Derby vs Lincoln Prediction 8 August 2026
🔊 In the EFL Cup, two teams who have improved considerably in recent years will meet. Derby finished just one step away from the Championship play-offs last season, collecting 69 points and finishing eighth. Lincoln had a phenomenal season in League One, amassing 103 points and earning promotion. Now both begin the new season with the League Cup, and for each of them this match is more than just a formality.
Head-to-Head
📊 The teams have met before in the First Division. In the 2023/24 season, Derby won 3:1 at home, while the away match ended in a goalless draw (0:0). Overall in the history of this rivalry, Derby have three wins, there are two draws, and Lincoln have two wins.
Head-to-head statistics Derby - Lincoln
Derby Team Overview
The team managed by John Eustace was not convincing in pre-season - just one win, over Mansfield Town, 3-1. In five matches, Derby lost to Burton (1-3), Valencia (1-2), and Freiburg (1-3). On 4 August, they drew with Rotherham (1-1). Last season the team fell just four points short of the Championship play-off places, which left a bitter taste. Now Derby intend to start as confidently as possible and test themselves against a league newcomer.
Manager John Eustace has kept the core of the squad together, which should help them hit the ground running. Derby have home advantage and will look to put in a strong performance in their first competitive match. However, it is worth bearing in mind that the team will be gearing up for the Championship, where their goal is to push for promotion. So some squad rotation is possible.
Match Results: Derby
Lincoln City Team Overview
Lincoln dominated League One last season - 103 points and a 12-point gap over second place. However, head coach Michael Skubala left the club in the summer to join Bristol City. Lincoln will now be managed by Chris Cohen, who has limited managerial experience. Tom Shaw has been appointed as his assistant. The pre-season was mixed: one win and four defeats in five matches, with Grimsby Town hammering the Championship newcomers 5-1.
For Lincoln, this match is their debut as a Championship club. The level of opposition will be higher than last season, and the League Cup offers a chance to adjust to the new division. Given that the main goal is staying in the Championship, Lincoln may not give everything in this match.
Match Results: Lincoln City
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 1.43, the guests - 1.14;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.57;
- both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 3.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Derby home games.
Prediction on corners
- Under 10.5 corners in last 9 Derby home games.
- Under 10.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Derby games.
- Under 10.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Lincoln City games.
- Under 10.5 corners in last 5 Lincoln City away games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 7;
- both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 7;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 2, draws - 2.
- Lincoln City won with a +1.5 handicap in last 28 games.
- Lincoln City won with a +1.5 handicap in 24 of last 25 away games.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Defence is Lincoln's main problem, and the pre-season matches made that abundantly clear. In 4 of their 5 friendlies the team conceded at least two goals, and over those five games Lincoln let in 12 in total. With that kind of defensive record, the Championship newcomers will find it extremely difficult to contain the Rams' attack. Derby scored regularly (in 4 of their 5 matches), and the difference in quality between the two sides is obvious. Given the home game at Pride Park and the higher level of the hosts, they have a good chance of reaching the two-goal mark. The bet is Derby County individual total goals over 1.5. Correct score - 2:1.
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Betting Tips: Derby - Lincoln City
in 6 of last 7 home games.
in 7 of last 8 games.in last 28 games.in last 14 away games.in last 28 games.in last 16 away games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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