PSV vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction 2 August 2026
🔊 On August 2nd at the Philips Stadion in Eindhoven, the league champions take on the Dutch Cup holders. For the hosts, this is familiar territory - they're in the Super Cup for the sixth year running. For the visitors, it's a rare shot at ending the dominance. Historically, PSV are the tournament's all-time leaders with 15 titles. AZ have just one win, back in 2009, and a final defeat in 2013. These are two sides at different levels, and playing away from home only reinforces AZ's status as the clear underdogs.
Head-to-Head
📊 The two sides have never met in the Super Cup. In the Eredivisie and the domestic cup, the record speaks for itself: 24 wins for PSV, 4 draws and just 11 for AZ. In each of the last three meetings, the champions scored at least twice. PSV's overall dominance is hard to argue with. The average across the last ten head-to-head matches is 3.5 goals per game. In the last five played at PSV's ground, each side has won twice with one draw.
Head-to-head statistics PSV - AZ Alkmaar
PSV Team Overview
PSV under Peter Bosz are a domestic winning machine. Three consecutive league titles, the best academy in the country, smart transfer policy. Selling Ismaël Saïbari to Bayern for €50 million is just the latest proof. Last season the red-and-whites scored 101 goals in 34 rounds, conceded 45, and finished 19 points clear of Feyenoord. Average total in their matches - 4.29 goals per game.
Among the new signings, Sven Mijnans stands out (from AZ for €13 million), along with goalkeeper Matěj Kovář from Bayer and several promising youngsters from Jong PSV. In pre-season the team looked decent: wins over Raków (3-2), Union (7-3) and Eindhoven (3-0), a draw with Antwerp (1-1) and a defeat to Villarreal (1-3).
Match Results: PSV
AZ Alkmaar Team Overview
Under Li-Roy Echteld, AZ focused on the domestic cup and the Conference League. Europe didn't go to plan - knocked out by Shakhtar in the quarter-finals - but they made up for it by thrashing NEC 5-1 in the Dutch Cup final. In the league, the Cheesemakers finished seventh, 32 points behind PSV. Top scorer Troy Parrott (16 goals) stayed, but second-highest scorer Sven Mijnans (11 goals) left for PSV - replaced by Calvin Stengs from Feyenoord. Stengs is an AZ academy product, though his performances in recent seasons have been inconsistent. They also brought in Italian midfielder Andrea Natali from Bayer's youth setup.
Away from home, the form has been poor: two wins, three draws and five defeats in their last ten competitive matches. In pre-season, Echteld's side beat Olympiacos (3-2), Genk (4-0) and Almere City (2-1), with their only loss coming against Anderlecht (0-1). Thirteen goals scored across six pre-season games.
Match Results: AZ Alkmaar
Latest news
PSV
❓ Several key PSV players missed a full pre-season after their World Cup commitments. Ivan Perišić, Sergino Dest, Guus Til, Ricardo Pepi, Paul Wanner and Esmir Bajrektarević are all doubts. On the positive side, Ruben van Bommel and Joey Veerman are back from injury.
AZ Alkmaar
✔ AZ's key advantage ahead of the Super Cup is a squad untouched by World Cup commitments. The roster is close to last season's, and every player has had a full pre-season.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
The World Cup set a clear trend: referees have been slower to reach for cards in the first half, letting the game breathe. In the second, when legs go and the stakes rise, the fouls pile up. In 4 of the last 5 matches involving these two sides, at least three yellows were shown. The bet - more yellow cards in the 2nd half than in the 1st.
⚽ Goals Prediction
PSV won't have their best XI available - key players are returning late from the World Cup. AZ kept their shape and their cup mentality, scoring in 5 of their last 6 pre-season matches. In 4 of those 6, they scored at least twice. PSV, meanwhile, conceded in 4 of 5 friendlies - the defence isn't ready. The bet - Both Teams To Score - Yes at 1.47*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Both sides play attacking football and spend plenty of time in the opposition half. PSV's last three official matches produced 20, 12 and 10 corners; AZ's brought 13, 10 and 7. In head-to-head meetings at PSV's ground, corners come thick and fast too - the last three games there delivered at least ten each. The bet - total corners over 9.5.
🚀 Player Stats Bet
Sven Mijnans moved from AZ to PSV in the summer of 2026 for €13 million. Last season: 21 goals in 50 appearances across all competitions, including the winner in the Cup final. Playing against his former club adds something extra. The bet - Sven Mijnans to score at 2.90*.
😱 Risky Bet
AZ finished seventh in the Eredivisie last season, but they were solid in the Cup - dominant, in fact, in the final. With PSV below full strength, the visitors could dig in for one match and avoid defeat. That said, backing them to win at the Philips in normal time is a stretch. If you're feeling bold - draw at 4.90*.
🎯 Safe Bet
PSV have been a regular fixture in the Super Cup since 2021. Only once - in 2023 - did a match produce fewer than 3 goals. The last two Super Cup editions combined for 11 goals. With PSV's squad issues and AZ's attacking approach, the conditions are there for an open game. The safe bet - total goals over 2.5 at 1.35*, which has landed in 20 consecutive PSV home matches.
👀 If the Match Goes Off-Script
AZ might come out pressing high, catch PSV cold and then try to hold on. But even shorthanded, PSV are the better side. In five of the last Super Cups, the champion scored in the final 15 minutes. In three of the last three head-to-heads in Eindhoven, one side scored in the last 15. Live bet to consider - goal after the 75th minute.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
PSV are the clear favourites, but keeping a clean sheet won't be easy. They conceded in 4 of their last 5 friendlies. AZ scored at least three in each of their last two matches - and not against weak opposition. Factor in PSV's injury problems, AZ's cup confidence and both teams' attacking instincts, and a high-scoring game looks likely. The main bet is total goals over 3.5, which landed in 7 of PSV's last 8 matches. Score prediction: 2-2 after 90 minutes.
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Betting Tips: PSV - AZ Alkmaar
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