Necaxa vs Tigres Prediction 9 May 2025

    🔊 The playoff clash in the Mexican league between Necaxa and Tigres promises to be thrilling. The hosts are showcasing an attacking style, averaging 2.2 goals per match, but their defense can be shaky, conceding an average of 1.7 goals. Tigres, on the road, adopt a more cautious approach with a focus on defense, yet they rarely keep a clean sheet. In previous head-to-head encounters, the visitors have held the upper hand, adding intrigue to this duel. A tense battle with plenty of chances at both ends is anticipated.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official clash between the teams took place on 02 March 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1-2. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Necaxa were the home team):

    • possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 7;
    • fouls: 17 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 6.

    📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Necaxa and Tigres:

    • 32 matches played;
    • home victories - 10, away victories - 14, draws - 8;
    • goals scored - 30 for Necaxa, 42 for Tigres;
    • average goals in the first half - 0.84, in the second half - 1.41;
    • average total goals per match - 2.25.

    Head-to-head statistics Necaxa - Tigres

    28%
    10 Wins
    31%
    11 Draws
    42%
    15 Wins
    Total games
    36
    Total Goals Avg
    2.39
    Both teams scored
    50%
    1
    Total average
    1.39
    1.72
    Yellow cards
    1.11
    Last matches
    18.04.26
    Primera Division
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    0.83
    1.38
    0
    13
    16
    10
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.83
    1.38
    0
    13
    16
    10
    2
    1
    18.10.25
    Primera Division
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    1.98
    0.97
    6
    4
    2
    4
    1
    5
    5
    3
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1.98
    0.97
    6
    4
    2
    4
    1
    5
    12.05.25
    Primera Division
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    2.16
    1.26
    5
    8
    12
    16
    1
    1
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    2.16
    1.26
    5
    8
    12
    16
    1
    1
    09.05.25
    Primera Division
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    1.76
    0.35
    10
    1
    11
    10
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.76
    0.35
    10
    1
    11
    10
    2
    2
    02.03.25
    Primera Division
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    1
    0.73
    2.17
    5
    7
    17
    10
    2
    0
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    0.73
    2.17
    5
    7
    17
    10
    2
    0
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    Necaxa Team Overview

    The last official match took place on as part of the Primera tournament (with Puebla as the home team and Necaxa as the visitors). The game ended with a score of 0-1.

    Here are the match statistics (Necaxa vs Puebla):

    • possession: 54% vs 46%;
    • corners: 2 vs 3;
    • fouls: 12 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 1.

    Necaxa performed admirably in the regular season, finishing in fifth place and securing a direct spot in the playoffs. The team is known for its aggressive style of play, which is evident from their high scoring rate-averaging more than 1.5 goals in most recent home matches. However, Necaxa's weak point is their defense; they often make mistakes, leading to a significant number of goals conceded, even at home. Their last head-to-head encounter ended in a 2-1 defeat for the hosts.

    It's worth noting that Necaxa's last match was on April 19th, when they defeated Puebla 1-0 away in the final round of the regular season. The match was evenly contested, with the outcome hanging in the balance, but the more skillful Necaxa managed to clinch the victory with a goal from Paradela late in the first half. We believe that the club has the potential to make an impact in the playoffs, provided they tighten up their defensive play. 

    Match Results: Necaxa

    Last matches
    29.08.26
    Primera Division
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    Cruz Azul
    Cruz Azul
    0.45
    1.53
    7
    7
    15
    14
    5
    2
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    0.45
    1.53
    7
    7
    15
    14
    5
    2
    L
    24.08.26
    Primera Division
    Pumas UNAM
    Pumas UNAM
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    1.5
    1.54
    8
    4
    10
    12
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.5
    1.54
    8
    4
    10
    12
    2
    2
    D
    18.08.26
    Primera Division
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    Leon
    Leon
    1
    1.44
    0.88
    7
    3
    15
    14
    2
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1.44
    0.88
    7
    3
    15
    14
    2
    1
    L
    13.08.26
    Leagues Cup
    New-York City
    New-York City
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    -
    -
    2
    5
    4
    2
    1
    4
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    5
    4
    2
    1
    4
    W
    09.08.26
    Leagues Cup
    Philadelphia Union
    Philadelphia Union
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    -
    -
    4
    7
    1
    2
    3
    2
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    7
    1
    2
    3
    2
    L
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    Tigres UANL Team Overview

    The visitors played their last official match on in the CONCACAF Champions League, facing off against Cruz Azul. The game concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Tigres vs Cruz Azul):

    • possession percentage: 62% vs 38%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
    • fouls: 14 vs 17;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 6.

    Tigres have been neck and neck with their current opponent throughout the regular season, ultimately finishing fourth. They prefer a defensive style, aiming to control the tempo through ball possession and positional play. However, their scoring on the road has been lacking, with less than 0.5 goals in several recent away matches becoming the norm. Despite this, the team exudes confidence in head-to-head encounters against Necaxa, having defeated them six consecutive times. This track record is a major reason why Tigres are considered favorites by the bookmakers, even when playing away.

    The team approaches the playoffs in a somber mood, having been knocked out of the CONCACAF Champions League last week by local rivals Cruz Azul, with aggregate scores of 1-1 and 0-1. It will be interesting to see if coach Guido Pizarro can rally his squad in such a short time. 

    Match Results: Tigres UANL

    Last matches
    30.08.26
    Primera Division
    Santos Laguna
    Santos Laguna
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    1
    1.28
    1.06
    12
    3
    7
    11
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.28
    1.06
    12
    3
    7
    11
    3
    1
    D
    22.08.26
    Primera Division
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    Atlante
    Atlante
    1
    1.49
    1.24
    5
    1
    15
    16
    0
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.49
    1.24
    5
    1
    15
    16
    0
    1
    W
    16.08.26
    Primera Division
    Atlas
    Atlas
    1
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    0.6
    2.74
    2
    16
    15
    11
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0.6
    2.74
    2
    16
    15
    11
    2
    1
    L
    12.08.26
    Leagues Cup
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    2
    Vancouver Whitecaps
    Vancouver Whitecaps
    -
    -
    2
    5
    15
    13
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    5
    4
    -
    -
    2
    5
    15
    13
    2
    2
    W
    08.08.26
    Leagues Cup
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    Minnesota United
    Minnesota United
    -
    -
    11
    7
    6
    18
    1
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    4
    2
    -
    -
    11
    7
    6
    18
    1
    3
    W
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    Latest news

    Necaxa

    ❌ Necaxa will be without defender Agustin Oliveros, who is still recovering from a leg fracture.

    Tigres UANL

    ❌ Defensive midfielder Jesus Garza will miss the match due to suspension. Additionally, star veteran forward Andre-Pierre Gignac is still sidelined with an injury.

    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-head matches:

    • Total encounters - 32;
    • First-half wins at home - 2; away wins - 6; draws - 7;
    • Average first-half total: 0.84;
    • Today's home team averages 0.25 goals, while the visitors average 0.59.
    Trends
    • Nekaxa have scored in the first half at home in 6 of their last 7 matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Necaxa to score goal(odds: 2.09)

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 32;
    • Home wins - 10, Away wins - 14, Draws - 8.
    👉Prediction: Necaxa Handicap (+1) (odds: 1.2)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • Home side average goals - 0.94, Visitors - 1.31;
    • Average total goals in head-to-heads - 2.25;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 15 times; at home ground - 7 times.
    Trends
    • Nekaxa have scored fewer than 1.5 goals at home in 12 of their last 13 meetings with this opponent.
    • Nekaxa have scored fewer than 1.5 goals at home in 11 of their last 12 league encounters against this team.
    • Nekaxa have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 league encounters with this opponent.
    👉Prediction: Necaxa Total goals Under (1,5) (odds: 1.54)

    Corners Prediction

    Trends
    • Nekaxa have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 league meetings with this opponent.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Necaxa Total Under (5,5) (odds: 1.48)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • Average total yellow cards in head-to-heads - 3.26 (1.63 for the home team and 1.63 for the visitors);
    • Average total yellow cards at home ground - 2.94 (1.87 for the home team and 1.07 for the visitors).
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Over (4,5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 32;
    • Both teams scored overall - 15 times;
    • At the home ground - 7 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 2.15)

    Editorial Prediction

    Considering the current form of both teams and the playoff context, we anticipate a cautious approach from both sides. Coaches are likely to instruct their players to prioritize defensive solidity. Therefore, the most suitable bet appears to be home team's individual total under 1.5 goals, given Necaxa's recent home game trends and the head-to-head statistics between these teams.

    Necaxa Total goals Under (1,5)
    Published: 07/05/2025, 09:24

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    Betting Tips: Necaxa - Tigres UANL

    Tigres UANL have drawn in the 1st half:
    uanl-tigresin 6 of last 7 away games.
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +110
    Necaxa have lost:
    necaxa-1uanl-tigresin last 6 games against Tigres UANL (Liga MX).
    Tigres UANL Win
    Everygame
    +175
    Tigres UANL have not won:
    uanl-tigresin 10 of last 11 away games.
    Necaxa will not lose
    Everygame
    -250
    Necaxa have not won:
    necaxa-1uanl-tigresin 15 of last 16 games against Tigres UANL (Liga MX).
    necaxa-1uanl-tigresin 8 of last 9 home games against Tigres UANL (Liga MX).
    Tigres UANL have not lost:
    uanl-tigresin 7 of last 8 games (Liga MX).
    Tigres UANL will not lose
    Everygame
    -200
    View more facts

    Necaxa - Tigres Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Toluca
    Toluca
    17105238-1635
    3.
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    17104325-1534
    4.
    Pumas UNAM
    Pumas UNAM
    1794421-1331
    12.
    Juarez
    Juarez
    17521022-3617
    13.
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    1736820-2615
    14.
    Mazatlan
    Mazatlan
    1728710-1914

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 12
    Conceded - 21
    -9
    -2
    11 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    4
    1
    Draws
    2
    6
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    12
    Scored
    11
    21
    Conceded
    13
    3.3
    Match goals average
    2.4
    1.2
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    2.1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    9
    Both teams scored
    7
    75'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    87'
    View all stats