Arouca vs Guimaraes Prediction 7 February 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between Arouca and Vitória Guimarães promises to be an intriguing contest. Arouca sit in 14th place, reflecting their struggles with form throughout the season. Their recent performances have been marked by inconsistency, with victories alternating with defeats, and their average goal tally remains low. Meanwhile, Vitória Guimarães hold a solid 9th position and have shown more consistent results. It will be interesting to see how they handle this away fixture against an opponent whose defense has room for improvement.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 30 August 2025 and ended in a 1-1 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (home team - Vitória Guimarães):
- possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corners: 2 vs 2;
- fouls: 15 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Arouca and Vitória Guimarães:
- 18 matches played;
- home wins - 3, away wins - 9, draws - 6;
- goals scored - 22 against 26;
- average total goals in the first half - 1.17, in the second half - 1.5;
- average total goals per match - 2.67.
Head-to-head statistics Arouca - Guimaraes
Arouca Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, featuring Rio Ave at home against Arouca. The game concluded with a 0-3 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Arouca vs Rio Ave):
- possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 15 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 0.
Arouca, currently sitting 14th in the league standings, are navigating a challenging phase this season. The team have managed to secure only three wins in their last ten matches, displaying inconsistent performances with victories interspersed with defeats. Although Arouca claimed a win in their most recent outing, it appears to be an exception rather than the rule. Their average goal tally is modest, around 1.15 per game, while their defense concedes more than two goals per match. The team's playing style is built on counter-attacks, yet their weak defense leaves them vulnerable against more organized opponents.
Match Results: Arouca
Vitoria SC Guimaraes Team Overview
The visitors last took to the pitch on in a Primeira Liga clash, with Vitória Guimarães hosting Moreirense. The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here's a breakdown of the match statistics (Vitória Guimarães vs Moreirense):
- possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corners: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 18 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 5;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
Vitória Guimarães, currently sitting 9th in the league standings, have been putting on a confident display this season. The team has secured five wins in their last ten matches, showing consistent form both at home and away. Their gameplay is built on organized defense and quick counterattacks, allowing them to maintain an average of 1.35 goals conceded per match. In their most recent head-to-head with Arouca, the score ended 1-1, highlighting the evenly matched nature of their previous encounters. The club will aim to solidify their position by capitalizing on their strengths.
Match Results: Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 18;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 9, draws - 6.
Statistics: Arouca vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes
- matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 20;
- wins: 5 vs 8;
- win percentage: 25% vs 40%;
- losses: 10 vs 8;
- draws: 5 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 5;
- losses: 5 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
- Arouca have not won in last 8 home games against Vitoria SC Guimaraes.
- Arouca have not won in last 7 home games against Vitoria SC Guimaraes (Primeira Liga).
- Arouca have not won in 8 of last 9 home games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.22, the guests - 1.44;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.67;
- both teams scored: overall - 11; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: Arouca vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes
- average total in the tournament: 3.35 vs 2.4;
- average total goals scored: 1.15 vs 1.05;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.5 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.65 vs 0.55;
- Arouca: average total at home in the tournament - 1.1;
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes: average total away in the tournament - 0.67;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1) vs 1.1 (away - 1.25).
- Arouca have scored in 8 of last 9 games against Vitoria SC Guimaraes (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
Arouca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4; at home field - 4.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; at home field - 4.
Vitoria SC Guimaraes: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.4, away - 4.11;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; away - 4.
- Under 9.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Vitoria SC Guimaraes away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 18;
- both teams scored all-time - 11 times;
- on the home team’s field - 5 times.
Statistics: Arouca vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes
- number of matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 20;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for Arouca at home - 5 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes away - 1 (11%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Arouca at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes away - 2 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (18/180, 10%), 1:1 (18/180, 10%);
- Arouca at home most often finish matches: 0:2 , 0:4 (2/10, 20%);
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes away most often play: 2:0 (3/9, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.34% (odds 6)
0:1 - 8.62% (odds 7)
1:0 - 8.23% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In the upcoming clash between Arouca and Vitória Guimarães, expect a hard-fought battle with a focus on defensive play. Arouca have struggled defensively, but at home, they can pose certain challenges for the visitors. Vitória, on the other hand, are known for their organized defense and ability to counterattack. The last head-to-head ended in a 1-1 draw, highlighting an intriguing contest. Considering Vitória's trend of low-scoring away matches and the teams' average statistics, betting on under 2.5 goals seems like a well-founded prediction.
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Betting Tips: Arouca - Vitoria SC Guimaraes
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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