Lesotho vs Kenya Prediction

Details
The main thing

    🔊 It might be easy to assume that Lesotho are clear underdogs heading into this friendly. However, a closer look at the teams’ statistics-rather than just the bookmakers’ odds-paints a more nuanced picture. Lesotho and Kenya will face off on 4 June at 13:00. For a more insightful prediction, let’s break down the key stats for both sides.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These sides have not faced each other in the past 10 years.

    Lesotho Team Overview

    Lesotho last played an official match on in the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers, where they secured a 2-1 victory over Seychelles.

    Here’s a look at the key stats from that match (Lesotho vs Seychelles):

    • Possession: 65% vs 35%;
    • Corners: 4 vs 1;
    • Yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
    • Shots on target: 6 vs 1.

    Lesotho’s national team have shown they’re capable of springing surprises-over their last five matches, they’ve picked up two wins, two draws, and suffered just one defeat. The Crocodiles have not only beaten Seychelles but also edged out Zimbabwe (1-0), and held Malawi to a goalless draw. Given this form, it wouldn’t be wise to rule out an upset when they take on Kenya.

    Across those five most recent friendlies, Lesotho have scored four goals (an average of 0.8 per game) and conceded five (1.0 per match). In the latest FIFA World Ranking, Lesotho are currently placed 145th.

    Match Results: Lesotho

    Last matches
    29.03.26
    CON
    Lesotho
    Lesotho
    Seychelles
    Seychelles
    -
    -
    4
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    W
    26.03.26
    CON
    Seychelles
    Seychelles
    Lesotho
    Lesotho
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    D
    18.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Lesotho
    Lesotho
    Malawi
    Malawi
    -
    -
    6
    4
    9
    11
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    4
    9
    11
    2
    1
    L
    15.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Lesotho
    Lesotho
    Malawi
    Malawi
    -
    -
    5
    0
    -
    -
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    0
    -
    -
    1
    2
    D
    13.10.25
    WC Qualification CAF
    Lesotho
    Lesotho
    Zimbabwe
    Zimbabwe
    1.48
    1.88
    6
    8
    9
    7
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.48
    1.88
    6
    8
    9
    7
    2
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Kenya Team Overview

    Kenya played their most recent official match on as part of the FIFA Series friendlies, cruising to a commanding 3-0 victory over Grenada.

    Here’s a breakdown of the key stats from the Kenya vs Grenada clash:

    • Possession: 50% vs 50%;
    • Corners: 4 vs 1;
    • Yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
    • Shots on target: 6 vs 0.

    The Kenyans have made a confident start in the new FIFA Series tournament. Alongside a win over Grenada, they suffered a penalty shootout defeat to Estonia (1-1 after regular time, 4-5 on penalties). Kenya currently sit 111th in the FIFA World Rankings.

    Looking at their last five friendlies, an intriguing pattern emerges: Kenya are finding the net with ease, but also conceding heavily. The African side have scored six goals (averaging 1.2 per game) while conceding 11 (an average of 2.2 per match).

    Match Results: Kenya

    Last matches
    30.03.26
    FIFA Series
    Grenada
    Grenada
    Kenya
    Kenya
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    0
    1
    W
    27.03.26
    FIFA Series
    Kenya
    Kenya
    Estonia
    Estonia
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    4
    5
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    1
    0
    L
    18.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Senegal
    Senegal
    Kenya
    Kenya
    -
    -
    0
    0
    -
    -
    0
    0
    8
    0
    6
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    0
    0
    -
    -
    0
    0
    L
    14.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Kenya
    Kenya
    Equatorial Guinea
    Equatorial Guinea
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    L
    14.10.25
    WC Qualification CAF
    Ivory Coast
    Ivory Coast
    Kenya
    Kenya
    1.40
    0.18
    2
    2
    -
    -
    0
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1.40
    0.18
    2
    2
    -
    -
    0
    1
    L
    Empty
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    Match Outcome Prediction

    Trends
    • Lesotho are winless in their last 7 matches (International Friendlies).
    👉Prediction: Kenya will not lose (odds: 1.17)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Trends
    • Lesotho have scored under 1.5 goals in each of their last 7 matches (International Friendlies).
    👉Prediction: Lesotho Total goals Under (1.5) (odds: 1.19)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Looking at the average stats from recent friendlies, it’s clear both sides have the ability to find the net. Lesotho, in particular, have shown real fight-even against slightly stronger opposition. They've managed to score at least once in three of their last five friendly matches. Kenya, meanwhile, have conceded in four out of their last five outings. Our prediction: Lesotho to score over 0.5 goals (team total over 0.5).

    Our choice
    Lesotho will score goal at odds of -127*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (3 June 2026, 17:21)

    Will this prediction come true?

    Total votes cast: 0

    Betting Tips: Lesotho - Kenya

    Lesotho have not won
    lesothoin last 7 games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Kenya will not lose
    Everygame
    -500
    Lesotho have scored under 1.5 goals
    lesothoin last 7 games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Lesotho Total goals Under (1.5)
    Everygame
    -625
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    lesothoin last 7 Lesotho games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    -500
    Lesotho won with a +1.5 handicap
    lesothoin last 7 games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Lesotho Handicap (+1.5)
    -370

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 6
    Conceded - 18
    -12
    +6
    15 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    5
    2
    Draws
    1
    5
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    6
    Scored
    15
    18
    Conceded
    9
    2.4
    Match goals average
    2.4
    0.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    1.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    3
    Both teams scored
    4
    150'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    62'