Nijmegen vs Heracles Prediction 7 February 2026
🔊 In the 22nd round of the Eredivisie, NEC Nijmegen host Heracles Almelo. NEC are in scintillating form, having remained unbeaten since December-a nearly flawless run spanning 12 matches. The team plays with an attacking flair, averaging 2.6 goals per game. Heracles, on the other hand, are facing challenges, losing four of their last five encounters. Their defense is prone to frequent errors, conceding over two goals per game on average. Can the visitors mount a worthy challenge against the in-form hosts? Let's delve into our prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 16 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:4. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Heracles Almelo):
- ball possession percentage: 18% vs 82%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 9 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 11.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams NEC Nijmegen and Heracles Almelo:
- played 10 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 5, for the away team - 4, draws - 1;
- number of goals - 15 against 11;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.1, in the 2nd half - 1.5;
- average total goals in the match - 2.6.
Head-to-head statistics Nijmegen - Heracles

NEC Nijmegen Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the KNVB beker tournament (home team - NEC Nijmegen, away team - Volendam). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here's the game statistics (NEC Nijmegen vs Volendam):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 6;
- fouls: 6 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
NEC Nijmegen are sitting in third place on the table with a game in hand, which means they could break into the top two based on points lost. The team has been in solid form, boasting a five-match winning streak across all competitions. In their last head-to-head with Heracles, NEC thrashed their opponents 4-1. This season, the "Reds" are renowned for their powerful attack and ball control. Over their last 12 matches, they have secured 10 wins and two draws, averaging more than two goals per game.
Match Results: NEC Nijmegen

Heracles Almelo Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Heracles Almelo, away - Fortuna Sittard). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the match stats (Heracles Almelo vs Fortuna Sittard):
- ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 17 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 7 vs 6.
Heracles Almelo are currently sitting 16th out of 18 in the league standings and are struggling with their form, having secured only two wins in their last ten matches while suffering six defeats. The team often plays on the counter, but their weak defense hampers their ability to capitalize on counterattacks, conceding an average of more than two goals per game. Nevertheless, the "black and whites" have managed to score in 6 of their last 7 away games, suggesting they might spring a surprise against one of the league leaders, NEC.
Match Results: Heracles Almelo
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 10;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 4, draws - 1.
Statistics: NEC Nijmegen vs Heracles Almelo
- matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 21;
- wins: 11 vs 5;
- win percentage: 55% vs 24%;
- losses: 4 vs 14;
- draws: 5 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 8 vs 2;
- losses: 0 vs 6;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- NEC Nijmegen have won in last 5 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.5, the guests - 1.1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.6;
- both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: NEC Nijmegen vs Heracles Almelo
- average total in the tournament: 4.3 vs 3.95;
- average total goals scored: 2.6 vs 1.43;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.95 vs 0.67;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.65 vs 0.76;
- NEC Nijmegen: average total at home in the tournament - 2.78;
- Heracles Almelo: average total away in the tournament - 0.91;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.5 (home - 2) vs 1.5 (away - 1.6).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 5 NEC Nijmegen games against Heracles Almelo (Eredivisie).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 NEC Nijmegen games.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 NEC Nijmegen home games (Eredivisie).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 8 NEC Nijmegen games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
NEC Nijmegen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.35; at home field - 5.89;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; at home field - 5.75.
Heracles Almelo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.29, away - 4.18;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; away - 3.4.
- Under 10.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Heracles Almelo games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 10;
- both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: NEC Nijmegen vs Heracles Almelo
- number of matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 21;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 16 vs 12;
- number of BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen at home - 6 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Heracles Almelo away - 6 (55%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 9 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Heracles Almelo away - 4 (80%).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in last 5 games against Heracles Almelo (Eredivisie).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 10 of last 11 games.
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in last 8 games (Eredivisie).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games (Eredivisie).
- Heracles Almelo have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 away games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (24/187, 12.8%);
- NEC Nijmegen at home most often finish matches: 2:1 (2/9, 22.2%);
- Heracles Almelo away most often play: 2:0 , 2:1 , 4:0 (2/11, 18.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 9.78% (odds 8)
3:1 - 8.22% (odds 10)
2:0 - 7.26% (odds 9)