Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction 13 May 2026
🔊 On May 13, the "Machida Gion Stadium" will host a derby between two eastern neighbors who are neck and neck in the standings. Machida Zelvia are in good form, while Tokyo Verdy come into this match off the back of two tough losses. In their first-round encounter, the teams played out an exciting 2-2 draw - Verdy came back from two goals down late on and triumphed in the penalty shootout. Can Machida exact revenge on home turf?
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 21 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Tokyo Verdy):
- ball possession percentage: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 6 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Machida Zelvia and Tokyo Verdy:
- played 24 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 11, for the away team - 7, draws - 6;
- number of goals - 35 against 26;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.88, in the 2nd half - 1.67;
- average total goals in the match - 2.54.
Head-to-head statistics Zelvia - Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Chiba, away team - Machida Zelvia). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.
Here's the game statistics (Machida Zelvia vs Chiba):
- ball possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 0 vs 6;
- fouls: 14 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
Matida are having an exemplary season by the club's standards, which not long ago were teetering between divisions. Currently sitting third in the Eastern group, with 7 wins, 6 draws, and only 2 losses in 15 matches, they have the fewest defeats in the league, second only to the leading Kashima Antlers in that regard. The main strength of Go Kuroda's side is their defense: they have secured clean-sheet victories in their last two J-League fixtures and haven't conceded in four consecutive home matches across all competitions.
Match Results: Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Tokyo, away - Tokyo Verdy). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the match stats (Tokyo Verdy vs Tokyo):
- ball possession: 32% vs 68%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 15 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 9.
Verdi currently sit fifth in the Eastern Conference with 24 points, having secured 6 wins, 6 losses, and 3 draws with a goal difference of 18:19. Their season has been inconsistent: they have the capability to defeat reigning champions Kashima Antlers (2-1), but then falter against Kawasaki Frontale (0-1) just a game later. Playing away from home has been their Achilles' heel, with 5 of their last 6 away matches ending in defeat. This vulnerability on the road significantly hampers Hiroshi Jofuku's squad.
Match Results: Tokyo Verdy
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 24;
- home team wins - 11, away team wins - 7, draws - 6.
Statistics: Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy
- matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- wins: 11 vs 9;
- win percentage: 73% vs 60%;
- losses: 4 vs 6;
- draws: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 7 vs 6;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 0 vs 0.
- Tokyo Verdy won with a +1.5 handicap in 11 of last 12 away games against Machida Zelvia.
- Tokyo Verdy won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 games (J1 League).
- Tokyo Verdy won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 away games (J1 League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.46, the guests - 1.08;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.54;
- both teams scored: overall - 13; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy
- average total in the tournament: 2.6 vs 2.47;
- average total goals scored: 1.4 vs 1.2;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.8 vs 0.4;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.6 vs 0.8;
- Machida Zelvia: average total at home in the tournament - 1.14;
- Tokyo Verdy: average total away in the tournament - 1.14;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1) vs 0.9 (away - 1).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Machida Zelvia home games (J1 League).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Tokyo Verdy away games (J1 League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 24;
- both teams scored all-time - 13 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy
- number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Machida Zelvia at home - 3 (43%);
- number of BTTS matches for Tokyo Verdy away - 5 (71%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 2 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Machida Zelvia at home - 0 (0%);
- BTTS matches for Tokyo Verdy away - 3 (75%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (30/159, 18.9%);
- Machida Zelvia at home most often finish matches: 0:3 (2/7, 28.6%);
- Tokyo Verdy away most often play: 3:2 (2/7, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 13.35% (odds 5)
1:1 - 12.01% (odds 6.5)
0:0 - 10.12% (odds 6)
Editorial Prediction
Machida Zelvia head into the derby boasting four consecutive clean-sheet victories at home-their defense leaves no room for either top teams or underdogs to exploit. Tokyo Verdy, on the other hand, struggle on the road and have failed to score in three of their last five encounters with Machida. The first leg featured a thrilling 2-2 draw, but that was on Verdy's turf and proved to be an anomaly-such a scenario is unlikely at the Machida Gion Stadium. Our main bet is both teams to score (no).
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Betting Tips: Machida Zelvia - Tokyo Verdy
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in 8 of last 9 Machida Zelvia games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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