Shimizu vs V-Varen Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 7 October 2026

Details
Key points

    🔉 Shimizu and V-Varen Nagasaki come into this match with different recent form. Shimizu have been more consistent, winning three matches in a row in recent rounds. V-Varen Nagasaki have been alternating between good and poor results, and are often vulnerable defensively. Neither side has a particularly solid defence, with both conceding more than one goal per game on average. That sets the stage for goals at both ends.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In official matches between Shimizu and Varen Nagasaki, the two sides have met 10 times. The hosts have won four of those meetings, the visitors three, with three draws. The goal difference stands at 19-15 in Shimizu's favour. On average, the teams score 1.6 goals in the first half and 1.8 in the second, giving an overall match average of 3.4 goals per game.

    Head-to-head statistics Shimizu - V-Varen

    45%
    5 Wins
    27%
    3 Draws
    27%
    3 Wins
    Total games
    11
    Avg. total goals
    3.36
    Both teams scored
    64%
    1.91
    Average total
    1.45
    Last matches
    07.10.26
    Emperor Cup
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    -
    -
    7
    1
    -
    -
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    1
    -
    -
    3
    1
    29.04.26
    J1 League
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    1
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    -
    -
    3
    4
    10
    7
    0
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    4
    10
    7
    0
    2
    05.04.26
    J1 League
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    -
    -
    4
    4
    10
    10
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    4
    10
    10
    0
    1
    07.09.24
    J2 League
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    10.03.24
    J2 League
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    2
    2
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    2
    2
    Empty
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    Shimizu S Pulse Team Overview

    Shimizu look confident over the short run, with three wins from their last five matches pointing to a team in good shape. They score consistently - their average over the last ten matches is 1 goal per game, while their current seasonal rate is higher at 2 goals per game. Defensively they are more solid than their opponents, conceding an average of 0.9 goals per game over the last ten matches and 1 goal per game this season. Those numbers suggest the hosts can be expected to carry a threat going forward, though risks at their own end cannot be ruled out if both sides play with intensity.

    Match Results: Shimizu S Pulse

    Last matches
    24.10.26
    J1 League
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    1.73
    0.53
    7
    4
    16
    12
    1
    1
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0
    1.73
    0.53
    7
    4
    16
    12
    1
    1
    L
    21.10.26
    J1 League
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    1
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    0.16
    3.45
    4
    5
    18
    12
    1
    0
    0
    5
    0
    1
    0
    4
    0.16
    3.45
    4
    5
    18
    12
    1
    0
    L
    17.10.26
    J1 League
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    1.11
    1.26
    7
    4
    9
    13
    1
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    1.11
    1.26
    7
    4
    9
    13
    1
    2
    D
    14.10.26
    J. League Cup
    Yokohama Marinos
    Yokohama Marinos
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    -
    -
    6
    2
    11
    14
    1
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    6
    2
    11
    14
    1
    0
    L
    11.10.26
    J1 League
    Mito Hollyhock
    Mito Hollyhock
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    0.71
    0.89
    7
    1
    11
    12
    2
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    0.71
    0.89
    7
    1
    11
    12
    2
    1
    W
    Empty
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    V-Varen Nagasaki Team Overview

    Varen Nagasaki are noticeably weaker defensively: the side have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game over their last ten matches and over two per game across the season as a whole, which is reflected in their results - five defeats. At the same time, the visitors' attacking line is capable of causing problems: they score at least one goal in almost every match, backed up by an average of 1.2 goals per game over their last ten fixtures and three goals already this season. That style tends to produce open games with chances at both ends.

    Match Results: V-Varen Nagasaki

    Last matches
    25.10.26
    J1 League
    Urawa Red Diamonds
    Urawa Red Diamonds
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    1.46
    1
    7
    4
    9
    8
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.46
    1
    7
    4
    9
    8
    0
    1
    L
    21.10.26
    J1 League
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    1
    2.36
    1.16
    0
    10
    14
    13
    2
    0
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    2.36
    1.16
    0
    10
    14
    13
    2
    0
    W
    17.10.26
    J1 League
    Kashima Antlers
    Kashima Antlers
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    1.08
    1.04
    2
    6
    13
    19
    0
    3
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.08
    1.04
    2
    6
    13
    19
    0
    3
    L
    11.10.26
    J1 League
    Chiba
    Chiba
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    1.71
    0.77
    9
    4
    13
    7
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.71
    0.77
    9
    4
    13
    7
    2
    1
    D
    07.10.26
    Emperor Cup
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    -
    -
    7
    1
    -
    -
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    1
    -
    -
    3
    1
    L
    Empty
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    Total Prediction

    Varen Nagasaki have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 away matches, which is consistent with their away scoring average of just 0.8 goals per game over their last 10 away fixtures. Shimizu have also conceded an average of fewer than one goal per home match (0.83) over their last 10 home games. This provides a solid basis for backing Varen Nagasaki Team Total - Under 1.5 at 1.36*.

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Both teams have scored in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings. Shimizu average 1 goal per home match over their last 10 games, while Varen Nagasaki average 0.8 per away match - not high figures, but the head-to-head record does suggest both sides tend to score when they meet. The visitors' modest away scoring record creates some conflict, so the bet on Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.91* is justified, but carries moderate risk.

    Risky Bet

    Shimizu have scored in seven consecutive head-to-head matches against Varen Nagasaki. At home, the team average one goal per match over their last 10 games, which is not particularly high, though the overall trend in head-to-head meetings points in favour of the hosts scoring. A bet on Shimizu Team Total - Over 1.5 Goals at 2.38* may appeal for a more adventurous play, although there is not much recent statistical support for it and the risk here is elevated.

    Correct Score Prediction

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12.35%), 1-0 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.12%). Of these, a 1-1 draw is the most probable outcome. The probabilities for the other two results are also fairly close to each other, reflecting cautious expectations for this match.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.*

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    The styles of both sides lend themselves to a productive game with chances at both ends. Shimizu show a good balance between attack and defence, but the visitors regularly convert their opportunities even against more organised opponents - their high goals-conceded figure is offset by decent output at the other end. Head-to-head meetings between these two have also frequently featured goals for both teams, which further supports the likelihood of the same scenario here. The editor's main prediction is Both Teams to Score - Yes.
    Both Teams to Score – (Yes)
    Odds-110
    Published: 06/10/2026, 11:28
    Alexander Martilionis
    Alexander Martilionis
    Football expert
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    342 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Shimizu S Pulse - V-Varen Nagasaki

    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    shimizu-s-pulsev-varen-nagasakiin last 7 Shimizu S Pulse games against V-Varen Nagasaki.
    v-varen-nagasakiin 8 of last 9 V-Varen Nagasaki games.
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    -303
    Shimizu S Pulse have scored:
    shimizu-s-pulsev-varen-nagasakiin last 7 games against V-Varen Nagasaki.
    Shimizu S Pulse will score goal
    -345
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    shimizu-s-pulsein 21 of last 22 Shimizu S Pulse games.
    shimizu-s-pulsein last 12 Shimizu S Pulse home games.
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    -345
    Shimizu S Pulse have conceded:
    shimizu-s-pulsein 13 of last 14 home games.
    V-Varen Nagasaki will score goal
    -250
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    4 - Losses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 2
    Losses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 19
    -6
    -1
    11 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    3
    1
    Draws
    2
    4
    Losses
    5
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    11
    19
    Conceded
    12
    3.2
    Average total per match
    2.3
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    1.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    6
    Both teams scored
    4
    72'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    85'
    View all stats