PSG vs Troyes Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 7 November 2026

📊 The teams have not met in Ligue 1 since May 2023. Troyes have since spent three seasons in the second division. Troyes have failed to beat PSG in 19 consecutive meetings, but there have been no heavy defeats for some time either: the margin has not exceeded two goals in the pair’s last six Ligue 1 matches. At the Parc des Princes, the visitors have put up a fight. In May 2022, they came away with a draw, and in October of the same year they lost 4-3. Stéphane Dumont’s current Troyes side have yet to face PSG: the coach took charge when the team were already in Ligue 2.

PSG have not scored at least four goals at home in Ligue 1 for ten consecutive matches. Their big wins have come away from home, while at the Parc des Princes, Lyon and Le Mans conceded two and three goals to them respectively. PSG have stopped at three goals in 16 of their last 17 league matches, with Le Havre the only exception. Troyes have held firm away from home: they have conceded five goals in four Ligue 1 away matches and have not conceded more than two in any of them. We expect PSG to win, but the hosts to score no more than three goals. Bet - PSG Team Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.65*.

There have been more than seven corners in each of PSG's last five Ligue 1 matches. Both sides have been taking corners: over their last 10 competitive matches, the Parisians have won 48 corners and their opponents 42. There were 11 corners in the match against Lyon at the Parc des Princes and eight against Le Mans. Troyes have also been winning corners: they took more than two in seven of their last eight away matches. We expect PSG to apply pressure and the visitors to respond with corners of their own. The bet is Total Corners - Over 7.5 at 1.42*.

Troyes have received at least two yellow cards in six of their last nine competitive matches. Dumont’s side have picked up 16 bookings in total over that stretch. PSG force opponents into fouls: over their last 10 matches, referees have shown the Parisians’ opponents 19 yellow cards, compared with seven for Luis Enrique’s side. Le Mans received five cards in Paris in October. The visitors will have to defend on Saturday, giving them more reason to commit fouls. The pick is Troyes Team Total Yellow Cards - Over 1.5 at 1.33*.

Senny Mayulu has scored in PSG’s last three matches, against Lyon, Le Havre and Villarreal. His goal against Lyon broke the deadlock in a match that had been goalless at half-time. Dembélé and Kvaratskhelia are unavailable, making this run from the forward particularly valuable for the Parisians right now. According to the Ligue 1 website’s prediction, Mayulu will start against Troyes too. The bet is Mayulu to score.

There were fewer than four goals in 13 of Troyes’ last 14 away matches. The Ligue 1 newcomers failed to score in three away league matches, and none of those games had more than two goals. PSG have not been involved in high-scoring games at home either: there were fewer than five goals in ten consecutive Ligue 1 home matches. The risk is real: in their last seven matches, the Parisians scored fewer than three goals only once. But if Troyes hold firm as they did in Toulouse, Lille and Angers, there will be no more than two goals on the scoreboard. The bet is Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 3.54*.

At home in Ligue 1, PSG have taken more than three corners in 13 consecutive matches. The Parisians took seven against Lyon and four against Le Mans. Troyes will defend around their own penalty area, which means the hosts will have plenty of crosses and blocked shots. Our bet wins if PSG take at least four corners over the full match. The bet is PSG Team Total Corners - Over 3.5 at 1.24*.

The likely scenario is that PSG control the game and win by two goals, while Troyes prevent them from finding their rhythm. Two early goals from the Parisians could disrupt that scenario: in Villarreal, four goals in the first 17 minutes settled everything. Troyes would then have to open up, and PSG are stronger after the break anyway: the Parisians have won the second half in seven of their last eight matches. If that happens, look for a big home win and four or more goals in live betting. Keep these markets in mind if PSG go two goals ahead by the half-hour mark.

*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.

📌 Editor’s Prediction 

PSG’s victory is beyond doubt; the only question is the margin. Troyes have lost by more than two goals just once in their last 50 matches - at home to Strasbourg in September. Since then, the newly promoted side have kept the margin within two goals in six consecutive Ligue 1 matches. PSG did not win by a wide margin at the Parc des Princes even against a struggling side: 17th-placed Le Mans lost there by just two goals in October. We expect PSG to win without a heavy scoreline: Troyes will go home beaten, but not thrashed. Bet - Troyes - Handicap +2.5. Predicted score - 2:0.