Osasuna vs Mallorca Prediction 7 March 2026
🔊 Can the club from Pamplona live up to their favorite status in the upcoming match? The opening fixture of Saturday's La Liga schedule features a clash between Osasuna and Mallorca at El Sadar. While Alessio Lisci is doing an excellent job, having already established a solid gap from the relegation zone for his team, the management of "Los Bermellones" recently dismissed Jagoba Arrasate. The Spanish coach simply couldn't handle the team's crisis on the pitch. Bookmakers are giving Osasuna threefold odds advantage.
Head-to-Head
📊 Let's take a look at the outcomes from the last 10 head-to-head encounters: Osasuna have claimed 3 victories, there have been 5 draws, and Mallorca have secured 2 wins. Equally important is the average scoring rate for each side over the same period: both the "Reds" and the "Islanders" have averaged 1.3 goals per match. To recall, in the first round of the current championship, the teams couldn't determine a winner, ending in a 2-2 draw at the "Iberostar".
Head-to-head statistics Osasuna - Mallorca

Osasuna Team Overview
🔴 Over their last seven matches, the Reds have suffered just one defeat. This strong run has bolstered their position in the standings, with Osasuna currently sitting 10th, having accumulated 33 points from 26 matches. It's noteworthy that Alessio Lisci's squad excels particularly in home fixtures, earning 24 points from 12 games, which ranks them sixth in the league. On average, they score 1.15 goals per match while conceding the same number.
📌 In their last La Liga outing, Osasuna fell to Valencia with a 0-1 defeat. The setback at Mestalla was largely due to poor positional play from the Reds. They not only failed to unsettle the opponent's defense but also struggled to organize effectively at the back. Notably, Osasuna didn't register a single shot on target. The expected goals ratio also highlights their struggles, with Valencia leading 1.56 to 0.32. Recently, the Italian manager has favored a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on counter-attacking play. Osasuna's top scorer this season in La Liga is Ante Budimir, who has netted 12 goals in 25 appearances.
Match Results: Osasuna

Mallorca Team Overview
🔴 The "Islanders" are mired in a deep slump. Over their last six matches, they've managed just one victory, a 4-1 win over Sevilla. Such lackluster performances led to the dismissal of head coach Jagoba Arrasate. However, it would be unrealistic to expect Martin Demichelis to turn things around instantly. Currently, they are only 2 points adrift of the crucial 17th spot, keeping their hopes for a successful season alive. Let's look at their average performance stats: they score 1.12 goals per game while conceding 1.62.
⚫ Martin Demichelis's debut as Mallorca's head coach ended in disappointment with a home defeat to Real Sociedad (0-1). It was challenging to spot any signs of progress from the Islanders, as they displayed passive ball play and lacked balance across the lines. These factors contributed to yet another loss for the club. The Argentine tactician employed a 4-3-3 formation, aiming for high flanking activity to quickly regain possession and create threats through counterattacks. Mallorca's top scorer in the current La Liga season is Vedat Muriqi, boasting 16 goals in 25 league appearances.
Match Results: Mallorca
Latest news
Osasuna
🎤 Osasuna's head coach Alessio Lisci reflected on his team's defeat to Valencia (0-1) in the recent round of the national championship: "Valencia are a team that play with great intensity, especially at home, so it's normal for them to apply heavy pressure. They played the match we expected, even though they made some changes to their build-up play. They have a very clear style, and it was a good game decided by a small detail that they managed to capitalize on. That's how it goes. They won, and when you score, you deserve the victory-there's nothing more to it. The team that scores is always right. I think it was a match with very, very few chances. Perhaps Valencia had a few more approaches, but there were no clear-cut opportunities. It was likely a 0-0 game."
❌ Osasuna's Iker Benito remains sidelined with a knee injury.
Mallorca
🎤 After signing with Mallorca and officially taking the helm, Martin Demichelis addressed the media: “Thank you very much, Alfonso and Pablo. I'm thrilled to be back in Spain and to be here. Knowing that a significant challenge lies ahead, I come from a country where what Mallorca is experiencing today is just a breeze. We need unity. When there's synergy between the people and the team, everything becomes easier, and it makes it much tougher for our opponents. We're grateful to the fans. Let them keep coming and believing. We have 12 matches ahead, and I have great faith in the team to achieve this. I see this as a very receptive group, and I have no doubt that by working hard every day, we can turn things around. There's a lot of talent here to improve and support each other. It's clear that the team is emotionally shaken, and that's where we need to focus the most. I feel like many of those I've encountered feel as if we're already in the 37th match. There's still a long way to go.”
❌ In Mallorca's infirmary, Javier Llabrés (muscle strain) and Jan Salas (knee injury) remain sidelined.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Expecting a high-scoring affair in the upcoming clash would be, at the very least, optimistic. Let's first consider each side's average scoring rate this season: the "Reds" at 1.2, and the "Islanders" at 1.1. It's equally important to note the current statistical trend - in 6 of their last 8 head-to-head meetings, no more than two goals were scored. Our editorial choice is under 2.5 total goals.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Both clubs rank among the league's worst for average corners earned per game: the "Reds" at 3.2 and the "Islanders" at 3.4. Notably, in 9 of Osasuna's last 10 matches, there were no more than 10 corner kicks. A similar trend is evident in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head encounters. Our editorial pick is Mallorca's individual total corners under 6.5.
Editorial Prediction
The "Reds" find themselves in a more comfortable position. Firstly, Alessio Lisci's squad has successfully adapted to their tactical model. Secondly, they traditionally perform well at "El Sadar." Conversely, Mallorca are grappling with significant structural issues that Martin Demichelis is unlikely to resolve immediately. We foresee a final score of 1-0, with the key bet being an Osasuna victory.
