Montpellier vs Metz Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 6 November 2026
🔊 Montpellier have conceded just six goals in Ligue 2, the fewest in the division. That defence will be tested on Friday by Metz, who have scored even more than their hosts: 17 to 16. But the visitors have struggled at the other end, conceding 17 themselves. Montpellier trail leaders Saint-Étienne by one point, so they can ill afford a slip-up. Can Metz find a way past the league’s stingiest defence?
Head-to-Head
Montpellier thrashed Metz 4-0 in their most recent head-to-head meeting, in the Coupe de France. Metz had more possession and shots, but Montpellier created the better chances, leading 2.41 to 1.21 on xG.
In 35 head-to-head meetings, Metz have won 14 times and Montpellier 11, with the other 10 matches ending in draws. Montpellier have a narrow edge on goals scored, 42-40.
Head-to-head statistics Montpellier - Metz
Montpellier Team Overview
Montpellier beat Annecy 3-0 in the previous Ligue 2 round. The hosts outshot the visitors 21-7, but Montpellier scored three times.
Montpellier remain in the race for top spot thanks to their consistency. Their only Ligue 2 defeat this season came away to Saint-Étienne on 5 September, and they have picked up points in every round since. Montpellier won their two most recent away games, at Rodez and Annecy, by 3-0 scorelines, keeping a clean sheet in both. Nicolas Pays starred in the latter, scoring just before half-time and again after the break. Metz have been favourable opponents for Montpellier: the hosts have avoided defeat in nine of their last 10 head-to-head meetings.
Match Results: Montpellier
Metz Team Overview
Metz lost 3-1 to Pau in their previous Ligue 2 match despite having 69% possession and twice as many shots, 18 to nine. Both teams had five shots on target.
A change of manager has not solved Metz’s biggest problem: their leaky defence. Metz have failed to keep a clean sheet in nine consecutive Ligue 2 matches. Grégory Proment took charge in late September, but the visitors have won just once in four games under him, against Sochaux. They lost 3-1 at home to Pau last time out, conceding three goals in another sign that Proment has yet to shore up the back line. Metz sit mid-table on 14 points, ten behind the hosts, and have gone 14 away matches without a win.
Match Results: Metz
Match Result Prediction
Metz have beaten Montpellier just once in their last 10 head-to-head meetings. Montpellier are unbeaten at home this season, with three wins and two draws, while Metz are yet to win away, having drawn three and lost two. We do not expect Metz to end either run. The pick is Montpellier to win or draw.
Total Goals Prediction
Metz have scored more than once in just two of their last 14 away matches. They have four goals in five away games this season, while Montpellier have conceded only twice at home. We do not expect the visitors to score a second. Our pick is Metz under 1.5 team goals.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the three most likely scorelines are 0-0 (16.37%), 1-0 (15.87%) and 0-1 (11.56%). A goalless draw is the most likely outcome.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Metz rarely play dull matches: both teams have scored in eight of their last nine Ligue 2 games. That suggests Metz can find the net even away to the league’s stingiest defence. Montpellier are more solid at the back and have scored in 14 of their last 15 league matches. We expect the hosts to win, but Montpellier are unlikely to keep a clean sheet on Friday. The pick: both teams to score.
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Betting Tips: Montpellier - Metz
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