Cagliari vs Genoa Prediction 7 March 2025
🔊 What will the opening match of the 28th round of Serie A be remembered for? At first glance, there is no clear favorite in the upcoming clash. Cagliari at the "Unipol Domus" is traditionally a tough opponent for any club, especially now when points are critically important for the fight to remain in the top division. And Genoa is not as strong as they were in the first games after Patrick Vieira's appointment as head coach. In this situation, we will try to analyze all the details to provide you with an accurate prediction.
Head-to-Head
In head-to-head encounters, Genoa has a slight advantage. Over a span of 37 matches, Cagliari recorded 13 victories, while the "griffin" achieved a positive result in 18 cases. In the first-round game, Patrick Vieira's team also looked better than their opponent, but two conceded penalties prevented them from gaining 2 additional points (2-2).
Head-to-head statistics Cagliari - Genoa
Cagliari Calcio Team Overview
Recently, Cagliari has been showing less than acceptable results. Due to an extremely challenging schedule, the team has managed to earn only 4 points in 6 matches. Last weekend, the "Islanders" were thoroughly defeated by Bologna, despite the harmless scoreline (1-2). Over 90 minutes of play, Davide Nicola's team managed only 2 shots on goal with a total xG of 0.58. Prior to that, Cagliari failed to show decent football in a home encounter against Juventus (0-1), which still cannot find its game after Thiago Motta's appointment as head coach. Even so, Cagliari is positioned at 15th place, with a 3-point gap from the relegation zone. As for the upcoming match, the participation of 2 players is in doubt, including Michel Adopo, who was substituted in the last match at the 67th minute due to an injury.
Match Results: Cagliari Calcio
Genoa Team Overview
Genoa has not performed better than Cagliari in recent matches. Since the beginning of February, the team has managed to secure only one victory, despite having played five times during this period. In the previous round, the "griffins" were unable to defeat Empoli at home (1-1), even though Empoli is in a deep crisis, suffering defeat after defeat. Moreover, Patrick Vieira's squad could have left the field without any points if not for a mistake by the "blues" goalkeeper Marco Silvestri, who conceded a bizarre goal reminiscent of Igor Akinfeev's blunder against South Korea in the 2014 World Cup. Due to these results, Genoa has fallen to twelfth place in the standings but still maintains a decent gap from the relegation zone. As for the upcoming clash, up to four players might miss the game, including Morten Thorsby and Mattia Bani, who are important parts of the starting lineup.
Match Results: Genoa
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Matches between Cagliari and Genoa are clearly not the place to expect a large number of goals. Both teams have scored very few this season. If the "Islanders" have hit the opponent's net 27 times, while the "Griffin" has troubled their opponents' goalkeepers 25 times, which is one of the worst records in the Italian championship. Additionally, a total goals under 2.5 bet often succeeds in Genoa's matches due to Patrick Vieira's extremely defensive football approach. In 5 of the last 6 games, no more than 2 goals were scored. The only exception was the match against Fiorentina (1-2). In such a situation, the best decision would be to opt for this betting option.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Cagliari has long been among the leaders in the number of corners earned. However, the team has been approaching the corner flag less frequently, which has noticeably lowered their average total (to 5.1 corners). In the last 3 matches, the "Islanders" have taken a total of 9 corners (an average of 3.0 times per game). Genoa is among the worst teams in Serie A in this statistical category, so the best decision would be to go with a total corners under 9.5 option.
Editor's Prediction
Bookmakers slightly favor Cagliari in the upcoming matchup. However, it's hard to agree with this opinion. Recently, the "islanders'" performance has raised many questions. Davide Nicola's team is not only facing serious issues in collecting points, but they also struggle to create even a single decent chance at the opponent's goal. Even the home stadium advantage has ceased to be beneficial. Although Genoa has slowed down, the team can quickly regain optimal form, considering the high class of players. Given that the "griffins" have suffered only one defeat in the last 10 head-to-head matches, our main bet will be Genoa will not lose. Moreover, we wouldn't be surprised if the scoreboard shows a score of 0-1 after 90 minutes.
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Betting Tips: Cagliari Calcio - Genoa
in 9 of last 10 games against Genoa.in 7 of last 8 games against Genoa (Serie A).
in 21 of last 22 games against Genoa (Serie A).in 9 of last 10 home games against Genoa (Serie A).in 13 of last 14 games.in 12 of last 13 games (Serie A).in 9 of last 10 home games.in 10 of last 11 home games against Genoa (Serie A).in 6 of last 7 Genoa games (Serie A).
in last 5 Michael Fabbri games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
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