Alianza Lima vs Melgar Prediction 10 March 2026
🔊 Alianza Lima and Melgar are gearing up for an intriguing clash, with the hosts appearing more confident. Alianza Lima have been delivering consistent performances, boasting three wins and two draws in their last five matches. Melgar, on the other hand, are going through a rough patch, having lost three of their last five games. Both teams are highly motivated by the tournament stakes: Alianza are leading the standings, while Melgar are eager to climb up the table.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between the teams took place on 01 November 2025 and ended in a 2-2 draw. Here's a breakdown of the match statistics (with Alianza Lima as the home side):
- possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corners: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 10 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 9 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Alianza Lima and Melgar:
- 42 matches played;
- home wins - 17, away wins - 14, draws - 11;
- goals scored - 52 against 49;
- average first-half total - 0.88, second-half - 1.52;
- average total goals per match - 2.4.
Head-to-head statistics Alianza Lima - Melgar
Alianza Lima Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primera Division, with UT Cajamarca hosting Alianza Lima. The match ended 0-1.
Here are the game statistics (Alianza Lima vs UT Cajamarca):
- possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corners: 8 vs 4;
- fouls: 10 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
Alianza Lima continue to impress with their results and form. The team currently sit atop the table, underscoring their determination to win. In their last five matches, Alianza have remained unbeaten, securing three victories. Their defense is rock-solid, conceding just 0.4 goals per game, while their attack consistently delivers, averaging more than one goal per match this season. At home, the team showcase an exciting attacking style, regularly finding the back of the net.
Match Results: Alianza Lima
FBC Melgar Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Copa Sudamericana, with Cienciano hosting Melgar. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Melgar vs Cienciano):
- possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 6;
- fouls: 8 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
Melgar have been facing some challenges in recent matches, as reflected in their current form. With three losses in their last five games, they are showing signs of inconsistency. Nevertheless, the team boasts significant attacking potential, averaging 2 goals per game. This makes them a formidable opponent, despite their defensive issues. Sitting in fifth place on the table, Melgar have the opportunity to climb higher and will be eager to capitalize on this. However, they will need to pay special attention to their defense when facing Alianza Lima.
Match Results: FBC Melgar
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 42;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 8; for visitors away - 5; number of draws - 8;
- Average first-half total: 0.88;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.4, while the visitors net 0.48.
First-Half Stats: Alianza Lima (home) vs FBC Melgar (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- wins: 2 (100%) vs 1 (50%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- draws: 0 (0%) vs 1 (50%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 0.5;
- Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 6;
- losses: 0 vs 1;
- draws: 6 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.2) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.2).
- Alianza Lima scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 home games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 42;
- home team wins - 17, away team wins - 14, draws - 11.
Statistics: Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar
- matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 5;
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- win percentage: 80% vs 60%;
- losses: 0 vs 2;
- draws: 1 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 5;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 1.
- FBC Melgar won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 14 away games against Alianza Lima.
- FBC Melgar won with a +1.5 handicap in 20 of last 21 games.
- FBC Melgar won with a +1.5 handicap in 19 of last 20 games (Primera Division).
- FBC Melgar won with a +1.5 handicap in 16 of last 17 away games (Primera Division).
- FBC Melgar won with a +1.5 handicap in 14 of last 15 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.24, the guests - 1.17;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.4;
- both teams scored: overall - 18; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar
- average total in the tournament: 1.6 vs 3.2;
- average total goals scored: 1.2 vs 2;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.6 vs 1;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.6 vs 1;
- Alianza Lima: average total at home in the tournament - 1.5;
- FBC Melgar: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 2) vs 1.7 (away - 1.2).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Alianza Lima home games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 8 FBC Melgar games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 7 FBC Melgar games (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
Alianza Lima: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.4; at home field - 9;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; at home field - 7.2.
FBC Melgar: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.8, away - 6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.9; away - 5.
- Alianza Lima have taken under 5.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games against FBC Melgar.
- Alianza Lima have taken under 5.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games against FBC Melgar (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 42;
- both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar
- number of matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 5;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 3;
- number of BTTS matches for Alianza Lima at home - 1 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for FBC Melgar away - 2 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Alianza Lima at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for FBC Melgar away - 4 (80%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (11/46, 23.9%);
- Alianza Lima at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 2:1 (1/2, 50%);
- FBC Melgar away most often play: 1:2 , 3:1 (1/2, 50%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 12.35% (odds 6)
1:1 - 11.21% (odds 7)
2:0 - 10.19% (odds 7)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Analyzing the current trends and form of both teams, it's reasonable to expect a match full of scoring opportunities. Alianza Lima have been delivering impressive performances at home, backed by their strong position at the top of the table and consistent attacking play. Melgar also boast high offensive potential and are capable of breaking through their opponent's defense. However, their inconsistent form on the road could be a disadvantage. Considering Alianza Lima's home game statistics, we predict a total of over 2.5 goals in the upcoming match.
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Betting Tips: Alianza Lima - FBC Melgar
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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