Lille vs Montpellier Prediction 8 March 2025
🔊 Lille and Montpellier are preparing for their clash in the 25th round of Ligue 1. The hosts are aiming to qualify for the Champions League next season. Meanwhile, the visitors have much more modest but no less challenging goals - to avoid relegation from the top division. Of course, when setting the odds, bookmakers have no doubt: the "Dogs" are clear favorites at their home "Pierre Mauroy."
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Lille and Montpellier:
- played 35 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 19, for the away team - 8, draws - 8;
- number of goals - 52 against 35;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.97, in the 2nd half - 1.51;
- average total goals in the match - 2.49.
The last game took place on 01 December 2024 at the home ground of Montpellier and ended with a score of 2:2.
Head-to-head statistics Lille - Montpellier

Lille OSC Team Overview
📝 Lille have been showing average form in recent months, but they still remain in the upper part of the table. Their attacking potential is expressed in an average of 2 goals per game. However, the team's defense is not always at its best, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match.
🔗 Besides their successes in Ligue 1, Lille continues to impress on the international stage. This week, the "dogs" secured a draw in Dortmund (1:1) in the first leg of the Champions League Round of 16, significantly increasing their chances of advancing to the quarterfinals.
📣 “We played well. A draw is a very good result ahead of the return match,” concluded Bruno Génésio.
❌ The list of injured players for the hosts remains the same, including four players. Samuel Umtiti and Tiago Santos have been out since last year, while Osame Sahraoui and Edon Zhegrova were sidelined in February. The absence of the Kosovar is particularly painful for the team, as he is one of the leaders in attack.
Match Results: Lille OSC

Montpellier HSC Team Overview
📝 Montpellier is going through a very challenging period. With 8 losses in the last 10 matches and an average scoring rate of just 0.6 goals per game, the "paladins" are on the brink of relegation to Ligue 2. The team is struggling both in attack and defense, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match. Away games are also not bringing success - 10 of the last 11 away matches have been lost.
🔗 After a brief January surge, Montpellier returned to its roots and stopped not only earning points but also scoring. They have only 1 goal in the last 5 matches. How much longer will Jean-Louis Gasset remain in his position with such results?
❌ In February, Montpellier lost two important players: Issiaga Sylla and Becir Omeragic. Young defender Otman Maamma also got injured. There were also suspensions - Khalil Fayad will not play due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Match Results: Montpellier HSC
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 35;
- home team wins - 19, away team wins - 8, draws - 8.
Statistics: Lille vs Montpellier
- number of matches played in the tournament: 24 vs 24;
- number of wins: 11 vs 4;
- win percentage: 46% vs 17%;
- number of losses: 5 vs 17;
- number of draws: 8 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 4 vs 2;
- number of losses: 5 vs 8;
- number of draws: 1 vs 0.
- Montpellier HSC wins with a handicap of +1.5 in each of their last 8 Ligue 1 away games against Lille OSC.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.49, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.49;
- both teams scored: overall - 16; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Lille vs Montpellier
- average total in the tournament: 2.75 vs 3.29;
- average total goals scored: 1.63 vs 0.88;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.71 vs 0.33;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.92 vs 0.54;
- Lille: average total at home in the tournament - 1.92;
- Montpellier: average total away in the tournament - 0.45;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 2.8) vs 0.6 (away - 0.4).
- There have been under 3.5 goals scored in each of the last 11 Lille OSC in the Ligue 1 home games against Montpellier HSC.
- There have been under 3.5 goals scored in each of the last 7 Montpellier HSC in the Ligue 1 away games.
Prediction on corners
Lille: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.83; at home field - 4.42;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; at home field - 6.2.
Montpellier: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.08, away - 4.55;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; away - 4.4.
- There have been under 10.5 corners in 6 of the last 7 Lille OSC home games against Montpellier HSC in the Ligue 1.
- There have been under 10.5 corners in 10 of the last 11 Lille OSC games against Montpellier HSC in the Ligue 1.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4 (2 for home team and 2 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.41 (1.65 for home team and 1.76 for away team).
Lille: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.21; at home - 1.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.5; at home - 1.6.
Montpellier: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.58, away - 2.91;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2; away - 2.2.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 35;
- both teams scored all-time - 16 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Statistics: Lille vs Montpellier
- number of matches played in the tournament: 24 vs 24;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 12;
- number of BTTS matches for Lille at home - 10 (83%);
- number of BTTS matches for Montpellier away - 3 (27%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 9 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Lille at home - 5 (100%);
- BTTS matches for Montpellier away - 1 (20%).
Editor's Prediction
Analyzing the current form and statistics of the teams, Lille appears to be the favorite for the upcoming match. However, their focus is currently on the second leg against Borussia in the UCL, which gives "the Paladins" a chance for success. Our bet is Montpellier to win with a handicap (+1.5), which has been successful in the last 8 consecutive head-to-head matches between the teams at "Pierre Mauroy" in Ligue 1.