Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Prediction 6 April 2025
🔊 The clash between Sevilla and Atletico promises to be a hard-fought battle, although the teams' tournament motivation is questionable. The hosts are unlikely to climb above mid-table, while the visitors have fallen out of the title race due to a string of poor results. The odds favor the Madrid side, but Diego Simeone's men have had too few successful outings recently to be confident of their victory at the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Sevilla and Atletico:
- 43 matches played;
- home victories - 13, away victories - 18, draws - 12;
- goals scored - 52 for Sevilla, 69 for Atletico;
- average first-half goals - 1.33, second-half - 1.49;
- average total goals per match - 2.81.
The last game took place on 08 December 2024 at Atletico's ground and ended with a 4-3 scoreline.
Head-to-head statistics Sevilla - Atletico Madrid
Sevilla Team Overview
"The Nervionenses" are not in their best form right now: they sit 11th in the La Liga standings and are eager to climb higher. The team has struggled at home, with their last five matches resulting in either draws or losses. The stats also reveal that Sevilla rarely scores more than one goal per game at home (under 1.5 goals in 15 of their last 16 home games).
In a recent press conference, Garcia Pimienta spoke about the upcoming clash with Atletico: “We need to be brave, do what’s necessary, and avoid silly mistakes. We must be effective in front of goal, as that will help us achieve our objective this Sunday.”
In the upcoming La Liga round, Garcia Pimienta cannot count on the assistance of Nianzou Kouassi. The French defender suffered a hamstring injury back in November last year. The participation of Juanlu Sanchez and Suso remains highly doubtful.
Match Results: Sevilla
Atletico Madrid Team Overview
The "Colchoneros" are currently in a slump, having failed to secure a victory in their last six matches. A significant factor in this is their lack of initiative in the opponent's half. In their recent La Liga clash against Espanyol (1-1), Atletico fell short in xG, posting 0.64 compared to Espanyol's 0.94. However, dismissing their defensive prowess would be foolish-they boast the league's best record with just 0.79 goals conceded per game.
Here's what Diego Simeone has to say about the current situation: “This is football-there are good times and bad times. Throughout the season, you need to manage these phases. We've had good, average, and poor stretches. We'll take it match by match and aim to finish the season as high as possible.”
Atletico face upcoming squad challenges. Firstly, Angel Correa continues to serve a lengthy suspension. Additionally, Jose Maria Gimenez will miss out due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Match Results: Atletico Madrid
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 43;
- home team wins - 13, away team wins - 18, draws - 12.
Statistics: Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid
- number of matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- number of wins: 9 vs 16;
- win percentage: 31% vs 55%;
- number of losses: 11 vs 4;
- number of draws: 9 vs 9.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 3 vs 2;
- number of losses: 3 vs 5;
- number of draws: 4 vs 3.
- Sevilla has not won in each of their last 5 La Liga home games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.21, the guests - 1.6;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.81;
- both teams scored: overall - 24; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid
- average total in the tournament: 2.48 vs 2.41;
- average total goals scored: 1.14 vs 1.62;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.52 vs 0.55;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.62 vs 1.07;
- Sevilla: average total at home in the tournament - 0.86;
- Atletico Madrid: average total away in the tournament - 1.43;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 0.75) vs 1.5 (away - 2).
- Atletico Madrid has scored less than 1.5 goals in 6 of the last 7 games.
Prediction on corners
Sevilla: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.97; at home field - 5.43;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; at home field - 4.5.
Atletico Madrid: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.83, away - 3.57;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; away - 2.6.
- Atletico Madrid has taken under 4.5 corners in each of their last 6 away games.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 6 (3 for home team and 3 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 6.1 (2.75 for home team and 3.35 for away team).
Sevilla: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.45; at home - 2.86;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; at home - 2.75.
Atletico Madrid: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2, away - 1.93;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; away - 2.2.
- There have been Under 4.5 yellow cards in 16 of the last 17 Atletico Madrid away games.
- There have been Under 4.5 yellow cards in 7 of the last 8 Atletico Madrid away games in the La Liga.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 43;
- both teams scored all-time - 24 times;
- on the home team’s field - 11 times.
Statistics: Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid
- number of matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 16 vs 14;
- number of BTTS matches for Sevilla at home - 7 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Atletico Madrid away - 7 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Sevilla at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Atletico Madrid away - 4 (80%).
- Atletico Madrid has scored and conceded in 6 of the last 7 away games.
Editorial Prediction
Considering the statistics of both teams and current trends, betting on under 2.5 goals appears to be the most optimal choice. This outcome has occurred in 9 of Sevilla's last 10 home matches in La Liga.
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Betting Tips: Sevilla - Atletico Madrid
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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