China vs Tajikistan Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 6 October 2026
At a tournament in Chongqing, Palestine beat both opponents they faced: they scored four goals against Tajikistan and five against China. The two sides have three months to go before the Asian Cup in Saudi Arabia. The last time they met was at the Asian Cup in Qatar, where they drew 0-0.
Head-to-head statistics China - Tajikistan
China Team Overview
At the Asian Cup, China are in a group with Iran, Syria and Kyrgyzstan. For now, though, they have failed to score in two consecutive matches, both at home. Shao Jiayi's side first lost to New Zealand (0-3), then to Palestine by an even bigger margin. Against both New Zealand and Palestine, Shao was without several first-team players, who were representing the under-23 side at the Asian Games in Japan. After the defeat to Palestine, Shao himself admitted that the team lacked concentration both in attack and in defence.
Match Results: China
Tajikistan Team Overview
Igor Angelovski took charge of Tajikistan in the spring, and his main objective is the Asian Cup. In the group stage they face Australia, Iraq and Singapore. His autumn run has not gone well so far: two defeats in a row, for contrasting reasons. In Baku, the team conceded just once, after a deflection off the crossbar onto the goalkeeper, but failed to score themselves and lost to Azerbaijan. In Chongqing it was the opposite: Sheridin Boboev and Nozim Bobojonov each put Tajikistan ahead. The defence let them down, though - Palestine equalised twice, then pulled clear after the break and won by a two-goal margin.
Match Results: Tajikistan
Match Result Prediction
Of their three home matches in the tournament in Chongqing, China have won one - against the Maldives. Tajikistan have no points this autumn: they lost both in Baku and in Chongqing. We don't expect Tajikistan to end that run right now. The pick is China not to lose.
Total Goals Prediction
At least two goals have been scored in 9 of Tajikistan's last 10 matches. The one exception was in Baku, where they lost to Azerbaijan by a single goal. The picture is similar on the other side: across three matches at the tournament in Chongqing, China were involved in 11 goals. We are not expecting fewer than two goals in this fixture. The bet is Total Goals - Over 1.5.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes for this match are 1-1 (10.32%), 2-1 (7.38%) and 1-2 (7.2%). These options reflect how closely matched the two sides are statistically, though a 1-1 draw edges it.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Tajikistan have scored in 9 of their last 10 matches, with their only blank coming in Baku against Azerbaijan. China are unlikely to stop them right now: they conceded eight goals at home over five days. That said, Tajikistan have their own defensive problems - opponents have scored against them in five consecutive matches. So China's attack will get their chance too, even though they were quiet in both of their last two evenings in Chongqing. We expect both sides to find the net. Our bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: China - Tajikistan
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