Leipzig vs Augsburg Prediction 7 March 2026
🔊 Leipzig are set to face a resurgent Augsburg at the Red Bull Arena in the 25th round. Ole Werner's side need a win to stay in contention for a Champions League spot. The visitors, meanwhile, have settled comfortably in mid-table; they aren't vying for European competitions but maintain a solid cushion above the relegation zone. In the first-round match, the Bavarian club suffered a humiliating defeat at the WWK Arena. Can the Fuggerstädter exact revenge on the Red Bulls on Saxon soil?
Head-to-Head
📊 The last time these teams faced off was in the 8th round of the current season. Back then, Leipzig thrashed the Fuggerstädter at the WWK Arena with a resounding 6-0 victory, while Sandro Wagner was still at the helm. Following that humiliating defeat, Augsburg nearly found themselves among the bottom three, but under the guidance of Manuel Baum, they have become a much more formidable force. Meanwhile, Leipzig have gone 16 matches unbeaten against Augsburg (10 wins and 6 draws). This marks their longest unbeaten run against a single opponent in their Bundesliga history.
Head-to-head statistics Leipzig - Augsburg
Leipzig Team Overview
⚪ In their last match, Leipzig staged a comeback to end Hamburg's six-game unbeaten streak, securing a 2-1 victory at the Volksparkstadion. This season, Ole Werner's side has gained a reputation for frequently letting leads slip, failing to win seven matches where they were ahead. However, against Hamburg, the Red Bulls managed to clinch their first Bundesliga victory of the season after trailing during the match.
🔴 Yan Diomande scored the winning goal in the second half, while Romulo equalized before halftime with a clever backheel. Leipzig's victory was well-deserved, as evidenced by the xG statistics: the visitors had a commanding expected goals advantage of 3.09 to 0.52. Currently, the Saxony club sits in fifth place with 44 points, trailing third-placed Hoffenheim by just two points, leaving the race for a Champions League spot wide open.
Match Results: Leipzig
Augsburg Team Overview
🔴 Augsburg have climbed to ninth place in the Bundesliga standings following their 2-0 victory over Cologne in the 24th round. Rodrigo Ribeiro and Alexis Claude-Maurice were instrumental in securing the "Fuggers'" third consecutive win. The Bavarians have lost just one of their last eight Bundesliga matches and have won five of their last six encounters. Moreover, their performance from the 19th round to the present is the best in the division.
🟢 In the first 12 matches of the season under Sandro Wagner, Augsburg managed to earn only 10 points. Since Manuel Baum returned as head coach, the team has already collected 21 points in 12 matches. Additionally, their defensive play has significantly improved: previously conceding 27 goals, they've allowed just 14 since the coaching change. They are nine points clear of the relegation zone, and a win in Leipzig could propel the "Fuggers" up to seventh place.
Match Results: Augsburg
Latest news
Leipzig
🎙️ Ole Werner after the victory in Hamburg: "We controlled the game throughout the entire match. Everyone did what they were supposed to do. Because of this, we hardly allowed the opponent to create dangerous chances, and ultimately, the emotions of the fans, which often play a significant role in Hamburg, couldn't really influence the course of the game. For the first time, we managed to come from behind and win. This shows how composed the team remained even when we were trailing. We didn't panic and stuck to our game plan. We could have wrapped up the match even earlier."
❌ The injury list remains unchanged: Viggo Gebel, Assan Ouedraogo, Kosta Nedelkovic, Xaver Schlager, Peter Gulacsi, and Suleman Sani are unavailable.
Augsburg
🎙️ Manuel Baum after the victory over Cologne: "First and foremost, I'm really happy for the club. This was our 500th game in the Bundesliga and our 150th win in this competition, all while wearing special edition jerseys. It was even more gratifying to deliver a win for those who have put so much effort into this club and to see so many happy faces in the stands. The match had several different phases and moments of tension. Today, we defended excellently, and the team responded very well to Cologne's tactical changes. Overall, it was a well-deserved victory."
❌ In addition to Jeffrey Gouweleeuw and Chrislain Matsima, another central defender, Cedric Zesiger, will be unavailable for Saturday's game due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
Martin Petersen will officiate the clash at the Red Bull Arena. Over his last 10 matches, the referee has averaged 4.6 yellow cards per game. Leipzig are one of the most disciplined teams in the league, with just 36 yellow cards over 24 rounds (an average of 1.5 per match). Augsburg, on the other hand, are known for their aggressive play, having received 63 warnings (an average of 2.6 per game). Therefore, it seems reasonable to consider over 3.5 yellow cards, a scenario that also occurred in their first-round head-to-head.
⚽ Goal Prediction
For Leipzig, Augsburg are considered one of the more manageable opponents, though this doesn't guarantee an easy match. The "Red Bulls" have already conceded 33 goals, more than any other team in the top six. Meanwhile, they've netted 46 times, fewer than the other top-five teams. Hence, we suggest considering Leipzig's individual total under 2.5 goals, which has been a trend in 11 of their last 12 matches.
🚩 Corner Prediction
The hosts average 5.5 corners per match in the league, while the visitors average 4.7. It's clear that the "Red Bulls" will likely dominate possession and pose more threats to their opponent's goal than the "Fuggers". Attacks from the wings could be particularly dangerous, given Ole Werner's array of strong wingers. However, we recommend considering Leipzig's individual total under 7.5 corners, a pattern that has occurred in eight consecutive matches at the Red Bull Arena.
Editorial Prediction
When making a prediction for this match, it's best not to rely on the result from their head-to-head earlier in the season. Augsburg have transformed into a different force entirely. It's also intriguing that this encounter features two of the most physically imposing teams in the Bundesliga, as they are the only clubs averaging over 200 duels per match this season.
Leipzig are clear favorites, despite a less than convincing mid-season run with just four wins in their last ten fixtures. However, if the "Red Bulls" aim to secure a Champions League spot for next season, they cannot afford to drop points in the remaining ten rounds, especially in their five home games. Therefore, our editorial team predicts a Leipzig victory. The likely scoreline: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Leipzig - Augsburg
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