Akhmat vs Rodina Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 7 November 2026
🔉 Rolan Gusev's debut as Akhmat head coach comes against Rodina Moscow, who came from behind to beat Krasnodar in the last round. Adding to the intrigue, both teams are fighting to stay in the Russian Premier League: Akhmat are 15th, while Rodina Moscow are 12th, just one point clear of the relegation zone. The winners will significantly improve their position, so it promises to be a hard-fought contest.
Head-to-Head
📊 The teams have not played each other before. This is their first-ever meeting.
Prolonged Slump and a Change of Manager
On 13 September, Akhmat beat Dynamo Makhachkala 3-2 at home. Since then, the Grozny club have not won in either the Russian Cup or the Russian Premier League. Over seven matches, they have suffered six defeats and drawn once, with one of those defeats coming on penalties. The prolonged slump has coincided with problems in attack: Akhmat have failed to score in five of those seven matches. This run of results led to Stanislav Cherchesov's departure, with Rolan Gusev taking his place.
Last season, Gusev worked at Dynamo Moscow after Valeriy Karpin's departure. Under him, the Moscow club favoured moving the ball quickly, but otherwise adapted to their opponents: they could vary their pressing, making it more intensive and higher up the pitch, or spend more time in their own half. Gusev has held only a couple of training sessions at Akhmat, so their style of play is unlikely to change radically in his first match.
Match Results: Akhmat
Progress Under Alba and Early Successes
Rodina, like Akhmat, are playing under a new head coach, but unlike Rolan Gusev, Jonatan Alba has already had time for his team to adapt to his demands, and they are beginning to pay off. The former Rostov coach started with two heavy defeats: 3-0 away to CSKA in the league and 4-2 at home to Spartak in the Russian Cup. But a first Premier League win followed, away to Fakel. In their most recent league match, Rodina came from behind to beat Krasnodar, scoring the winner in the final 10 minutes.
Under Alba, Rodina have become more flexible without the ball. They switch to a back five when defending, which makes them more solid. The team have conceded six goals in four league matches and still have the worst defence in the competition, but progress is evident. Rodina have left the relegation zone, but their position remains precarious: 12th place, 12 points and just one point clear of the relegation zone, with a match against a direct rival ahead. Akhmat are 15th in the Russian Premier League table.
Match Results: Rodina Moscow
Latest news
Akhmat
For Gusev’s first competitive match in charge, his key attacking player is unavailable: Lechi Sadulaev will miss the game through suspension. Defender Romão is also sidelined. The rest of the squad is available.
Rodina Moscow
There are no absentees. Alba can count on all his key players.
⚽️ Goals prediction
No more than three goals were scored in 12 of Akhmat’s last 15 home matches in the Russian Premier League. The same low-scoring pattern occurred in 6 of Rodina Moscow’s last 7 matches in the competition. We’re backing Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.40*.
🚩 Corner kicks prediction
Rodina Moscow have taken no more than four corners in 6 of their last 7 away matches in the Russian Premier League, with no more than three corners in three of those games. Prediction - Rodina Moscow Team Total Corners - Under 4.5 at odds of 1.54*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
At least five yellow cards were shown in 6 of Rodina Moscow’s last 7 matches. Both teams are in the lower part of the table, and the winner will improve their position, so there will be plenty of competition. We’re backing Total Yellow Cards - Over 4.5 at 1.93*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Akhmat have changed their head coach amid a turbulent spell: they took just one point from five Russian Premier League matches and dropped into the relegation zone. Under Alba, Rodina Moscow have picked up seven points in four matches - two more than in their previous nine. Importantly, those points were not the result of flukes: Rodina Moscow played better than Fakel and Krasnodar. With Akhmat missing Sadulaev and having just changed their head coach, the visitors have a chance to pick up points again. The main bet is Rodina Moscow to avoid defeat. Predicted score: 0:2.
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Betting Tips: Akhmat - Rodina Moscow
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