Hartberg vs Sturm Prediction 8 August 2026
🔉 Sturm Graz started their official season much earlier than their opponents due to European competition and have already dropped points, drawing in the first round. Hartberg suffered a defeat in their first Bundesliga match, though they were up against one of the best teams in Austria in recent years. Both sides remain motivated to fight for a Champions League place, but the table does not yet suggest any major slip-ups or losses - the season is only just beginning. The main intrigue here lies in the difference in class between the two sides and the nature of their recent performances.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 10 May 2026 and ended with a score of 2:4. Here is the comparative statistics from that match (home side - Hartberg):
- possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 7;
- fouls: 8 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 8.
📊 Statistical preview based on official meetings between Hartberg and Sturm Graz:
- 24 matches played;
- home wins - 5, away wins - 14, draws - 5;
- goals - 28 vs 44;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.33, in the 2nd - 1.67;
- average total goals per match - 3.
Head-to-head statistics Hartberg - Sturm
Hartberg Team Overview
The team's last official match was played on in the Bundesliga (home side - Red Bull Salzburg, away side - Hartberg). The match ended 1:0.
The match stats were as follows (Hartberg vs Red Bull Salzburg):
- possession: 27% vs 73%;
- corners: 2 vs 19;
- fouls: 9 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 1 vs 7.
Hartberg come into this match after a contradictory start to the season. First, the hosts secured a confident Austrian Cup win over Imst, 3:1, then lost in a hard-fought opening Bundesliga round to Salzburg (0:1). In Hartberg's defence, though, that result wasn't bad - they allowed 4.11 xG but conceded just one goal. That was clearly down to luck. Last season the home side performed well: they finished sixth in the regular stage and played in the Championship playoff, where they finished last, which denied them a path to European qualification.
Match Results: Hartberg
Sturm Graz Team Overview
The away side's last official match took place in the Champions League (home side - Fenerbahçe, away side - Sturm Graz). The match ended 2:0.
The match stats were as follows (Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe):
- possession: 28% vs 72%;
- corners: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 19 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
- shots on target: 1 vs 10.
At the official level this season, Sturm Graz have already played as many as five matches. All of them were played in different competitions, yet these results give a sense of where the team stands. The visitors came through the second qualifying round of the Champions League in fine style, beating Hearts 6:0 on aggregate. In the Cup they got past Sicherhen (3:0), and in the first round of the Bundesliga there was a draw with Tirol (1:1). The most important stage for Sturm is continuing their fight to reach the Champions League group phase. And in the first leg of the third qualifying round, the visitors already suffered a defeat against Fenerbahçe, losing 0:2. For the upcoming match, the visitors may rotate their squad, as they need to turn things around in Europe.
Match Results: Sturm Graz
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head matches:
- played - 24;
- first-half wins for the home side - 2; for the away side - 7; draws - 3;
- average first-half total: 1.33;
- today's home side average 0.5 goals scored, the away side - 0.83.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 5;
- average first-half total: 1.4 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.5).
- Hartberg lose the first half at home in 5 of the last 6 head-to-head meetings between these sides (Bundesliga).
Total Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average total):
- home team - 1.17, away team - 1.83;
- in head-to-head matches - 3;
- both teams scored: all time - 15 times; at the home team's ground - 8 times.
- Hartberg have scored at home in 10 of the last 11 head-to-head meetings between these sides (Bundesliga).
- Sturm Graz have conceded away in 8 of their last 9 matches (Bundesliga).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head matches:
- played - 24;
- both teams scored all time - 15 times;
- at the home team's ground - 8 times.
Last 10 matches:
- matches with BTTS: 6 vs 5;
- Hartberg: BTTS at home - 4 (100%);
- Sturm Graz: BTTS away - 3 (50%).
- Hartberg score and concede at home in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings between these sides (Bundesliga).
- Sturm Graz score and concede in 6 of their last 7 matches (Bundesliga).
Exact Score Prediction
Trends- Sturm Graz have drawn 1:1 in 5 of their last 7 matches (Bundesliga).
- Sturm Graz have drawn 1:1 away in 3 of their last 4 matches (Bundesliga).
⭐ Editor's Pick
Sturm's low-scoring trend is consistent: under 2.5 has landed in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches, which is supported by the visitors' defensive quality and the lack of any need to force things at the start of the season even against an inconsistent Hartberg. While the hosts often play boldly going forward, their weaknesses don't always lead to an open exchange of attacks against a side with this level of defensive organisation. In our view, a bet on under 2.5 goals looks like the most logical choice for this match.
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Betting Tips: Hartberg - Sturm Graz
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