Cerro vs Danubio Prediction 9 February 2026

    📢 The opening round of the Uruguayan Primera Division features an intriguing clash between Cerro and Danubio. The first match of the season always carries an element of uncertainty, as teams are just finding their rhythm after a lengthy offseason. Fans at the "Luis Troccoli" stadium are eager to witness the uncompromising battle typical of traditional South American football. Both teams are keen to kick off the championship on a high note, aiming to immediately assert their ambitions for top positions in the league standings.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams ended with a 5-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative analysis of that encounter (Danubio were the hosts):

    • possession: 58% vs 42%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 2.

    📊Analytical review of past official encounters between Cerro and Danubio:

    • 38 matches played;
    • home team wins - 10, away team wins - 17, draws - 11;
    • goals scored (home/away) - 38 to 44;
    • average total goals per match - 2.16.

    Head-to-head statistics Cerro - Danubio

    28%
    11 Wins
    28%
    11 Draws
    45%
    18 Wins
    Total games
    40
    Total Goals Avg
    2.1
    Both teams scored
    45%
    0.98
    Total average
    1.13
    1.7
    Yellow cards
    1.5
    Last matches
    09.08.26
    Primera Division
    Danubio
    Danubio
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    11
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    11
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    09.02.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1
    Danubio
    Danubio
    -
    -
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    14.09.25
    Primera Division
    Danubio
    Danubio
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    3
    2
    5
    1
    4
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    3
    2
    23.03.25
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Danubio FC
    Danubio FC
    1
    0
    0
    0
    6
    0
    0
    3
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    6
    0
    0
    3
    3
    14.11.24
    Primera Division
    Danubio
    Danubio
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    3
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Cerro Team Overview

    Cerro have shown mixed form in their recent outings, winning two out of their last five matches (WDLDW), though they suffered a defeat in their most recent game. They average 0.9 goals per match, indicating issues with their attacking line. Their defense isn't always reliable either, conceding an average of one goal per game. Despite these challenges, Cerro are known as "serrita" for their fighting spirit and unpredictability on the field.

    Match Results: Cerro

    Last matches
    21.08.26
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    13
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    4
    0
    0
    0
    4
    0
    -
    -
    13
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    L
    15.08.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Albion
    Albion
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    09.08.26
    Primera Division
    Danubio
    Danubio
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    11
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    11
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    W
    03.08.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    L
    26.07.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    7
    -
    -
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    7
    -
    -
    3
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Danubio Team Overview

    Danubio are in good form with two consecutive wins before a recent loss to their rivals (WWL). The team's average scoring rate stands at 1.2 goals per match, coupled with a relatively solid defense conceding just 0.8 goals per game. In their last head-to-head encounter, they thrashed Cerro 5-1, showcasing their ability to capitalize on opponents' mistakes.

    Match Results: Danubio

    Last matches
    26.08.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Danubio
    Danubio
    Atenas de San Carlos
    Atenas de San Carlos
    -
    -
    5
    4
    8
    12
    3
    3
    3
    2
    3
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    8
    12
    3
    3
    W
    23.08.26
    Primera Division
    Danubio
    Danubio
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    3
    2
    D
    14.08.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Danubio
    Danubio
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    D
    09.08.26
    Primera Division
    Danubio
    Danubio
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    11
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    11
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    L
    01.08.26
    Primera Division
    Albion
    Albion
    Danubio
    Danubio
    -
    -
    10
    4
    -
    -
    2
    4
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    -
    -
    10
    4
    -
    -
    2
    4
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 38;
    • home team wins - 10, away team wins - 17, draws - 11.

    Statistics: Cerro vs Danubio

    • matches played in the tournament: 0 vs 0;
    • wins: 0 vs 0;
    • win percentage: 0% vs 0%;
    • losses: 0 vs 0;
    • draws: 0 vs 0.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 5 vs 4;
    • losses: 3 vs 4;
    • draws: 2 vs 2.
    Trends
    • Cerro have not lost in 7 of last 8 games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Cerro will not lose(odds: 1.57)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • the home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1.16;
    • average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.16;
    • both teams scored: overall - 18; at the home team's field - 9.
    Trends
    • Cerro have not conceded in last 5 home games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Danubio will not score goal(odds: 2.8)

    Prediction on corners

    Trends
    • Cerro have taken under 4.5 corners in 16 of last 17 games.
    • Cerro have taken under 4.5 corners in 15 of last 16 games (Primera Division).
    • Cerro have taken under 4.5 corners in 13 of last 14 home games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Cerro Total Under (4,5)(odds: 1.69)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 38;
    • both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 9 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.59)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Cerro traditionally showcase a solid performance on their home turf, where the support from the stands adds extra pressure on any opponent. At the start of the championship, teams rarely take risks and prioritize organized defense, making it significantly challenging for visitors to break down defensive setups. Danubio often struggles to capitalize on their chances in away matches against resilient sides that favor disciplined and tight football. Considering the home advantage and the cautious nature of first-round matches, there's a high probability that the hosts will avoid defeat. A 0-0 draw is possible.

    Cerro will not lose
    Published: 07/02/2026, 08:51

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    Betting Tips: Cerro - Danubio

    Danubio have drawn in the 1st half:
    danubio-fcin 7 of last 8 away games (Primera Division).
    danubio-fcin 6 of last 7 games.
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    -115
    Cerro have not lost:
    ca-cerroin 7 of last 8 games (Primera Division).
    Cerro will not lose
    Everygame
    -172
    Under 2.5 goals scored:
    ca-cerroin 7 of last 8 Cerro games (Primera Division).
    ca-cerroin last 6 Cerro home games (Primera Division).
    danubio-fcin 7 of last 8 Danubio games.
    danubio-fcin 6 of last 7 Danubio games (Primera Division).
    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -250
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    in 7 of last 8 Javier Feres games (in the Primera Division).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -167
    View more facts

    Cerro - Danubio Table position

    Primera Division 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    10.
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    1562716-2120
    11.
    Danubio
    Danubio
    1546517-2118
    12.
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    1552816-1917
    14.
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    1543817-2215
    15.
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1524912-2310
    16.
    Cerro
    Cerro
    152498-2410

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Win - 1
    Draws - 6
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 9
    Conceded - 15
    -6
    -2
    7 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    1
    0
    Draws
    6
    5
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    9
    Scored
    7
    15
    Conceded
    9
    2.4
    Match goals average
    1.6
    0.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.7
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    4
    Both teams scored
    4
    100'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    129'
    View all stats