Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka Prediction
🔊 When teams square off for 19th place, with nothing but the final lower-table ranking at stake, football often resembles a game of checkers. The first leg in Fukuoka ended in a 2-2 draw, and now JEF United Chiba host Avispa Fukuoka with one clear objective: to claim victory and avoid finishing at the bottom.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 30 May 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Avispa Fukuoka):
- ball possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Chiba and Avispa Fukuoka:
- played 22 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 7, for the away team - 6, draws - 9;
- number of goals - 32 against 27;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.14, in the 2nd half - 1.55;
- average total goals in the match - 2.68.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Chiba Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Avispa Fukuoka, away team - Chiba). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.
Here's the game statistics (Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka):
- ball possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 8 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 7.
A team caught between a rock and a hard place. Chiba finished bottom of the East Group in the regular season, collecting just 12 points from 18 rounds to end up 10th. Their goal difference-18 scored, 31 conceded-highlights both a leaky defense and a lackluster attack. But the real concern is their late-season form: Chiba have managed just one win in their last ten league outings. Things look even bleaker at home, where they've suffered three consecutive defeats at Fukuda Denshi Arena. Now, with nothing left to play for, Chiba's main objective is simply to salvage some pride.
Match Results: Chiba

Avispa Fukuoka Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Avispa Fukuoka, away - Chiba). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.
Here are the match stats (Avispa Fukuoka vs Chiba):
- ball possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 4.
Fukuoka head into the second leg as a side that simply refuses to lose-but struggles to win as well. Five of their last six matches have ended all square after 90 minutes. The visitors’ main strength is their remarkable resilience. They’ve truly earned their reputation as draw specialists, and they wear that badge with pride. The first leg against Chiba felt more like a missed opportunity than a triumph for Avispa. Playing at home, Fukuoka took the lead but let victory slip away in the closing minutes.
Match Results: Avispa Fukuoka
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 22;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 2; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 8;
- Average first-half total: 1.14;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.59, while the visitors net 0.55.
First-Half Stats: Chiba (home) vs Avispa Fukuoka (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- wins: 2 (22.22%) vs 3 (33.33%);
- losses: 5 (55.56%) vs 2 (22.22%);
- draws: 2 (22.22%) vs 4 (44.44%);
- Average goals scored: 1.11 vs 1.11;
- Average goals conceded: 0.78 vs 0.44.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 2;
- losses: 6 vs 5;
- draws: 1 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.8) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.8).
- Avispa Fukuoka conceded in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games (J1 League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 22;
- home team wins - 7, away team wins - 6, draws - 9.
Statistics: Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka
- matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- wins: 3 vs 7;
- win percentage: 16% vs 37%;
- losses: 15 vs 11;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 1 vs 4;
- losses: 8 vs 5;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
- Avispa Fukuoka have drawn in 4 of last 5 away games against Chiba.
- Avispa Fukuoka have drawn in 5 of last 6 games (J1 League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.45, the guests - 1.23;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.68;
- both teams scored: overall - 12; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka
- average total in the tournament: 2.79 vs 2.53;
- average total goals scored: 1.05 vs 1;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.37 vs 0.42;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.68 vs 0.58;
- Chiba: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Avispa Fukuoka: average total away in the tournament - 0.89;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 0.75) vs 1.2 (away - 1.2).
- Chiba have scored in 9 of last 10 home games against Avispa Fukuoka.
- Avispa Fukuoka have conceded in last 9 games (J1 League).
Prediction on corners
Chiba: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.68; at home field - 5.89;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; at home field - 5.25.
Avispa Fukuoka: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.42, away - 3.89;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; away - 4.4.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 22;
- both teams scored all-time - 12 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka
- number of matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 12;
- number of BTTS matches for Chiba at home - 5 (56%);
- number of BTTS matches for Avispa Fukuoka away - 5 (56%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Chiba at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Avispa Fukuoka away - 4 (80%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (34/190, 17.9%);
- Chiba at home most often finish matches: 0:2 (3/9, 33.3%);
- Avispa Fukuoka away most often play: 1:1 , 2:0 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 14.3% (odds 5.5)
1:0 - 9.15% (odds 6.5)
0:1 - 9.11% (odds 6)
Editorial Prediction
JEF United Chiba haven't lost at home to Avispa in ten straight meetings-a psychological edge they simply must capitalise on here. Granted, Chiba's home form this season has been far from impressive, but derby streaks like this often end up as turning points, especially against a familiar opponent. Avispa Fukuoka, meanwhile, have been drawing matches with the regularity of a stamp collector-scoring consistently but rarely finding a way to seal the win. The result of their first clash this season perfectly sums up this rivalry: both sides know how to attack, but neither excels at protecting a lead. The best bet in this scenario is both teams to score (yes), which has landed in five of Avispa’s last six outings. Our score prediction: a 1-1 draw at full time.
