Fenerbahce vs Besiktas Prediction 5 September 2026
🔉 The fourth round of the Süper Lig brings the Istanbul derby between Fenerbahçe and Beşiktaş. The two sides are sitting next to each other in the table, both on six points. Each club has only one objective - the title. In the current situation, it is important not only to hold their positions but also to keep their direct rivals close.
Head-to-Head
📊 In official meetings between Fenerbahçe and Beşiktaş, the two sides have faced each other 50 times. The hosts have won 22, the visitors 14, with 14 draws. Fenerbahçe have the edge in goals scored, netting 81 to Beşiktaş's 68. The average number of goals per game across these meetings is 2.98.
Head-to-head statistics Fenerbahce - Besiktas
Fenerbahce Istanbul Team Overview
Fenerbahçe were among the first clubs in Turkey to get their 2026/27 season under way. They played six matches in Champions League qualifying and eventually came through to the league phase, beating Lyon in the play-off round. That successful qualifying campaign suggested Fenerbahçe are ready for the season and capable of getting results against opponents of different levels. After three rounds of the Süper Lig they have six points and sit fourth. Their only slip came in the opening round - a 1-2 defeat to Gençlerbirliği - but they have since won back-to-back matches, against Konyaspor (4-2) and Samsunspor (2-0). The team have already scored seven goals, which points to good form in attack, though the four conceded so far suggest there are some difficulties defensively.
Match Results: Fenerbahce Istanbul
Besiktas Istanbul Team Overview
Beşiktaş also started the 2026/27 season early. The club played three qualifying rounds in the Europa League, winning five matches without conceding and losing once, to Kauno Žalgiris, in a result that had no bearing on their progress through the play-offs. Five clean sheets is the defining feature of the new-look Beşiktaş under Vincenzo Italiano. In the Süper Lig, they have the same number of points as their fourth-round opponents. The Istanbul club have lost to Alanyaspor (0-1) away and won two home matches: against Eyüpspor (1-0) and Çorum (6-2).
Match Results: Besiktas Istanbul
Latest news
Fenerbahce Istanbul
Fenerbahçe cannot call on all of their key players. Midfielder Talisca is out injured, while defenders Jayden Oosterwolde and Çağlar Söyüncü are also in the treatment room.
Besiktas Istanbul
The visitors are in better shape squad-wise. They have come through nine official matches this season without losing any key players, so their line-up for the derby should be at full strength.
Total Goals Prediction
In 8 of their last 9 matches, Fenerbahçe have seen Total Goals - Under 3.5 land, pointing to a tendency for moderate scoring on both sides. Their last 10 home matches show an average of 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, which again gives no indication of high-scoring outcomes. On top of that, Beşiktaş have conceded an average of just 0.6 goals per game across their last 10 matches, which further reduces the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Based on these figures, a bet on Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.45* looks justified.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both Teams to Score - Yes has landed in 9 of Fenerbahçe's last 10 home matches. The club concede an average of 1.2 goals per home game over their last 10, while Beşiktaş score an average of 1 goal per away game over their last 10. On top of that, Fenerbahçe have conceded against Beşiktaş in 17 of their last 19 head-to-head meetings, which supports a both-teams-to-score outcome. These figures point towards Both Teams to Score - Yes at odds of 1.64*.
Safe Bet
Fenerbahçe have gone 14 consecutive home matches without a defeat, a consistent trend that carries into this season, where they are also yet to lose at home. These figures make the Double Chance - 1X at 1.22* the most reliable option.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are 1-1 (11.25%), 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.38%). These reflect both the generally moderate scoring levels and the balance between the two sides. A 1-1 draw has the highest probability, though the chances of the other outcomes are also close.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The two sides come into this match level on points and with moderate league ambitions: both are keen to stay among the leading pack and maintain their momentum in the race for bigger goals before the halfway point of the season. According to the trends, Fenerbahçe's home matches are almost always high-scoring - Total Goals Over 2.5 comes in consistently, the hosts regularly score more than one goal but rarely manage to avoid defensive errors even against serious opponents like Beşiktaş. The visitors' defensive solidity is offset by their activity going forward, so the nature of this fixture points towards an exchange of dangerous moments and goals at both ends, or one attack clearly getting the better of the opposing defence. The main prediction is Total Goals - Over 2.5. Predicted score: 2-1.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Fenerbahce Istanbul - Besiktas Istanbul
in last 14 home games (Super Lig).in 11 of last 12 games.in 17 of last 19 games against Besiktas Istanbul (Super Lig).in 8 of last 9 home games against Besiktas Istanbul (Super Lig).in 9 of last 10 home games (Super Lig).in 10 of last 11 home games against Besiktas Istanbul.in 8 of last 9 home games against Besiktas Istanbul (Super Lig).in last 14 home games (Super Lig).in last 12 games.in last 11 home games.in 10 of last 11 games (Super Lig).in 8 of last 9 Fenerbahce Istanbul games.in 9 of last 10 Besiktas Istanbul away games.in 8 of last 9 Besiktas Istanbul games.in 6 of last 7 Besiktas Istanbul away games (Super Lig).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
