Monza vs Avellino Prediction 8 February 2026
📢 How will the match between Monza and Avellino conclude in the 23rd round of Serie B? Monza, currently sitting in third place, are eager to solidify their position among the leaders and continue their push for promotion. The team has shown strong form with five wins in their last ten matches and a solid defensive performance. Avellino, on the other hand, are in 12th place and are looking to improve their play following a series of disappointing results. Their inconsistent performances make them unpredictable.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 12 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Avellino):
- ball possession percentage: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 3;
- fouls: 22 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 1 vs 1.
📊 Officially, Monza and Avellino have faced each other just once in the past 10 years.
Head-to-head statistics Monza - Avellino
Monza Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Padova, away team - Monza). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here's the game statistics (Monza vs Padova):
- ball possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 3;
- fouls: 9 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 8 vs 1.
Monza, renowned for their consistency throughout the season, rightfully sit in third place in the standings. The "Biancorossi" have been solid on home turf, boasting a streak of five wins in their last ten matches. Their strong defense is key to maintaining an edge over opponents, conceding an average of just 0.82 goals per match. Offensively, they are equally effective, averaging 1.55 goals per game.
Match Results: Monza
Avellino Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Avellino, away - Cesena). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:1.
Here are the match stats (Avellino vs Cesena):
- ball possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 4;
- fouls: 9 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
Avellino are struggling to find consistency this season, which has left them in 12th place in the Serie B standings. Over their last ten matches, they have secured three victories while suffering four defeats. Despite these challenges, they remain capable of surprising their opponents with sudden bursts of energy-evident in their recent clash against Monza, where they triumphed 2-1 at home.
Match Results: Avellino
Latest news
Monza
The hosts have two players whose participation is uncertain. Omari Forson and Valentin Antov are doubtful due to meniscus and ligament injuries respectively, with a decision on their involvement to be made closer to the match.
Avellino
The visitors have a few issues as well. Justin Kumi remains doubtful due to an injury, and his availability will become clearer closer to the game.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 1;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 1;
- Today's home team scores on average 0, while the visitors net 1.
First-Half Stats: Monza (home) vs Avellino (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- wins: 5 (45.45%) vs 1 (9.09%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 4 (36.36%);
- draws: 6 (54.55%) vs 6 (54.55%);
- Average goals scored: 1.18 vs 1.64;
- Average goals conceded: 0.27 vs 1.09.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 5;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 5 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.5).
- Monza scored in the 1st half in last 5 home games (Serie B).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 1, draws - 0.
Statistics: Monza vs Avellino
- matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- wins: 13 vs 7;
- win percentage: 59% vs 32%;
- losses: 4 vs 8;
- draws: 5 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
- Avellino won with a +1.5 handicap in last 9 games (Serie B).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Monza vs Avellino
- average total in the tournament: 2.36 vs 2.82;
- average total goals scored: 1.55 vs 1.23;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.73 vs 0.68;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.82 vs 0.55;
- Monza: average total at home in the tournament - 1.73;
- Avellino: average total away in the tournament - 0.91;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 2.2) vs 1.1 (away - 0.5).
- Monza have conceded in 8 of last 9 games (Serie B).
Prediction on corners
Monza: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.82; at home field - 6.18;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.2; at home field - 6.
Avellino: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.18, away - 3.45;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; away - 4.
- Avellino have taken over 2.5 corners in last 6 games (Serie B).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Monza vs Avellino
- number of matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 12;
- number of BTTS matches for Monza at home - 5 (45%);
- number of BTTS matches for Avellino away - 5 (45%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Monza at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Avellino away - 1 (25%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (37/220, 16.8%);
- Monza at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (4/11, 36.4%);
- Avellino away most often play: 1:1 (3/11, 27.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 14.29% (odds 6)
2:0 - 11.28% (odds 7.5)
1:1 - 10.83% (odds 7.5)
Editor's Prediction
Monza enter this clash as the clear favorites, which makes sense given their position in the standings and overall level of play. However, recently their defense has been less than stellar, frequently making costly mistakes at the back. In eight of their last nine league matches, Monza have consistently conceded, providing opponents with scoring opportunities. In this scenario, betting on an Avellino goal seems a more reasonable choice.
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Betting Tips: Monza - Avellino
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in last 8 home games (Serie B).in 14 of last 15 games (Serie B).in 13 of last 14 away games.in 10 of last 11 away games (Serie B).in last 7 Avellino away games (Serie B).
in last 14 Livio Marinelli games (in the Serie B).in last 10 Livio Marinelli games.in 8 of last 9 games (Serie B).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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