Palermo vs Avellino Prediction 5 April 2026
📢 What to expect from the clash between Palermo and Avellino in the 33rd round of Serie B? Palermo have won 9 of their last 10 home games, underscoring their strength and confidence on their turf. Meanwhile, Avellino struggle with attacking consistency and stability on the road. Both clubs sit mid-table, but Palermo have a better chance of climbing higher thanks to their current form.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 20 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Avellino):
- ball possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 15 vs 22;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 9 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Palermo and Avellino:
- played 14 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 7, for the away team - 3, draws - 4;
- number of goals - 19 against 11;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.71, in the 2nd half - 1.43;
- average total goals in the match - 2.14.
Head-to-head statistics Palermo - Avellino
Palermo Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Padova, away team - Palermo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here's the game statistics (Palermo vs Padova):
- ball possession: 34% vs 66%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 10;
- fouls: 10 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 2.
Palermo continue their impressive run in the league, currently sitting fourth in the standings. Their recent form, featuring three wins and a draw in the last five matches, underscores their competitiveness. The team averages 1.63 goals per game while conceding less than one, highlighting a strong balance between offense and defense. Their home ground has become a true fortress, with nine wins out of a possible ten speaking volumes about their dominance.
Match Results: Palermo
Avellino Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Sampdoria, away - Avellino). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the match stats (Avellino vs Sampdoria):
- ball possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 9;
- fouls: 26 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
Avellino are currently sitting in tenth place, but their recent form is far from encouraging-three wins and two losses in their last five matches. The team's main issue lies in their weak defense, conceding an average of 1.59 goals per game. Despite this, they occasionally surprise opponents with unpredictable attacks. However, their lack of consistency hampers their ability to achieve significant success away from home.
Match Results: Avellino
Latest news
Palermo
Rui Modesto will miss the match due to suspension.
Avellino
Filippo Reale and Andrea Favilli remain doubtful due to injuries, with a decision on their participation to be made before the match.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 14;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 3; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 3;
- Average first-half total: 0.71;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.43, while the visitors net 0.29.
First-Half Stats: Palermo (home) vs Avellino (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- wins: 10 (62.5%) vs 2 (12.5%);
- losses: 2 (12.5%) vs 5 (31.25%);
- draws: 4 (25%) vs 9 (56.25%);
- Average goals scored: 1.13 vs 1.56;
- Average goals conceded: 0.19 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 5 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.3) vs 1 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.6).
- Palermo scored in the 1st half in 9 of last 10 home games (Serie B).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 14;
- home team wins - 7, away team wins - 3, draws - 4.
Statistics: Palermo vs Avellino
- matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- wins: 17 vs 10;
- win percentage: 53% vs 31%;
- losses: 5 vs 13;
- draws: 10 vs 9.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 3;
- losses: 2 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- Avellino won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 games against Palermo.
- Avellino won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 away games (Serie B).
- Avellino won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 games (Serie B).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.36, the guests - 0.79;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.14;
- both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Palermo vs Avellino
- average total in the tournament: 2.47 vs 2.75;
- average total goals scored: 1.63 vs 1.16;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.69 vs 0.59;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.94 vs 0.56;
- Palermo: average total at home in the tournament - 1.94;
- Avellino: average total away in the tournament - 0.94;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 2.6) vs 1 (away - 1).
- Palermo have scored over 1.5 goals in last 5 games against Avellino (Serie B).
- Palermo have scored over 1.5 goals in last 5 home games (Serie B).
Prediction on corners
Palermo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.25; at home field - 5.44;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; at home field - 5.4.
Avellino: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.34, away - 3.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; away - 3.6.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 14;
- both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Palermo vs Avellino
- number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 13 vs 18;
- number of BTTS matches for Palermo at home - 5 (31%);
- number of BTTS matches for Avellino away - 9 (56%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Palermo at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Avellino away - 4 (80%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (48/319, 15%);
- Palermo at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (3/16, 18.8%);
- Avellino away most often play: 1:1 (4/16, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 11.4% (odds 6.5)
2:0 - 10.87% (odds 7)
1:1 - 10.84% (odds 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Palermo enter the match as favorites, which is quite reasonable given their standing in the table and the favorable matchup. The hosts consistently find their opportunities in head-to-head clashes and capitalize on them effectively: in their last five league encounters against Avellino, the club have scored at least two goals each time. Considering this trend, betting on Palermo's individual total over 1.5 goals seems well-founded.
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Betting Tips: Palermo - Avellino
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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