Mathare United vs Tusker Football Club Prediction 14 February 2026
🔔How will young players cope with the pressure of this match? There may be squad rotations from the coaching staff, so the game between Mathare United and Tusker Football Club may differ from the usual. The meeting will take place at the Moi International Sports Centre stadium in the city of Nairobi as part of the Premier League tournament. The match is scheduled for 13:00 14 February.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 01 October 2025 and ended with a score of 0:0. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Tusker Football Club):
- ball possession percentage: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1.
📊The teams Mathare United and Tusker Football Club have officially played in only two matches. Their last encounter took place on 01 October 2025 at the home ground of Tusker Football Club and ended with a score of 0:0.
Head-to-head statistics Mathare United - Tusker Football Club

Mathare United Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 31 January 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Mathare United, away team - Kenya Commercial Bank). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here's the game statistics (Mathare United vs Kenya Commercial Bank):
- ball possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 9 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
- 6 wins,
- 9 losses,
- 4 draws.
📈Currently, Mathare United stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 32% and a loss percentage of 47%.
⚽️Mathare United has scored a total of 12 goals. On the defensive end, Mathare United has allowed 17 goals over the season.
Match Results: Mathare United

Tusker Football Club Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 31 January 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Tusker Football Club, away - Posta Rangers). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Tusker Football Club vs Posta Rangers):
- ball possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 2;
- fouls: 17 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
- 8 wins,
- 7 losses,
- 4 draws.
📈Currently, Tusker Football Club stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 44% and a loss percentage of 33%.
⚽Tusker Football Club has scored a total of 17 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 17 goals over the season.
Match Results: Tusker Football Club
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 0, draws - 1.
Statistics: Mathare United vs Tusker Football Club
- matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- wins: 6 vs 8;
- win percentage: 32% vs 44%;
- losses: 9 vs 6;
- draws: 4 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 5;
- losses: 5 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
- Tusker Football Club have not lost in 7 of last 8 away games (Premier League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 0.5;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Mathare United vs Tusker Football Club
- average total in the tournament: 1.53 vs 1.83;
- average total goals scored: 0.63 vs 0.89;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.26 vs 0.33;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.37 vs 0.56;
- Mathare United: average total at home in the tournament - 0.78;
- Tusker Football Club: average total away in the tournament - 1.13;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.5 (home - 0.6) vs 0.9 (away - 1.2).
- Tusker Football Club have scored in 8 of last 9 away games (Premier League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Mathare United vs Tusker Football Club
- number of matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for Mathare United at home - 3 (33%);
- number of BTTS matches for Tusker Football Club away - 2 (25%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 2 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Mathare United at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS matches for Tusker Football Club away - 1 (20%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (30/181, 16.6%);
- Mathare United at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (3/9, 33.3%);
- Tusker Football Club away most often play: 0:1 (4/8, 50%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
Editorial Prediction
- Tusker Football Club have won in last 4 away games (Premier League).