CD Castellon vs Almeria Prediction
🔊 This Saturday, Castellón and Almería go head-to-head in the first leg of the promotion play-off semi-finals, battling for a coveted spot in La Liga. Both sides have enjoyed strong campaigns and have certainly earned their shot at promotion, but only one will advance to the decisive final. Saturday’s clash takes place at Castellón’s home ground, a factor that’s clearly reflected in the bookmakers’ odds-Castellón are given a threefold advantage on home turf.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 02 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Castellon):
- ball possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 5;
- fouls: 16 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Castellon and Almeria:
- played 6 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 3, for the away team - 3, draws - 0;
- number of goals - 13 against 9;
- average total in the 1st half - 1, in the 2nd half - 2.67;
- average total goals in the match - 3.67.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Castellon Team Overview
The team's most recent official fixture took place on in the Segunda, with Castellón hosting Eibar. The match ended 2-1.
Here’s a breakdown of the key stats (Castellón vs Eibar):
- Possession: 53% vs 47%;
- Corners: 8 vs 6;
- Fouls: 15 vs 7;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 9 vs 2.
Castellón have been clinical in front of goal this season, averaging 1.67 goals per game, a figure that rises to 1.9 over their last ten matches. However, their defensive record leaves room for improvement: opponents have found the net against Castellón just over once per match (1.21), and that number remains high in recent outings, with the team conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game.
Match Results: Castellon
Almeria Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Segunda Division, facing Almeria away from home. Real Valladolid fell to a 1-0 defeat.
Here’s a breakdown of the key match statistics (Almeria vs Real Valladolid):
- Possession: 46% vs 54%;
- Corners: 3 vs 2;
- Fouls committed: 17 vs 10;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- Shots on target: 9 vs 4.
Almería have displayed an assertive attacking style, averaging nearly two goals per match (1.93). However, their defensive frailties remain a concern, as they concede more frequently than the league average. Over their last five outings, Almería have picked up three wins but suffered two defeats, underlining the inconsistency that has plagued their recent form.
Match Results: Almeria
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 6;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 1;
- Average first-half total: 1;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.5, while the visitors net 0.5.
First-Half Stats: Castellon (home) vs Almeria (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- wins: 9 (42.86%) vs 6 (28.57%);
- losses: 3 (14.29%) vs 5 (23.81%);
- draws: 9 (42.86%) vs 10 (47.62%);
- Average goals scored: 1.38 vs 1.38;
- Average goals conceded: 0.52 vs 0.67.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 1;
- losses: 0 vs 3;
- draws: 6 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.6 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.9).
- Castellon have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (Segunda División).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 6;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 3, draws - 0.
Statistics: Castellon vs Almeria
- matches played in the tournament: 42 vs 42;
- wins: 20 vs 22;
- win percentage: 48% vs 52%;
- losses: 10 vs 12;
- draws: 12 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 5;
- losses: 1 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 1.
- Almeria won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games (Segunda División).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.17, the guests - 1.5;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.67;
- both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Castellon vs Almeria
- average total in the tournament: 2.88 vs 3.43;
- average total goals scored: 1.67 vs 1.93;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.81 vs 0.88;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.86 vs 1.05;
- Castellon: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Almeria: average total away in the tournament - 1.38;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 2) vs 1.7 (away - 1.2).
- Castellon have conceded in 8 of last 9 games (Segunda División).
- Castellon have conceded in 7 of last 8 home games (Segunda División).
- Almeria have scored in 8 of last 9 games (Segunda División).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 6;
- both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Statistics: Castellon vs Almeria
- number of matches played in the tournament: 42 vs 42;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 26 vs 30;
- number of BTTS matches for Castellon at home - 14 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Almeria away - 14 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Castellon at home - 5 (83%);
- BTTS matches for Almeria away - 3 (60%).
- Castellon have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games (Segunda División).
- Castellon have scored and conceded in last 5 home games (Segunda División).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (57/462, 12.3%);
- Castellon at home most often finish matches: 2:0 (4/21, 19%);
- Almeria away most often play: 1:1 (3/21, 14.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.15% (odds 6)
2:1 - 9.91% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 8.06% (odds 7)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The match narrative centers on the attacking prowess of both sides and their vulnerability at the back-recent stats suggest a strong likelihood that both teams will find the net. The “both teams to score” trend stands out: the hosts combine a potent offense with recurring defensive lapses, while the visitors have the firepower to capitalize on Castellón’s frailties, especially given their own efficiency and the hosts’ struggles in the second half of the campaign. Our main prediction is both teams to score.
Betting Tips: Castellon - Almeria
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
