PSV vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 7 March 2026
🔊 Eredivisie leaders PSV will host sixth-placed AZ Alkmaar in the 26th round. The teams enter this upcoming clash with contrasting moods: PSV have been knocked out of the KNVB Cup, while AZ have advanced to the final. Will this impact the match, considering both sides consistently deliver strong performances and often put on thrilling head-to-head encounters? Let's assess each team's chances in our editorial's prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 09 November 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:5. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - AZ Alkmaar):
- ball possession percentage: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 6;
- fouls: 9 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 6.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams PSV and AZ Alkmaar:
- played 38 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 23, for the away team - 11, draws - 4;
- number of goals - 82 against 48;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.66, in the 2nd half - 1.76;
- average total goals in the match - 3.42.
Head-to-head statistics PSV - AZ Alkmaar
PSV Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the KNVB beker tournament (home team - NEC Nijmegen, away team - PSV). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:2.
Here's the game statistics (PSV vs NEC Nijmegen):
- ball possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 9.
PSV are showcasing an impressive run in the Eredivisie, having secured victories in 21 out of 25 matches this season. However, their recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, with three wins and two losses in their last five outings, hinting at minor stability issues. This less-than-ideal streak extended to the KNVB Cup, where they suffered a midweek defeat to NEC Nijmegen (2-3). It's worth noting that the league leaders have shown some defensive laxity recently, conceding in 8 of their last 10 matches, although they remain potent up front, averaging over three goals per game.
Match Results: PSV
AZ Alkmaar Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the KNVB beker tournament (home team - AZ Alkmaar, away - Telstar). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the match stats (AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 8 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 1.
AZ Alkmaar sit in 6th place in the Eredivisie, largely due to their strong performances on the road, where they would rank 4th in the standings. Over the last five matches, AZ have shown slightly better form than their upcoming opponent, with three victories. During this period, the Alkmaar side advanced to the Round of 16 in the Conference League and reached the final of the KNVB Cup, defeating Telstar 2-1 midweek. The team's average scoring rate is around 1.6 goals per match, with a similar number conceded, indicating a balance between attack and defense.
Match Results: AZ Alkmaar
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- home team wins - 23, away team wins - 11, draws - 4.
Statistics: PSV vs AZ Alkmaar
- matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- wins: 21 vs 11;
- win percentage: 84% vs 44%;
- losses: 2 vs 8;
- draws: 2 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 6;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
- AZ Alkmaar won with a +2.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 away games against PSV (Eredivisie).
- AZ Alkmaar won with a +2.5 handicap in 31 of last 32 games (Eredivisie).
- AZ Alkmaar won with a +2.5 handicap in last 22 games.
- AZ Alkmaar won with a +2.5 handicap in last 15 away games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.16, the guests - 1.26;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.42;
- both teams scored: overall - 23; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: PSV vs AZ Alkmaar
- average total in the tournament: 4.12 vs 3.28;
- average total goals scored: 2.92 vs 1.68;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.6 vs 0.84;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.32 vs 0.84;
- PSV: average total at home in the tournament - 3.25;
- AZ Alkmaar: average total away in the tournament - 1.31;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.1 (home - 2.6) vs 1.6 (away - 0.75).
- PSV have conceded in last 8 home games against AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie).
- PSV have conceded in 13 of last 14 games.
- PSV have conceded in 9 of last 10 games (Eredivisie).
- AZ Alkmaar have scored in 10 of last 11 games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
PSV: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.32; at home field - 7.83;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7; at home field - 7.8.
AZ Alkmaar: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.44, away - 5.38;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; away - 4.
- PSV have taken under 6.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games against AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- both teams scored all-time - 23 times;
- on the home team’s field - 11 times.
Statistics: PSV vs AZ Alkmaar
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 18 vs 18;
- number of BTTS matches for PSV at home - 9 (75%);
- number of BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar away - 7 (54%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for PSV at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar away - 1 (25%).
- PSV have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 games (Eredivisie).
- PSV have scored and conceded in last 6 games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (25/225, 11.1%);
- PSV at home most often finish matches: 2:2 , 3:0 (2/12, 16.7%);
- AZ Alkmaar away most often play: 0:1 (3/13, 23.1%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 10.31% (odds 8.5)
2:0 - 8.8% (odds 9.2)
3:1 - 8.07% (odds 9.8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
PSV are adept at exploiting weaknesses in their opponents' defenses, but recent matches reveal their own defensive vulnerabilities. Eindhoven have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last six games. While their attacking prowess is unquestionable, boasting the highest average goal tally in the Netherlands, AZ's impressive away form this season suggests they can challenge the Eredivisie leaders even in Eindhoven. In 5 of the last 6 head-to-head encounters, both teams have consistently found the back of the net. We anticipate another thrilling encounter this time. Our prediction: both teams to score (yes).No comments
Betting Tips: PSV - AZ Alkmaar
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