Jaro vs Vaasa Prediction 8 August 2026
🔊 Bookmakers and statistics disagree. The line favours the away side, yet in head-to-head meetings Jaro have gone six matches in a row without a defeat, and more broadly in 7 of the last 8. The teams will sort out this contradiction on 8 August at Project Live Arena, where both arrive after losses in the previous round.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 10 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 0:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Vaasa PS):
- ball possession percentage: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 6;
- fouls: 11 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Jaro and Vaasa PS:
- played 36 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 12, for the away team - 14, draws - 10;
- number of goals - 49 against 49;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.17, in the 2nd half - 1.56;
- average total goals in the match - 2.72.
Head-to-head statistics Jaro - Vaasa

Jaro Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Veikkausliiga tournament (home team - Lahti, away team - Jaro). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here's the game statistics (Jaro vs Lahti):
- ball possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 2;
- fouls: 12 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 5.
Last season the league newcomers performed better than expected and became one of the revelations of the championship. This season has gone differently: the club went through a managerial change, lost several key players and sit 11th with 15 points. Their goal difference of 17-35 is the second worst in the league, and in May Jaro conceded five unanswered goals to Gnistan, which remains the biggest home win of the season in the league.
The defence is unstable at home too: they have conceded in 19 of their last 21 league matches, and in head-to-head meetings with VPS in 9 of 10. However, in front of their own supporters the team has been surprising - they have gone unbeaten in 7 of their last 8 matches, and goals have been coming consistently: over 1.5 goals were scored in 18 of the last 19 matches.
Match Results: Jaro

Vaasa PS Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Veikkausliiga tournament (home team - Vaasa PS, away - Inter Turku). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here are the match stats (Vaasa PS vs Inter Turku):
- ball possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 17 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
A year ago, VPS finished ninth, and Jussi Nuorela's style was raising questions: results weren't there. Now the team are sixth with 27 points, and expert Markku Kanerva, who managed the Finland national team for many years, has specifically praised them for their aggressive football. In defence, Nuorela has his own son Josep playing for him - he's 23 and has been at the club since his youth.
In the previous round, Vaasa lost at home to Inter (0:1), and the manager was brief: against a team of that level, such mistakes cannot be made. At home and away, VPS are quite different sides - they score almost always, in 9 of their last 10 matches, but away from home they manage just one goal in 12 out of 13 cases.
Match Results: Vaasa PS
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.36, the guests - 1.36;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.72;
- both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Jaro vs Vaasa PS
- average total in the tournament: 2.89 vs 2.28;
- average total goals scored: 0.94 vs 1.33;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.67 vs 0.72;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.28 vs 0.61;
- Jaro: average total at home in the tournament - 1.44;
- Vaasa PS: average total away in the tournament - 0.78;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.67) vs 1.8 (away - 1.25).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 12 of last 13 Vaasa PS away games (Veikkausliiga).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Vaasa PS away games.
Prediction on corners
Jaro: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.72; at home field - 3.56;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; at home field - 3.83.
Vaasa PS: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.78, away - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.4; away - 4.25.
- Vaasa PS have taken under 6.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games against Jaro.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 36;
- both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Statistics: Jaro vs Vaasa PS
- number of matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Jaro at home - 6 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Vaasa PS away - 5 (56%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Jaro at home - 4 (67%);
- BTTS matches for Vaasa PS away - 4 (100%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (18/108, 16.7%);
- Jaro at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:1 (2/9, 22.2%);
- Vaasa PS away most often play: 1:0 , 1:1 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.98% (odds 6)
0:1 - 10.54% (odds 6.5)
1:2 - 9.18% (odds 7)
Editor's Pick
The head-to-head record works against the favourites: Jaro have not lost to VPS in 6 consecutive meetings, and they have covered the +1.5 handicap in 15 of their last 16 matches. At home that margin is even more reliable - 14 out of 15.
Both sides look likely to score: Jaro concede at home in 19 of their 21 matches, and VPS have scored in 9 of their last 10. It works the other way too - the visitors defend lightly away from home, and the hosts almost always find the net in front of their own fans. That said, I'm not expecting a high-scoring affair: VPS away matches rarely reach four goals. The bet is Jaro not to lose. Predicted score - 1:1.
