Tondela vs Rio Ave Prediction 9 March 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between Tondela and Rio Ave promises to be an exciting encounter, considering the current form of both teams. Tondela are looking to elevate their game after a series of draws and one victory in their last five matches, while Rio Ave are grappling with inconsistency, having managed just one draw in their last five outings. Both teams sit in the lower part of the standings, adding extra motivation to this fixture.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between these teams took place on 05 October 2025 and ended with a 3-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (with Rio Ave playing at home):
- possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corners: 6 vs 7;
- fouls: 15 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Tondela and Rio Ave:
- 14 matches played;
- home wins - 4, away wins - 5, draws - 5;
- goals scored - 20 against 24;
- average total in the first half - 1.21, second half - 1.93;
- average total goals per match - 3.14.
Head-to-head statistics Tondela - Rio Ave

Tondela Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, featuring Tondela as the home side and Santa Clara as the visitors. The game ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Tondela vs Santa Clara):
- possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corners: 4 vs 7;
- fouls: 15 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Tondela continue to show a strong desire to improve their game. In their last five matches, they have secured four draws and one win, highlighting their ability to pick up points even in challenging conditions. The team averages 0.79 goals per match but also suffers from conceding a high number of goals-1.58 per game. Tondela's current form suggests they are capable of putting up a fight against opponents and are determined to climb out of the relegation zone.
Match Results: Tondela

Rio Ave Team Overview
The away side last played an official match on in the Primeira Liga, with Rio Ave hosting Famalicão. The game ended in a 0-0 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Rio Ave vs Famalicão):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corners: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 20 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Rio Ave are navigating a challenging period, marked by inconsistent performances. In their last five matches, the team has suffered four defeats and managed just one draw, highlighting their struggles to secure points. Their average scoring rate stands at 0.96 goals per match, while they concede 1.83, indicating a fragile defense and insufficient attacking prowess. Currently sitting in 15th place in the standings, every point is crucial for them to steer clear of the relegation zone. The team's strategy will focus on bolstering their defense and seeking opportunities for counterattacks.
Match Results: Rio Ave
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 14;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 2; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 2;
- Average first-half total: 1.21;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.5, while the visitors net 0.71.
First-Half Stats: Tondela (home) vs Rio Ave (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 12;
- wins: 1 (9.09%) vs 2 (16.67%);
- losses: 3 (27.27%) vs 6 (50%);
- draws: 7 (63.64%) vs 4 (33.33%);
- Average goals scored: 0.73 vs 0.83;
- Average goals conceded: 0.45 vs 0.58.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 0;
- losses: 2 vs 6;
- draws: 6 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.9).
- Rio Ave conceded in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (Primeira Liga).
- Rio Ave conceded in the 1st half in last 5 away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 14;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 5, draws - 5.
Statistics: Tondela vs Rio Ave
- matches played in the tournament: 24 vs 24;
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- win percentage: 17% vs 17%;
- losses: 13 vs 11;
- draws: 7 vs 9.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 1;
- losses: 4 vs 7;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.43, the guests - 1.71;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.14;
- both teams scored: overall - 12; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: Tondela vs Rio Ave
- average total in the tournament: 2.38 vs 2.79;
- average total goals scored: 0.79 vs 0.96;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.42;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.46 vs 0.54;
- Tondela: average total at home in the tournament - 0.82;
- Rio Ave: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.17) vs 0.6 (away - 0.4).
- Tondela have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games against Rio Ave.
Prediction on corners
Tondela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.92; at home field - 3.73;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; at home field - 4.17.
Rio Ave: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.83, away - 3.42;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; away - 1.8.
- Tondela have taken under 4.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 14;
- both teams scored all-time - 12 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: Tondela vs Rio Ave
- number of matches played in the tournament: 24 vs 24;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 12;
- number of BTTS matches for Tondela at home - 5 (45%);
- number of BTTS matches for Rio Ave away - 7 (58%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Tondela at home - 4 (67%);
- BTTS matches for Rio Ave away - 1 (20%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (23/217, 10.6%);
- Tondela at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:1 , 2:2 (2/11, 18.2%);
- Rio Ave away most often play: 1:1 , 1:2 , 4:0 (2/12, 16.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.4% (odds 6)
1:0 - 10.45% (odds 7)
2:1 - 8.84% (odds 8.5)