is not just a routine first-round League Cup match - it's a Devon derby! Plymouth and Exeter shared the spoils in the second round of last season's League One, but now they have completely different objectives: the hosts are aiming for the Championship, while the visitors would settle for promotion from League Two. This time a draw is not an option - if not in regular time, then a winner will be decided on penalties.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 11 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Plymouth):
- ball possession percentage: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 12 vs 2;
- fouls: 8 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 10 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Plymouth and Exeter :
- played 21 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 9, draws - 2;
- number of goals - 37 against 33;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.1, in the 2nd half - 2.24;
- average total goals in the match - 3.33.
Head-to-head statistics Plymouth - Exeter
Plymouth Team Overview
Tom Cleverley's side come into the season with ambitions, but have already faced a squad crisis. The club lost their top scorer Lorent Tolaj, who joined Bristol City for £2m. Will Evans from Mansfield was signed as his replacement and could make his debut in this match. However, becoming a like-for-like replacement for the Swiss forward, who racked up 29 goal contributions in 35 matches last season, will be extremely difficult.
The squad situation is further complicated by a number of injuries. Michael Baidoo is out for 12 weeks with a serious hamstring injury and faces surgery. Teagan Finn, Jack McKenzie and Caleb Watts are also in the treatment room. However, captain Joe Edwards, who missed all of pre-season following knee surgery, has a good chance of making the squad for the derby. That is encouraging, as are Plymouth's results: the side went unbeaten in six pre-season matches, drawing only with Bristol City (0-0).
Match Results: Plymouth
Exeter Team Overview
The visitors come into this match in poor form. Relegation from League One was a serious blow, and pre-season has done little to inspire confidence. Matt Taylor has kept his job as head coach, but for how long, given just one win during pre-season preparation? That said, against Bristol City, the "Grecians," like Plymouth, drew 1-1.
Exeter's squad situation is a concern. The squad is so thin that the head coach is considering signing left-back Ali Koiki, who hasn't played professional football since May 2025, to strengthen the defence. That says a lot. There are new arrivals, though: Taylor Perry could make his debut at centre-back, while Josh Gordon could add something in attack. Reinforcements would be very welcome, as Exeter have scored more than two goals in just 1 of their last 6 matches.
Match Results: Exeter
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 1.76, the guests - 1.57;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 3.33;
- both teams scored: overall - 11; at the home team's field - 6.
- Plymouth have scored over 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 home games against Exeter.
Prediction on corners
- Over 8.5 corners in last 6 Plymouth games.
- Over 8.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Exeter games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 21;
- both teams scored all-time - 11 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
- Plymouth have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 home games.
- Plymouth have scored and conceded in last 5 games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 21;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 9, draws - 2.
- Exeter won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 games.
⭐ Editor's Pick
The Devon Derby opens the season for both sides. Plymouth are the favourites thanks to home advantage, squad quality and, most importantly, the quality of their play. Exeter are going through a difficult spell following relegation from League One and have injury problems that will make it hard for them to compete for a positive result. However, derbies are matches that exist outside of context. And in the first game after pre-season, surprises are always possible. So we expect a Plymouth win, but not a comfortable one - 2:1. The optimal bet is total over 2.5 goals. It has landed in 7 of Plymouth's last 8 home matches, and in five consecutive head-to-head meetings between the sides at Home Park.
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Betting Tips: Plymouth - Exeter
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