Nagoya vs Gamba Osaka Prediction 6 May 2026

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The main thing

     πŸ”ŠThe upcoming match between Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka promises a clash between two teams delivering solid performances this season. Nagoya currently sit in second place, thanks to their organized play and strong defense. However, their scoring ability might pose a challenge in this matchup, especially given the historical trend of netting less than 1.5 goals against this opponent. Meanwhile, the visitors from Osaka continue to impress with their away form, having avoided defeat in nine of their last ten matches on the road. This sets up a highly intriguing contest in terms of both teams' strategies.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 15 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 0:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Gamba Osaka):

    • ball possession percentage: 42% vs 58%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
    • fouls: 11 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 9.

    πŸ“ŠStatistical preview of official matches between the teams Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka:

    • played 43 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 17, for the away team - 18, draws - 8;
    • number of goals - 70 against 85;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.72, in the 2nd half - 1.88;
    • average total goals in the match - 3.6.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    41%
    18 Wins
    18%
    8 Draws
    41%
    18 Wins
    Total games
    44
    Total Goals Avg
    3.59
    Both teams scored
    75%
    1.64
    Total average
    1.95
    0.73
    Yellow cards
    0.93
    Last matches
    06.05.26
    J1 League
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    -
    -
    3
    4
    8
    10
    0
    2
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    4
    8
    10
    0
    2
    15.02.26
    J1 League
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    -
    -
    6
    3
    11
    11
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    3
    -
    -
    6
    3
    11
    11
    1
    1
    25.10.25
    J1 League
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    0.76
    1.94
    4
    8
    8
    17
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.76
    1.94
    4
    8
    8
    17
    0
    0
    12.04.25
    J1 League
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    2.8
    0.09
    3
    3
    11
    9
    0
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2.8
    0.09
    3
    3
    11
    9
    0
    2
    23.10.24
    J1 League
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    1.35
    1.83
    3
    7
    8
    9
    0
    0
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1.35
    1.83
    3
    7
    8
    9
    0
    0
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    Nagoya Grampus Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - V-Varen Nagasaki, away team - Nagoya Grampus). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.

    Here's the game statistics (Nagoya Grampus vs V-Varen Nagasaki):

    • ball possession: 43% vs 57%;
    • corner kicks: 9 vs 9;
    • fouls: 3 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 9.

    Nagoya Grampus are riding a wave of success, having secured victories in three of their last five matches. This team confidently sits in second place in the league standings, thanks to their ironclad discipline and solid defense. On average, Nagoya scores two goals per game over their last ten fixtures, but the true strength of the club lies in their ability to neutralize opponents' attacks.

    Nagoya's defensive line truly resembles an impregnable fortress-breaking through it proves challenging even for the most persistent adversaries. In their last outing, the team clinched a crucial away victory over V-Varen Nagasaki (2-1). Trailing 0-1, the club showed composure and resilience, staging a comeback with two goals from Nagai.

    Match Results: Nagoya Grampus

    Last matches
    06.06.26
    J1 League
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    10
    8
    3
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    10
    8
    3
    1
    L
    30.05.26
    J1 League
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    -
    -
    1
    2
    7
    13
    0
    4
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    1
    2
    7
    13
    0
    4
    D
    23.05.26
    J1 League
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    -
    -
    2
    6
    12
    7
    1
    0
    4
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    -
    -
    2
    6
    12
    7
    1
    0
    L
    17.05.26
    J1 League
    Cerezo Osaka
    Cerezo Osaka
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    -
    -
    4
    3
    12
    5
    1
    0
    6
    1
    3
    1
    3
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    12
    5
    1
    0
    L
    10.05.26
    J1 League
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    Kyoto Sanga
    Kyoto Sanga
    -
    -
    8
    5
    12
    7
    1
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    5
    12
    7
    1
    2
    W
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    Gamba Osaka Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Gamba Osaka, away - Vissel Kobe). The match concluded with a scoreline of 5:0.

    Here are the match stats (Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe):

    • ball possession: 35% vs 65%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 6;
    • fouls: 9 vs 6;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 8 vs 5.

    Gamba Osaka continue to impress with their performances on the road. They have avoided defeat in nine of their last ten away matches, which is quite remarkable. The team embraces an attacking style of play, allowing them to stay among the top three in the league standings. Over the past ten games, they average 1.7 goals per match while conceding just one goal per game. This balance between offense and defense makes them a genuine contender for a high finish in the league.

    In the latest round, Gamba delivered one of their best performances of the season, thrashing Vissel Kobe 5-0 at home. The headline acts were Minamino and Hatsuse: Minamino scored twice, while Hatsuse provided two assists. We believe that after such a game, Gamba, riding high on confidence, are capable of maintaining this form even against a strong Nagoya side.

    Match Results: Gamba Osaka

    Last matches
    06.06.26
    J1 League
    Tokyo Verdy
    Tokyo Verdy
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    -
    -
    5
    0
    12
    9
    1
    3
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    3
    -
    -
    5
    0
    12
    9
    1
    3
    W
    30.05.26
    J1 League
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    Tokyo Verdy
    Tokyo Verdy
    -
    -
    8
    6
    7
    15
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    8
    6
    7
    15
    0
    0
    D
    24.05.26
    J1 League
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    -
    -
    5
    1
    8
    12
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    5
    1
    8
    12
    1
    4
    W
    16.05.26
    AFC Cup
    Al Nasr Riyadh
    Al Nasr Riyadh
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    -
    -
    9
    3
    5
    19
    2
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    9
    3
    5
    19
    2
    0
    W
    10.05.26
    J1 League
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    -
    -
    3
    1
    4
    17
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    1
    4
    17
    0
    2
    L
    Empty
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 43;
    • home team wins - 17, away team wins - 18, draws - 8.

    Statistics: Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka

    • matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 15;
    • wins: 8 vs 9;
    • win percentage: 57% vs 60%;
    • losses: 6 vs 6;
    • draws: 0 vs 0.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 6 vs 5;
    • losses: 4 vs 5;
    • draws: 0 vs 0.
    Trends
    • Gamba Osaka have drawn in 4 of last 5 away games.
    👉Prediction: Draw (odds: 3.2)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.63, the guests - 1.98;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.6;
    • both teams scored: overall - 32; at the home team's field - 14.

    Statistics: Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka

    • average total in the tournament: 2.86 vs 2.73;
    • average total goals scored: 1.64 vs 1.53;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.57 vs 0.8;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1.07 vs 0.73;
    • Nagoya Grampus: average total at home in the tournament -  1.43;
    • Gamba Osaka: average total away in the tournament - 1.14;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 1.6) vs 1.7 (away - 1.75).
    Trends
    • Nagoya Grampus have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 games against Gamba Osaka (J1 League).
    👉Prediction: Nagoya Grampus Total goals Under (1,5) (odds: 1.62)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 43;
    • both teams scored all-time - 32 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 14 times.

    Statistics: Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 15;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 9;
    • number of BTTS matches for Nagoya Grampus at home - 4 (57%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Gamba Osaka away - 5 (71%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 5;
    • BTTS matches for Nagoya Grampus at home - 3 (60%);
    • BTTS matches for Gamba Osaka away - 3 (75%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 1.73)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (25/139, 18%);
    • Nagoya Grampus at home most often finish matches: 0:3 , 1:0 , 1:1 , 1:3 , 2:1 , 2:2 , 3:0 (1/7, 14.3%);
    • Gamba Osaka away most often play: 1:1 , 2:2 (2/7, 28.6%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 12.16% (odds 6.5)
    1:0 - 8.76% (odds 8.5)
    2:1 - 8.34% (odds 9)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1) (odds: 6.5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering the trends and the current form of the teams, a low-scoring encounter is anticipated. Historically, Nagoya often scores one or fewer goals against Gamba Osaka. Additionally, the overall trend suggests that under 2.5 goals is the most likely outcome of the match-this bet has hit in seven of the last eight meetings between these sides. It's reasonable to assume that the significance of this clash will once again prevent the opponents from playing freely in attack.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2,5) at odds of -110*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (4 May 2026, 10:22)

    Betting Tips: Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka

    Gamba Osaka have drawn:
    gamba-osaka-1in 4 of last 5 away games.
    Draw
    Bovada
    +245
    Gamba Osaka have not lost:
    gamba-osaka-1in 9 of last 10 away games.
    gamba-osaka-1in 6 of last 7 away games (J1 League).
    Gamba Osaka will not lose
    -159
    Nagoya Grampus have not lost:
    nagoya-grampusin 7 of last 8 games (J1 League).
    Gamba Osaka have not won:
    gamba-osaka-1in 7 of last 8 away games (J1 League).
    Nagoya Grampus will not lose
    -303
    Nagoya Grampus have conceded:
    nagoya-grampusgamba-osaka-1in 18 of last 20 home games against Gamba Osaka.
    nagoya-grampusgamba-osaka-1in 16 of last 18 home games against Gamba Osaka (J1 League).
    Gamba Osaka have scored:
    gamba-osaka-1in 8 of last 9 away games.
    Gamba Osaka will score goal
    Everygame
    -303
    View more facts

    Nagoya - Gamba Osaka Table position

    West
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Cerezo Osaka
    Cerezo Osaka
    1876526-1931
    3.
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    1885531-2831
    4.
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    1884629-2130
    5.
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    1858526-2228
    6.
    Fagiano Okayama
    Fagiano Okayama
    1866624-2526

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 18
    Conceded - 19
    -1
    +6
    17 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    5
    1
    Draw
    1
    4
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    18
    Scored
    17
    19
    Conceded
    11
    3.7
    Match goals average
    2.8
    1.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    1.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    8
    Both teams scored
    7
    52'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    53'
    View all stats