Lokomotiv vs Akhmat Prediction 9 March 2026
🔊 Whose winning streak in the RPL is more likely to continue-Lokomotiv's or Akhmat's? Before heading into the winter break, both teams had already secured two consecutive wins, and in the 19th round after the championship resumed, they extended their streaks to three. Notably, Akhmat faced a much tougher opponent-CSKA. Can Stanislav Cherchesov find a way to unlock another Moscow club? We'll evaluate the odds in our editorial's prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over a stretch of ten matches, Lokomotiv have secured three times as many victories as Akhmat: six to two. The teams have also shared the spoils twice. However, it's worth noting that the Grozny side have performed quite well at the RZD Arena, managing to score in at least six consecutive encounters there.
Head-to-head statistics Lokomotiv - Akhmat

Lokomotiv Moscow Team Overview
Mikhail Galaktionov's Lokomotiv made a strong return from the winter break, securing a victory against Pari NN in the 19th round of the RPL. While the result might seem ordinary, the Moscow side played the entire second half with a man down. Nonetheless, they managed to take the lead through a Lucas Fasson goal and held on for a 2-1 win.
Midweek, Loko faced a trip to Tula to play Arsenal in the playoffs of the Russian Cup's Path of Regions. Despite fielding a reserve squad, the visitors unsurprisingly took control, achieving 58% possession. The attacking stats were relatively even, but the "Railroaders" capitalized on their chances more effectively, deciding the match in the first half with a 2-1 scoreline.
Match Results: Lokomotiv Moscow

Akhmat Grozny Team Overview
Ahmat are riding a three-game winning streak in the RPL, starting from the end of the first half of the season. This impressive run has propelled the Grozny side from 12th to 7th place. Currently, Stanislav Cherchesov's squad find themselves equidistant from both the top six, trailing by seven points, and the relegation playoff zone, leading by eight points.
In the 19th round of the RPL, Ahmat hosted CSKA and secured a hard-fought 1-0 victory. True to their style under Cherchesov, the Grozny team were not afraid to concede possession to the Moscow club (35% to 65% in possession), yet they managed to attack almost as frequently (17 shots to 21). Notably, the hosts scored as early as the 4th minute and maintained their lead until the final whistle, even though they didn't resort to defensive clearances.
Match Results: Akhmat Grozny
Latest news
Lokomotiv Moscow
🎙 RPL's top scorer Alexey Batrakov shared his thoughts on his goal-scoring achievements in a recent interview: “Yes, it feels good to be leading, but that's about it. I don't set goals to necessarily be the top scorer. I just want to score regularly, and that's what I'll aim for. Still, the most important thing is Lokomotiv's strong position; I want to win something already.”
❌ The cup match against Arsenal ended prematurely for Sergey Pinyayev due to an injury. Alexander Rudenko will also miss the upcoming game after receiving a red card in the 19th round of the RPL.
Akhmat Grozny
🎙 Akhmat's head coach shared his thoughts on his team's performance against CSKA. “I'm pleased with the game; we defeated a strong opponent. It's impossible to dominate for the full 90 minutes, but I saw what I wanted from the team - unity, spirit, and determination. We accomplished our task, and that's why we won,” said Stanislav Cherchesov.
❌ Only one player will miss the upcoming round. Ismael Silva received an additional yellow card in the 19th round and will not play against Lokomotiv.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
The main referee for the match is Pavel Kukuyan. Over his last 20 RPL matches, he averages 4.5 yellow cards per game. He's a solid choice for this fixture, considering that in 4 out of the last 6 head-to-head encounters between these teams, there have been at least four bookings. Stanislav Cherchesov's teams always have a special approach when facing Moscow clubs - the former Russian national team coach knows how to challenge them. Therefore, we can expect plenty of physical play, with the total yellow cards exceeding 3.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Historically, Akhmat perform well on Lokomotiv's home turf. The Grozny side has scored in their last six consecutive matches at RZD Arena. Additionally, Lokomotiv's defense is far from perfect, as evidenced by their recent cup match against Arsenal Tula from the FNL, where the latter not only found the net but also trailed Moscow in attacks by just a single shot (five to six). Given these circumstances, it's quite likely that Akhmat will score a goal.
🚩 Corner Prediction
There's little doubt that Akhmat, especially in Moscow, will adopt a defensive strategy. Stanislav Cherchesov has been an advocate of such tactics since his time with the Russian national team. This scenario might leave Lokomotiv with no option but to create chances through set pieces. However, Galaktionov's squad struggles in this area: they rank fourth from the bottom among RPL teams in average corners per game (3.58 over 19 rounds). Moreover, in their last 11 consecutive home matches, the "Railwaymen" haven't managed more than five corners. With these factors in mind, a bet on Lokomotiv's total corners under 5.5 seems reasonable.
Editorial Prediction
Both teams have likely prepared well for the second half of the season, extending their winning streak in the RPL to three matches each. The visitors might have an edge in terms of physical fitness, as Loko played a cup match midweek. Despite Moscow's dominant head-to-head record, the Grozny side consistently put up a fight at the RZD Arena, scoring in six consecutive games there. There's no doubt about Lokomotiv's attacking prowess, being the top-scoring team in Russia. Therefore, it's reasonable to bet on both teams to score (yes). We give a slight edge to the more prestigious hosts with a predicted scoreline of 2-1.