Kenya vs Lesotho Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 Kenya and Lesotho are set to face off for the second time in just a few days in an international friendly. Both sides are gearing up for the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers, which kick off in September, making these matches crucial for fine-tuning their squads ahead of official competition. With clear motivation on both sides, we can expect a committed performance and high-quality football from both teams. Check out our match prediction below.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Over the past decade, Kenya and Lesotho have faced off just once-most recently, on June 4. That match ended in a 1-1 draw.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    Total games
    -
    Total Goals Avg
    -
    Both teams scored
    0%
    Last matches
    04.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Lesotho
    Lesotho
    Kenya
    Kenya
    -
    -
    3
    7
    15
    11
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    7
    15
    11
    3
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Kenya Team Overview

    Kenya failed to qualify for the 2026 World Cup, finishing fourth in their group with four defeats from ten matches. While the Kenyans missed out on a ticket to the finals, they still managed to impress with their performances. Their recent 3-0 win over Grenada in the third-place match of the FIFA Series showcased Kenya’s attacking firepower.

    Going forward, this side look convincing: they average 1.5 goals per game, while their defense remains solid-conceding less than once per match on average. These numbers highlight the balance across the squad and underline their ability to get results against teams of Lesotho’s caliber.

    Match Results: Kenya

    Last matches
    04.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Lesotho
    Lesotho
    Kenya
    Kenya
    -
    -
    3
    7
    15
    11
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    7
    15
    11
    3
    2
    D
    30.03.26
    FIFA Series
    Grenada
    Grenada
    Kenya
    Kenya
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    0
    1
    W
    27.03.26
    FIFA Series
    Kenya
    Kenya
    Estonia
    Estonia
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    4
    5
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    1
    0
    L
    18.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Senegal
    Senegal
    Kenya
    Kenya
    -
    -
    0
    0
    -
    -
    0
    0
    8
    0
    6
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    0
    0
    -
    -
    0
    0
    L
    14.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Kenya
    Kenya
    Equatorial Guinea
    Equatorial Guinea
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Lesotho Team Overview

    Lesotho’s national team unsurprisingly missed out on a place at the 2026 World Cup, finishing fourth in their qualifying group. In March, they took part in the play-offs for a spot in Africa Cup of Nations qualification, advancing past the Seychelles over two legs (0-0 and 2-1). Even against such modest opposition, Lesotho struggled to secure a convincing victory.

    The attack remains the team’s biggest weakness-Lesotho average just 0.6 goals per match, while conceding 1.8 on average. That goal difference makes it difficult for them to compete even against mid-tier opponents.

    Match Results: Lesotho

    Last matches
    04.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Lesotho
    Lesotho
    Kenya
    Kenya
    -
    -
    3
    7
    15
    11
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    7
    15
    11
    3
    2
    D
    29.03.26
    CON
    Lesotho
    Lesotho
    Seychelles
    Seychelles
    -
    -
    4
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    W
    26.03.26
    CON
    Seychelles
    Seychelles
    Lesotho
    Lesotho
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    D
    18.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Lesotho
    Lesotho
    Malawi
    Malawi
    -
    -
    6
    4
    9
    11
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    4
    9
    11
    2
    1
    L
    15.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Lesotho
    Lesotho
    Malawi
    Malawi
    -
    -
    5
    0
    -
    -
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    0
    -
    -
    1
    2
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
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    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The gap in quality between Kenya and Lesotho is evident not just from recent results, but over the course of several months. The hosts have been consistently successful, driven by a potent attack and a well-organized defense, while the visitors have struggled in nearly every aspect-most notably in converting chances and their off-the-ball work. Given the disparity in average scoring rates, we're backing Kenya to win here. Their systematic superiority is reflected across all key statistical categories this season. Our pick: Kenya to win.

    Our choice
    Kenya Win at odds of -135*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (6 June 2026, 11:46)

    Will this prediction come true?

    Total votes cast: 0

    Betting Tips: Kenya - Lesotho

    Kenya have not lost
    kenya-1in 8 of last 9 home games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Lesotho have not won
    lesothoin last 8 games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Kenya will not lose
    Everygame
    -588
    Lesotho won with a +1.5 handicap
    lesothoin last 8 games (Int. Friendly Games).
    lesothoin last 5 away games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Lesotho Handicap (+1.5)
    -312
    Under 10.5 corners
    kenya-1in 7 of last 8 Kenya games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Corners - Total Under (10.5)
    -435

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 9
    +6
    -12
    6 - Scored
    18 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    3
    1
    Draws
    2
    4
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    6
    9
    Conceded
    18
    2.4
    Match goals average
    2.4
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.6
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.8
    4
    Both teams scored
    3
    62'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    150'
    View all stats