America Min. vs Fortaleza Prediction 7 October 2026

Details
Key points

    🔊 América Mineiro go into this match against Fortaleza on the back of a prolonged poor run, which highlights a significant gap between the two sides in terms of performance and league objectives. The hosts have no real motivation at this stage of the season, while Fortaleza are pushing for direct promotion, sitting just three points off the target zone. That contrast in form and motivation could shape how the match plays out, with the visitors maintaining a high level of focus given what is at stake for them.

    Why do Fortaleza dominate the head-to-head meetings?

    📊 Across all official meetings between América Mineiro and Fortaleza, the two sides have met 11 times. The hosts have won 4 of those, while Fortaleza have won the other 7, with no draws recorded. Fortaleza also have the edge in goals scored - 21 to América Mineiro's 14. On average, the two sides have scored 1.73 goals in the first half and 1.45 in the second, giving an overall match average of 3.18 goals.

    Head-to-head statistics America Min. - Fortaleza

    36%
    4 Wins
    0%
    0 Draws
    64%
    7 Wins
    Total games
    11
    Avg. total goals
    3.18
    Both teams scored
    64%
    1.27
    Average total
    1.91
    1.27
    Yellow cards
    1.82
    Last matches
    16.06.26
    Serie B
    Fortaleza
    Fortaleza
    America Mineiro
    America Mineiro
    -
    -
    10
    0
    11
    11
    1
    2
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    -
    -
    10
    0
    11
    11
    1
    2
    08.10.23
    Serie A
    Fortaleza
    Fortaleza
    America FC
    America FC
    -
    -
    8
    2
    9
    12
    2
    1
    3
    2
    1
    2
    2
    0
    -
    -
    8
    2
    9
    12
    2
    1
    31.08.23
    Copa Sudamericana
    Fortaleza EC CE
    Fortaleza EC CE
    America FC MG
    America FC MG
    -
    -
    4
    3
    12
    13
    2
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    3
    12
    13
    2
    3
    24.08.23
    Copa Sudamericana
    America FC MG
    America FC MG
    Fortaleza EC CE
    Fortaleza EC CE
    -
    -
    2
    3
    12
    9
    2
    2
    1
    3
    0
    3
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    3
    12
    9
    2
    2
    20.05.23
    Serie A
    America FC MG
    America FC MG
    Fortaleza EC CE
    Fortaleza EC CE
    -
    -
    1
    2
    15
    7
    4
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    2
    15
    7
    4
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
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    América Mineiro are looking to pick up points in their clash with Fortaleza

    América Mineiro are going through a difficult spell: one win and four defeats in their last five matches. In the ten matches before that, they managed just two wins and suffered eight defeats, with an average of only 0.6 goals scored per match and 1.9 conceded - one of the worst records in the tournament. Over the season as a whole, the club have won just four times in thirty-one matches, with problems at both ends of the pitch. Their league position leaves them without any clear objective, so motivation is minimal.

    Match Results: America Mineiro

    Last matches
    03.10.26
    Serie B
    Goianiense
    Goianiense
    America Mineiro
    America Mineiro
    -
    -
    8
    6
    17
    7
    1
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    6
    17
    7
    1
    2
    L
    28.09.26
    Serie B
    America Mineiro
    America Mineiro
    Juventude
    Juventude
    -
    -
    3
    7
    14
    9
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    7
    14
    9
    1
    2
    L
    18.09.26
    Serie B
    Vila Nova
    Vila Nova
    America Mineiro
    America Mineiro
    -
    -
    5
    5
    20
    16
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    5
    20
    16
    3
    2
    L
    14.09.26
    Serie B
    America Mineiro
    America Mineiro
    Sao Bernardo
    Sao Bernardo
    -
    -
    5
    4
    15
    17
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    5
    4
    15
    17
    2
    3
    L
    09.09.26
    Serie B
    America Mineiro
    America Mineiro
    Nautico PE
    Nautico PE
    -
    -
    5
    10
    12
    14
    2
    2
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    10
    12
    14
    2
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    What drives Fortaleza’s consistency

    Fortaleza have had a solid season and remain one of the promotion contenders, built largely on defensive reliability: just six defeats in thirty-one matches, with opponents averaging 0.87 goals per game. In their last ten matches they have gone unbeaten - four wins and six draws - showing consistency even under the pressure of a congested end-of-season schedule. The current table demands maximum effort: they are just three points off automatic promotion, and any slip makes the task harder.

    Match Results: Fortaleza

    Last matches
    03.10.26
    Serie B
    Fortaleza
    Fortaleza
    Nautico PE
    Nautico PE
    -
    -
    7
    4
    15
    22
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    15
    22
    1
    3
    D
    27.09.26
    Serie B
    Fortaleza
    Fortaleza
    Athletic Club MG
    Athletic Club MG
    -
    -
    5
    1
    15
    16
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    1
    15
    16
    0
    0
    D
    20.09.26
    Serie B
    Londrina EC PR
    Londrina EC PR
    Fortaleza
    Fortaleza
    -
    -
    7
    2
    18
    13
    3
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    7
    2
    18
    13
    3
    1
    W
    13.09.26
    Serie B
    Fortaleza
    Fortaleza
    Ceara
    Ceara
    -
    -
    3
    4
    17
    10
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    4
    17
    10
    2
    2
    D
    09.09.26
    Serie B
    Fortaleza
    Fortaleza
    Avai
    Avai
    -
    -
    4
    2
    12
    6
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    12
    6
    0
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Corners Prediction

    Fortaleza have won fewer than 4.5 corners in six consecutive away matches, pointing to a tendency for a modest corner count on the road. Given that clear away trend, Fortaleza Team Total Corners - Under 4.5 at 1.96* looks an interesting option.

    Risky Bet

    América Mineiro have gone four matches in a row without scoring, and their seasonal average stands at just 0.68 goals per game. Against that backdrop, a bet on the hosts failing to score again looks justified. The pick is América Mineiro to Score: No at odds of 2.38*.

    Reliable Bet

    Fortaleza have scored under 2.5 goals in 26 consecutive away matches - an extremely consistent trend. This season the team are averaging just 0.73 goals per away match, which further confirms their modest output on the road. Fortaleza Team Total - Under 2.5 is priced at 1.20*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines are: 0-1 (14.68%), 1-1 (12.02%), and 0-0 (10.75%). A narrow away win is considered the most probable outcome, though draws also rank among the leading probabilities.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Given Fortaleza's high level of defensive discipline and América Mineiro's low scoring output, it is hard to expect an open game with plenty of chances at both ends. Both sides tend to be cautious: the hosts rarely create threats going forward, while the visitors build their game around defensive solidity in pursuit of their objectives at this decisive stage of the season. Despite head-to-head trends pointing to higher-scoring encounters in previous years, the current attacking and defensive numbers for both teams suggest a less eventful match in terms of corners. The bet is Total Corners - Under 10.5.
    Corners - Total Under (10,5)
    Odds-128
    Published: 05/10/2026, 13:33
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Football expert
    30
    0
    29
    59 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: America Mineiro - Fortaleza

    Fortaleza have not lost:
    fortaleza-cein last 12 games (Serie B).
    fortaleza-cein last 5 away games (Serie B).
    Fortaleza will not lose
    -500
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    america-mineiro-mgin 14 of last 15 America Mineiro home games (Serie B).
    america-mineiro-mgin 10 of last 11 America Mineiro home games.
    america-mineiro-mgin 8 of last 9 America Mineiro games (Serie B).
    fortaleza-cein 23 of last 24 Fortaleza games (Serie B).
    fortaleza-cein last 22 Fortaleza away games.
    fortaleza-cein last 14 Fortaleza away games (Serie B).
    fortaleza-cein 10 of last 11 Fortaleza games.
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    -345
    America Mineiro have conceded:
    america-mineiro-mgfortaleza-cein 9 of last 10 games against Fortaleza.
    america-mineiro-mgin 10 of last 11 games (Serie B).
    Fortaleza have scored:
    fortaleza-cein last 9 games (Serie B).
    Fortaleza will score goal
    -500
    Over 2.5 goals scored:
    america-mineiro-mgfortaleza-cein 9 of last 10 America Mineiro games against Fortaleza.
    Total goals Over (2,5)
    +105
    View more facts

    America Min. - Fortaleza Table position

    Brasileiro Serie B 2026
    MPWDLGPForm
    4.
    Criciuma
    Criciuma
    31158833-2753
    5.
    Fortaleza
    Fortaleza
    311411636-2753
    6.
    Goianiense
    Goianiense
    311410739-2752
    18.
    Londrina EC PR
    Londrina EC PR
    31771739-4528
    19.
    America Mineiro
    America Mineiro
    31452221-5217
    20.
    Ponte Preta
    Ponte Preta
    31342417-6613

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    8 - Losses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 6
    Losses - 0
    10 matches
    Scored - 6
    Conceded - 19
    -13
    +5
    12 - Scored
    7 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    4
    0
    Draws
    6
    8
    Losses
    0
    Goal difference
    6
    Scored
    12
    19
    Conceded
    7
    2.5
    Average total per match
    1.9
    0.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.2
    1.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.7
    3
    Both teams scored
    6
    150'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    75'
    View all stats