Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen Bogang Prediction 7 August 2026
🔊 At the top of the table, every dropped point hurts - and Beijing know it. They've already lost five points due to a federation ruling, so they're playing catch-up every single round now. Next up is a home match against Shenzhen Peng City, a side still fighting for a comfortable mid-table spot and unable to shake off their inconsistency. Can the visitors spring a surprise, or will this one be settled early?
Head-to-Head
The last official match between these two sides took place on 21 April 2026 and ended 0-1. Here's how the stats looked that day (Shenzhen Peng City were the home side):
- possession: 36% vs 64%;
- corners: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 12 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
📊 The two sides have already met twice this season, and Beijing Guoan came out on top both times. The last meeting was on April 21st - Beijing took all three points thanks to Zhang Xizhe's goal in the 89th minute. Across both matches this year, it's 4-2 to Beijing.
Head-to-head statistics Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Bogang
Beijing Guoan Team Overview
Their last official match was played on in the Super League - Beijing Guoan at home, Zhejiang as the visitors. Final score: 2-1.
Match stats (Beijing Guoan vs Zhejiang):
- possession: 64% vs 36%;
- corners: 4 vs 8;
- fouls: 10 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
Looking at recent weeks alone, the hosts are one of the more consistent sides in the league. Beijing are unbeaten in five straight rounds, and in their last match they got past Zhejiang 2-1. The attacking run is just as telling - they've scored in thirteen consecutive Superleague games.
And it's not built around one player. Zhang Yuning leads the club's scoring charts with nine goals, Zhang Xizhe regularly makes an impact off the bench, while Fabio Abreu and Boubacar Conte give them options up front. All of that matters right now, with Beijing needing to make up ground and push closer to the AFC zone.
Match Results: Beijing Guoan
Shenzhen Bogang Team Overview
The away side's most recent official match took place in the Superliga (Shenzhen Peng City at home, Chongqing Tonglianlunng as visitors). The final score was 2-0.
Match stats (Shenzhen Peng City vs Chongqing Tonglianlunng):
- possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corners: 4 vs 6;
- fouls: 23 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 1.
The visitors have had a much more inconsistent season. Wins and losses keep alternating, and they can't seem to pull clear of the bottom half. They recently lost to Yunnan Yukun and Wuhan Three Towns, though they did beat Chongqing Tonglianglong in between.
Most of the attacking play still runs through Wesley Moraes, who has nine goals already. Dibeas Owusu-Sekyere and Eden Kartsev contribute too, but away from home the coaching staff often have to drop the more adventurous approach. The reason is straightforward - the team regularly struggles defensively, so they tend to fall back on a more compact shape and look to hit on the counter.
Match Results: Shenzhen Bogang
Total Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average total):
- home team: 1.67, away team: 1;
- in head-to-head matches: 2.67;
- both teams scored: all time: 2 times; at the home team's ground: 1 time.
Average total stats: Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen Peng City
- in the tournament: 3.05 vs 3.19;
- goals scored: 1.7 vs 1.43;
- 1st half: 0.5 vs 0.71;
- 2nd half: 1.2 vs 0.71;
- Beijing Guoan: at home in the tournament: 1.82;
- Shenzhen Peng City: away in the tournament: 0.8;
- last 10 matches: 1.7 (home: 1.4) vs 1.9 (away: 1.5).
- Under 3.5 goals has landed in 5 consecutive home matches for Beijing Guoan (Super League).
- Under 3.5 goals has landed in 8 of Shenzhen Peng City's last 9 away matches (Super League).
Corners Prediction
Head-to-head matches
- average total corners in head-to-head matches - 12.67 (9 for the home side and 3.67 for the away side);
- average total corners at the home venue - 9 (6 for the home side and 3 for the away side).
Beijing Guoan: Stats
- season: average total in the league - 6.65; at home - 6.91;
- last 10 matches: average total - 6.5; at home - 6.8.
Shenzhen Peng City: Stats
- season: average total in the league - 5.1; away - 4.8;
- last 10 matches: average total - 5; away - 4.5.
Both Teams To Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- matches played - 3;
- both teams scored across all meetings - 2 times;
- at the home team's ground - 1 time.
Stats: Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen Peng City
- matches played this season: 20 vs 21;
- matches with Both Teams To Score (BTTS): 14 vs 11;
- Beijing Guoan: BTTS at home - 8 (73%);
- Shenzhen Peng City: BTTS away - 5 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 8 vs 6;
- Beijing Guoan: BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
- Shenzhen Peng City: BTTS away - 4 (67%).
Correct Score Prediction
Most common results this season:
- most frequent scoreline in the tournament: 1:1 (24/164, 14.6%);
- Beijing Guoan at home most often finish matches: 1:1, 1:2 (2/11, 18.2%);
- Shenzhen Peng City away most often play: 1:0, 2:0 (2/10, 20%).
Based on the statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 10.71% (odds 7.9)
2:0 - 9.22% (odds 8.8)
1:0 - 8.89% (odds 10.75)
⭐️ Editor's Prediction
At first glance, everything points to the home side - but that doesn't mean this will be an open game. Beijing Guoan are comfortable on their own patch and know how to see these matches out without taking unnecessary risks. Shenzhen Peng City will likely sit deep from the off, looking to keep things tight and deny space, knowing that going toe-to-toe with the hosts would be too dangerous.
The numbers back that up. In Beijing Guoan's last five home Super League matches, the total stayed under 3.5. Shenzhen Peng City have done the same in eight of their last nine away league games. With the hosts needing three points more than they need goals, the most logical play here is total goals under 3.5.
No comments
Betting Tips: Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Bogang
in 13 of last 14 games.in 11 of last 12 games (Chinese Super League).in 7 of last 8 home games (Chinese Super League).in 10 of last 11 away games (Chinese Super League).
in 31 of last 32 games.in 25 of last 26 games (Chinese Super League).in last 24 home games.in last 20 home games (Chinese Super League).in last 22 away games.in last 19 away games (Chinese Super League).in last 7 Beijing Guoan games.in last 5 Beijing Guoan games (Chinese Super League).in 10 of last 11 Shenzhen Bogang away games.in last 5 Beijing Guoan home games (Chinese Super League).in 8 of last 9 Shenzhen Bogang away games (Chinese Super League)..svg)
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
