Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kiev Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 8 November 2026
🔊 Shakhtar Donetsk and Dynamo Kiev meet again in Lviv, 12 days after the Donetsk side thrashed their Kyiv rivals 3-0 in the cup. This time, the cost of defeat is even higher: Shakhtar top the Ukrainian Premier League, while their fierce rivals trail by six points with a game in hand. A win would allow the hosts to strengthen their lead, while Dynamo would have the chance to close the gap and take revenge. The suspensions of several players have dealt the visitors a further blow. Dynamo must prove they can stop Shakhtar without them.
Shakhtar have the edge
Shakhtar Donetsk beat Dynamo Kiev 3-0 in the Ukrainian Cup on 27 October 2026. With possession evenly split, the home side had 19 shots to the visitors’ three and 13 shots on target to their two. The visitors finished the match with two players sent off.
📊 In 73 competitive meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk have won considerably more often: 38 times to Dynamo Kiev's 20. Another 15 matches ended in draws. At home, Shakhtar Donetsk's advantage is particularly pronounced, with 20 wins in 29 games.
Head-to-head statistics Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kiev
Shakhtar: title-winning defence
Shakhtar lost 1-0 at home to Sporting in the Champions League, despite having more shots (14-11) and shots on target (4-3). After a goalless first half, the visitors scored the only goal.
Shakhtar have won nine of their 11 league matches and conceded just five goals. Over their last ten matches in all competitions, they have recorded seven wins and averaged 1.9 goals per game. Their opponents have scored just 0.4 goals per game - an excellent figure even for the Ukrainian Premier League leaders. The hosts are particularly comfortable against teams that allow them to control the space in front of the opposition penalty area. Shakhtar will now look to exploit Dynamo’s squad problems and extend their lead in the title race.
Match Results: Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv: absentees ahead of the derby
Dynamo Kiev beat Kryvbas 2-0 away from home in their latest Premier League match. Both goals came in the first half, and the result stands out given the shot count: the Kyiv side had just three shots to the hosts’ 14 and finished the match with a player sent off.
Dynamo Kyiv have won 6 of their last 10 matches but lost three, conceding ten goals in that period. Their attack has not always delivered either, averaging 1.3 goals per match. Dynamo have won three of their five away league matches, so it is too early to write off the visitors. The squad absences are a more serious concern. Against Shakhtar Donetsk, who rarely make defensive mistakes, Dynamo will have to find new ways to create chances.
Match Results: Dynamo Kiev
Latest news
Shakhtar Donetsk
❌ Eguinaldo, Pedrinho and Kaua Elias will miss the match due to injury.
Dynamo Kiev
❌ Andriy Yarmolenko and Taras Mykhavko are suspended. Vladyslav Kabaiev is recovering from a shoulder injury. Denys Popov's involvement is in doubt.
Prediction for the 1st half
Shakhtar scored before half-time in 6 of their last 7 home Premier League meetings with Dynamo. During that run, the Kyiv side regularly struggled to contain the hosts’ attacks, as also reflected in their sequence of first-half defeats in head-to-head matches. The visitors now have personnel losses that could disrupt their usual defensive partnerships. Shakhtar will almost certainly look to make the most of home advantage and take the initiative before half-time. Bet: Shakhtar Team Total Goals in the 1st Half - Over 0.5 at 1.81*.
Match Result Prediction
Shakhtar have won 5 of their 7 home matches this season and recorded nine wins in 11 league rounds. The Donetsk side are unbeaten against Dynamo in nine league meetings, winning five of them. The Kyiv side have also been able to get results away from home, winning 3 of their 5 away matches this season. But the absence of several important players makes their task harder, especially after a recent cup defeat. Our pick: Shakhtar to win at 1.82*.
Safer Bet
No more than three goals have been scored in 15 of Shakhtar Donetsk’s last 16 matches. Shakhtar rarely allow opponents to turn matches into goal-fests: in their previous home games, they conceded an average of 0.43 goals. Dynamo Kiev have not been particularly prolific away from home either, scoring just one goal per match in their recent away games. Even in this fierce derby, both teams are unlikely to neglect their defending, given the cost of a mistake. We’re backing Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.25*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the three most likely scorelines are 1-0 (11.95%), 1-1 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.73%). Of these, 1-0 is considered the most likely.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Shakhtar go into the derby with an advantage in form, defensive solidity and head-to-head results. Dynamo will have to find ways to get at their opponents' goal without several key players, but the Kyiv side cannot afford another defeat to their fierce rivals. The visitors will have to take more risks going forward, which means space will open up for both teams. The hosts have a better chance of taking their opportunities, although a goal in reply from Dynamo cannot be ruled out entirely. Correct score prediction: 2-1. Main bet: Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kiev
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