Everton vs Nottingham Forest Prediction 6 December 2025
🔊 Can Everton bounce back from their recent setback at "Hill Dickinson"? Let's recall that their last home game ended in a heavy defeat against Newcastle. This time, visitors from Nottingham are heading to Liverpool. Both teams are in fighting spirits; they redeemed themselves in the 14th round of the Premier League after setbacks in the penultimate matches. Overall, their performances have been impressive, with only one loss in their last five encounters. Who will come out on top this Saturday? We'll assess the teams' chances in our editorial prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Since Nottingham's promotion to the Premier League in 2022, the teams have faced each other six times. Everton have celebrated victory more often, with three wins compared to the Forest's single triumph. The sides have also drawn twice. In 5 out of the last 6 encounters, the total goals have stayed under 2.5.
Head-to-head statistics Everton - Nottingham Forest
Everton Team Overview
After a strong start in the Premier League, where Everton climbed into the top five after three rounds, they experienced a setback. Over the next seven matches, Everton slipped to 14th place, but they are now steadily climbing back. Currently, the Merseysiders sit at the bottom of the top ten, marking their highest position this season, aside from the season's opening. They are just two points and six goals in goal difference away from returning to fifth place.
In the 14th round of the Premier League, Everton deservedly secured a victory against Bournemouth (1-0). Few expected it, but the Toffees looked better than the Cherries on the road. The territorial advantage was roughly even-55% to 45% in favor of the hosts. However, in terms of creativity, the visitors were much sharper. Firstly, the Blues outshot their opponents more than two and a half times (13 to 5). Secondly, they led in expected goals (1.82 to 0.56). The standout player was Jack Grealish, who took David Moyes' pre-match comments about his modest scoring record to heart, netting a goal in the 78th minute.
Match Results: Everton
Nottingham Forest Team Overview
The "Foresters" remain near the relegation zone but are gradually distancing themselves from it. Currently, they hold a four-point cushion above the drop zone. The top ten is just two wins away. In their last five Premier League matches, Nottingham have suffered only one defeat. This hasn't affected their standing in the table, as the "Reds" have been stuck at 16th place for three consecutive rounds. However, if they maintain this pace in collecting points, they could climb one position higher after the next game.
In the latest Premier League round, Nottingham Forest had a productive visit to Molineux against Wolverhampton (1-0). The victory was hard-earned. Neither team dominated the game, as they shared possession equally (50% each) and were modest in attack (0.74 xG versus 0.71 xG in favor of the hosts). However, the "Foresters" were twice as active in front of goal, taking 10 shots compared to Wolves' 5, which led to two identical headed goals by Igor Jesus. One was ruled out by VAR for offside, but the other remained the match's sole goal.
Match Results: Nottingham Forest
Latest news
Everton
🎙 Everton's head coach praised Jack Grealish's outstanding performance in the match against Bournemouth. "We're working with Jack, and if he can take someone on one-on-one, he'll do it. He got into the box, took a shot, and I'm not surprised he scored because he's a top-class player. You can keep adding goals and assists to his game. I'm confident he'll continue scoring and providing assists because he has that quality," said David Moyes.
❌ In the 14th round, alongside Idrissa Gueye, who was previously suspended due to a red card, Tim Iroegbunam is now also out. The midfielder will miss the next match due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Additionally, Everton have three injured players: Seamus Coleman, Jarrad Branthwaite, and Merle Rohl. On a positive note, Nathan Patterson has fully recovered from a groin strain and was on the bench for the game against Bournemouth.
Nottingham Forest
🎙 Nottingham Forest's summer signing Igor Jesus received praise from the head coach after scoring against Wolverhampton in the 14th round of the Premier League. "I still think this isn't his ceiling; he can continue to develop. Since we arrived here, he's felt at home. Initially, Igor was quite reserved, but he's shown a desire to make an impact. His off-the-ball work, which managers and coaches notice the most, has been simply outstanding at times. We know he has the talent, and we've seen that he can influence the game, so we're pleased with that," said Sean Dyche.
❌ Nottingham's injury list is gradually clearing up. Taiwo Awoniyi and Douglas Luiz are close to full recovery. Although both players might not significantly bolster the Forest side, as they aren't guaranteed starters. However, there are key figures among the injured: Dylan Bakwa, Ola Aina, Oleksandr Zinchenko, and Chris Wood.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Chris Kavanagh. His average number of yellow cards in the last 10 Premier League matches is 4.2. This generally aligns with the number of cautions in head-to-head encounters between these teams: in 4 out of 6, the total exceeded 3.5. Sean Dyche's squads are known for their fighting spirit. Nottingham aim to take Everton's spot in the top ten. Therefore, we anticipate a high level of intensity and fierce competition in the upcoming match. Our prediction: total yellow cards over 3.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Everton have achieved recent results in a pragmatic manner. In three consecutive matches, the Toffees have scored no more than one goal. Nottingham, under Sean Dyche, play a similar style, though their lineup is more attack-oriented. However, we're referring to the organized defense of the Forest team. Yes, it doesn't always hold up, but in three consecutive away games, Mats Sels' goal remained unbreached. The odds allow us to raise the bar for the hosts and bet on Everton's total goals under 1.5.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Nottingham Forest boast a strong midfield. One of the Premier League's top dribblers, Elliot Anderson, has already caught the attention of English giants. Let's not forget the team's captain and playmaker, Morgan Gibbs-White. Combined with their quick flanks, the Forest can attack both positionally and in Sean Dyche's preferred vertical style. This versatility allows Nottingham to achieve impressive set-piece statistics. For instance, in terms of corners, the Reds rank in the top 6 of the Premier League (5.71). In five consecutive league matches, they have not delivered fewer than five corners. Editor's choice: Nottingham Forest total corners over 4.5.
Editorial Prediction
We've already noted that both teams often achieve results in a pragmatic manner. Everton and Nottingham are excellent examples of well-coached projects, and there's much in common between the approaches of David Moyes and Sean Dyche. When two such identities clash, the battle is intense and competitive, but often lacks spectacle. Even before these managers arrived, head-to-head encounters between the clubs rarely thrilled spectators with high scores: in 5 of the last 6 meetings, the total goals did not exceed the 2.5 mark. Given these circumstances, a hard-fought draw at 1-1 seems fair. As the main bet, we suggest opting for total goals under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Everton - Nottingham Forest
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in 16 of last 17 Chris Kavanagh games.in 12 of last 13 Chris Kavanagh games (in the Premier League).in 6 of last 7 away games (Premier League).in 6 of last 7 games (Premier League).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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