Botafogo vs Sport Rec. Prediction 18 November 2025
🔊 The upcoming Matchday 34 clash between Botafogo and Sport Recife promises to be an intriguing encounter, given the contrast in their current form and tournament motivations. Botafogo sit sixth in the standings, showcasing consistent play with a focus on defense. Meanwhile, Sport Recife are officially set to depart Serie A at the end of the season. With five rounds remaining, the visitors are anchored at the bottom, trailing the safe 16th spot by 19 points. The teams exhibit different styles: Botafogo favor possession and disciplined defense, while Sport Recife look to capitalize on counterattacks.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 20 July 2025 and ended with a score of 0-1. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Sport Recife were the home side):
- possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Botafogo and Sport Recife:
- 21 matches played;
- home victories - 11, away victories - 4, draws - 6;
- goals scored - 32 for Botafogo, 20 for Sport Recife;
- average goals in the 1st half - 1, in the 2nd half - 1.48;
- average total goals per match - 2.48.
Head-to-head statistics Botafogo - Sport Rec.
Botafogo FR Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Serie A tournament, with Vitoria hosting Botafogo. The game ended in a 0-0 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Botafogo vs Vitoria):
- possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 6;
- fouls: 21 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 0.
⚫ Botafogo are in good form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches, though three of those ended in draws. After suffering a heavy home defeat to Flamengo (0-3), Davide Ancelotti's side bounced back with a win over Ceará (2-0). They then played out a thrilling draw with Santos (2-2), followed by a goalless stalemate against Mirassol (0-0). A convincing victory over Vasco da Gama (3-0) was next, before another scoreless draw with Vitória in the most recent round.
⭐ The defense of the "Lone Star" deserves praise during this stretch, keeping four clean sheets. This solid backline performance boosts confidence that Botafogo are likely to keep a clean sheet against the relegated underdog. A victory at home could propel them into the top five, provided Bahia drop points in their match. However, if Botafogo lose, they might swap places with seventh-placed Fluminense.
Match Results: Botafogo FR
Recife PE Team Overview
The visiting team last played an official match on in the Serie A tournament, where Sport Recife hosted Flamengo. The match concluded with a scoreline of 1-5.
Here are the game statistics (Sport Recife vs Flamengo):
- possession: 25% vs 75%;
- corners: 4 vs 15;
- fouls: 5 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 14.
🔴 In the previous round, Sport Recife were mathematically eliminated from the possibility of retaining their spot in Serie A for the next season. Of course, Cesar Lucena, who took charge of the "Lions" on October 29, was not brought in as a "crisis manager" with the aim of keeping the club in the top tier of Brazilian football.
🦁 However, under Lucena's leadership, nothing has changed: Sport Recife have lost four matches with an aggregate score of 3-14. Overall, the team is on a six-game losing streak with a total score of 4-18. The last points were secured in a home game against Ceará on October 16 (1-1). Their last victory dates back to September 21 against Corinthians (1-0). On their home turf, the "Lions" lost to the "Lone Star" by a narrow margin (0-1) on July 20. However, at the "Nilton Santos Olympic Stadium," it seems Sport Recife won't get off so easily.
Match Results: Recife PE
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 21;
- Home wins - 11, Away wins - 4, Draws - 6.
Statistics: Botafogo vs Sport Recife
- Matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- Wins: 14 vs 2;
- Win percentage: 42% vs 6%;
- Losses: 9 vs 20;
- Draws: 10 vs 11.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 3 vs 0;
- Losses: 3 vs 7;
- Draws: 4 vs 3.
- Sport Recife cover a +2.5 handicap away in 9 of their last 10 head-to-head meetings with Botafogo.
- Sport Recife cover a +2.5 handicap away in 21 of their last 23 matches.
- Sport Recife cover a +2.5 handicap away in 14 of their last 16 Serie A matches.
- Sport Recife cover a +2.5 handicap in 12 of their last 14 Serie A matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Today's home team average goals scored - 1.52, away team - 0.95;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.48;
- Both teams have scored: overall - 12 times; at the home team's ground - 5 times.
Statistics: Botafogo vs Sport Recife
- Average total in the tournament: 2.18 vs 2.58;
- Average goals scored: 1.33 vs 0.76;
- Average first-half total: 0.64 vs 0.33;
- Average second-half total: 0.7 vs 0.42;
- Botafogo's average home total in the tournament - 1.81;
- Sport Recife's average away total in the tournament - 0.56;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1.75) vs 0.9 (away - 0.5).
- Botafogo score less than 2.5 goals in 18 of their last 19 head-to-head meetings with Sport Recife.
- Botafogo score less than 2.5 goals in 16 of their last 17 head-to-head Serie A meetings with Sport Recife.
Corner Prediction
Botafogo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.76; at home - 5.63;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.4; at home - 5.75.
Sport Recife: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 5.88, away - 6.13;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.3; away - 6.5.
Card Prediction
Head-to-Head
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.04 (1.52 for home team and 1.52 for away team);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 2.9 (1.2 for home team and 1.7 for away team).
Botafogo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.45; at home - 2.56;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.2; at home - 4.25.
Sport Recife: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.48, away - 2.31;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.3; away - 2.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 21;
- Both teams scored overall - 12 times;
- At the home team's ground - 5 times.
Statistics: Botafogo vs Sport Recife
- Total matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- Total matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): Botafogo - 9, Sport Recife - 17;
- BTTS at Botafogo's home ground - 7 (44%);
- BTTS at Sport Recife's away games - 7 (44%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: Botafogo - 3, Sport Recife - 7;
- BTTS at Botafogo's home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS at Sport Recife's away games - 2 (50%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The upcoming clash appears to be heavily one-sided given the current form of the teams. Botafogo are confidently managing the season's end, showcasing disciplined defense and consistently racking up points. Ancelotti's side barely allows opponents any chances, with four clean sheets in their last five outings highlighting the reliability of their backline. With strong motivation to fight for a top-five finish, the hosts are unlikely to ease up.
On the other hand, Sport Recife are in deep crisis. A losing streak, defensive lapses, and a lack of even minimal competitive motivation make their trip to Rio another daunting challenge. Under Lucena's leadership, the team concedes over three goals per game on average and looks particularly vulnerable on the road. The disparity in level, form, and motivation is too significant. Everything points to a commanding Botafogo victory (2-0), likely with a clean sheet. Therefore, our prediction is: total goals under 3.5.
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Betting Tips: Botafogo FR - Recife PE
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