Umm Salal vs Al Gharafa Prediction

    🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Umm Salal and Al Gharafa are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 14:30. The tournament match Stars League will take place in the city of Doha at the Grand Hamad Stadium stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Al Gharafa being the favorite of the match.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 15 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 4:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Al Gharafa):

    • ball possession percentage: 65% vs 35%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 0;
    • fouls: 12 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 10 vs 7.

    📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Umm Salal and Al Gharafa:

    • played 37 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 7, for the away team - 22, draws - 8;
    • number of goals (home/away) - 49 against 74;
    • average total goals in the match - 3.32.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    18%
    7 Wins
    21%
    8 Draws
    62%
    24 Wins
    Total games
    39
    Total Goals Avg
    3.36
    Both teams scored
    62%
    1.33
    Total average
    2.03
    0.95
    Yellow cards
    0.97
    Last matches
    01.05.26
    QAT Prince Cup
    Al Gharafa
    Al Gharafa
    Umm Salal
    Umm Salal
    -
    -
    2
    5
    9
    18
    1
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    5
    9
    18
    1
    2
    06.01.26
    Stars League
    Umm Salal
    Umm Salal
    Al Gharafa
    Al Gharafa
    -
    -
    8
    4
    9
    14
    0
    4
    2
    3
    0
    2
    2
    1
    -
    -
    8
    4
    9
    14
    0
    4
    15.08.25
    Stars League
    Al Gharafa
    Al Gharafa
    Umm Salal
    Umm Salal
    4.13
    0.7
    7
    0
    12
    13
    3
    1
    4
    2
    0
    1
    4
    1
    4.13
    0.7
    7
    0
    12
    13
    3
    1
    19.05.25
    QAT Prince Cup
    Al Gharafa
    Al Gharafa
    Umm Salal
    Umm Salal
    -
    -
    7
    2
    11
    18
    3
    1
    4
    2
    3
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    2
    11
    18
    3
    1
    07.03.25
    Stars League
    Umm-Salal
    Umm-Salal
    Al-Gharafa SC
    Al-Gharafa SC
    0.6
    2.3
    9
    7
    11
    16
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.6
    2.3
    9
    7
    11
    16
    2
    2
    Empty
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    Umm Salal Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 29 December 2025 as part of the Stars League tournament (home team - Al Ahli Doha, away team - Umm Salal). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:3.

    Here's the game statistics (Umm Salal vs Al Ahli Doha):

    • ball possession: 29% vs 71%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 11;
    • fouls: 11 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 6.
    🏆Throughout the Stars League season, the team Umm Salal has engaged in 11 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 3 wins,
    • 8 losses,
    • 0 draws.

    📈Currently, Umm Salal stands at a mid-tier position within the Stars League standings, with a win percentage of 27% and a loss percentage of 73%.

    ⚽️Umm Salal has scored a total of 20 goals. On the defensive end, Umm Salal has allowed 32 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Umm Salal

    Last matches
    01.05.26
    QAT Prince Cup
    Al Gharafa
    Al Gharafa
    Umm Salal
    Umm Salal
    -
    -
    2
    5
    9
    18
    1
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    5
    9
    18
    1
    2
    L
    27.04.26
    Stars League
    Umm Salal
    Umm Salal
    Al Ahli Doha
    Al Ahli Doha
    -
    -
    6
    3
    7
    10
    4
    2
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    -
    -
    6
    3
    7
    10
    4
    2
    L
    08.04.26
    Stars League
    Al Rayyan
    Al Rayyan
    Umm Salal
    Umm Salal
    -
    -
    5
    5
    23
    19
    3
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    5
    23
    19
    3
    1
    L
    04.04.26
    Stars League
    Al Shamal
    Al Shamal
    Umm Salal
    Umm Salal
    -
    -
    5
    4
    18
    12
    3
    0
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    5
    4
    18
    12
    3
    0
    L
    28.03.26
    Stars Cup
    Al Rayyan
    Al Rayyan
    Umm Salal
    Umm Salal
    -
    -
    10
    1
    9
    9
    0
    3
    3
    3
    1
    2
    2
    1
    17
    16
    -
    -
    10
    1
    9
    9
    0
    3
    L
    Empty
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    Al Gharafa Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 27 December 2025 as part of the Stars League tournament (home team - Al Shahaniya, away - Al Gharafa). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.

    Here are the match stats (Al Gharafa vs Al Shahaniya):

    • ball possession: 56% vs 44%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 1;
    • fouls: 8 vs 24;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 7.
    🏆Throughout the Stars League season, the team Al Gharafa has engaged in 11 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 8 wins,
    • 2 losses,
    • 1 draws.

    📈Currently, Al Gharafa stands at a mid-tier position within the Stars League standings, with a win percentage of 73% and a loss percentage of 18%.

    ⚽Al Gharafa has scored a total of 20 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 13 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Al Gharafa

    Last matches
    09.05.26
    QAT Prince Cup
    Al Gharafa
    Al Gharafa
    Al Sadd
    Al Sadd
    -
    -
    2
    11
    11
    15
    0
    2
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    2
    11
    11
    15
    0
    2
    W
    05.05.26
    QAT Prince Cup
    Wakrah
    Wakrah
    Al Gharafa
    Al Gharafa
    -
    -
    5
    6
    13
    13
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    3
    -
    -
    5
    6
    13
    13
    2
    1
    W
    01.05.26
    QAT Prince Cup
    Al Gharafa
    Al Gharafa
    Umm Salal
    Umm Salal
    -
    -
    2
    5
    9
    18
    1
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    5
    9
    18
    1
    2
    W
    27.04.26
    Stars League
    Al Gharafa
    Al Gharafa
    Al Shahaniya
    Al Shahaniya
    -
    -
    3
    2
    12
    8
    3
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    12
    8
    3
    3
    D
    08.04.26
    Stars League
    Wakrah
    Wakrah
    Al Gharafa
    Al Gharafa
    -
    -
    5
    7
    15
    15
    1
    2
    3
    3
    1
    1
    2
    2
    -
    -
    5
    7
    15
    15
    1
    2
    D
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    First Half Statistics: Umm Salal (Home) vs Al Gharafa (Away)

    • Number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 3;
    • Number of wins: 1 (50%) vs 1 (33.33%);
    • Number of losses: 1 (50%) vs 2 (66.67%);
    • Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Average total goals scored: 3 vs 2;
    • Average total goals conceded: 1.5 vs 1.33.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 4 vs 1;
    • Number of losses: 3 vs 7;
    • Number of draws: 3 vs 2;
    • Average first half total: 2.7 (scored - 1.1, conceded - 1.6) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 1).
    Trends
    • Al Gharafa have lost the 1st half in last 6 away games.
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Umm Salal Win (odds: 4.27)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 37;
    • home team wins - 7, away team wins - 22, draws - 8.

    Statistics: Umm Salal vs Al Gharafa

    • matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
    • wins: 3 vs 8;
    • win percentage: 27% vs 73%;
    • losses: 8 vs 2;
    • draws: 0 vs 1.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 3 vs 4;
    • losses: 6 vs 5;
    • draws: 1 vs 1.
    Trends
    • Umm Salal have lost in 5 of last 6 home games against Al Gharafa (Stars League).
    👉Prediction: Al Gharafa Win (odds: 1.7)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.32, the guests - 2;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.32;
    • both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 10.

    Statistics: Umm Salal vs Al Gharafa

    • average total in the tournament: 4.73 vs 3;
    • average total goals scored: 1.82 vs 1.82;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.91 vs 0.45;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.91 vs 1.36;
    • Umm Salal: average total at home in the tournament -  2.5;
    • Al Gharafa: average total away in the tournament - 1;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 1.8) vs 1 (away - 0.8).
    Trends
    • Al Gharafa have scored under 2.5 goals in 6 of last 7 away games against Umm Salal (Stars League).
    👉Prediction: Al Gharafa Total goals Under (2.5) (odds: 1.35)

    Prediction on corners

    Trends
    • Over 10.5 corners in last 7 Umm Salal home games (Stars League).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (10.5) (odds: 1.78)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 37;
    • both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 10 times.

    Statistics: Umm Salal vs Al Gharafa

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 6;
    • number of BTTS matches for Umm Salal at home - 2 (100%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Al Gharafa away - 1 (33%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 5;
    • BTTS matches for Umm Salal at home - 4 (80%);
    • BTTS matches for Al Gharafa away - 2 (40%).
    Trends
    • Umm Salal have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games against Al Gharafa (Stars League).
    • Umm Salal have scored and conceded in last 7 home games.
    • Umm Salal have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 1.62)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 2:0 (8/66, 12.1%);
    • Umm Salal at home most often finish matches: 2:1 , 3:8 (1/2, 50%);
    • Al Gharafa away most often play: 2:0 , 2:3 , 3:0 (1/3, 33.3%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:2 - 8.47% (odds 8)
    1:3 - 7.05% (odds 9.5)
    2:2 - 6.36% (odds 12)

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (3.5) at odds of +115*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (5 January 2026, 05:24)

    Betting Tips: Umm Salal - Al Gharafa

    Umm Salal have lost
    umm-salal-scal-gharafa-scin 5 of last 6 home games against Al Gharafa (Stars League).
    Al Gharafa Win
    Everygame
    -143
    Al Gharafa have lost the 1st half
    al-gharafa-scin last 6 away games.
    1st Half Umm Salal Win
    Bovada
    +340
    Umm Salal have not won
    umm-salal-scal-gharafa-scin 12 of last 13 games against Al Gharafa (Stars League).
    umm-salal-scal-gharafa-scin 9 of last 10 games against Al Gharafa.
    Al Gharafa have not lost
    al-gharafa-scin 7 of last 8 games (Stars League).
    Al Gharafa will not lose
    Everygame
    -417
    Umm Salal have scored
    umm-salal-scal-gharafa-scin 10 of last 11 games against Al Gharafa.
    umm-salal-scin 25 of last 26 games.
    umm-salal-scin 13 of last 14 games (Stars League).
    umm-salal-scin last 8 home games.
    Al Gharafa have conceded
    al-gharafa-scin last 10 away games.
    al-gharafa-scin 8 of last 9 away games (Stars League).
    Umm Salal will score goal
    Everygame
    -278
    View more facts

    Umm Salal - Al Gharafa Table position

    Stars League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    3.
    Al Rayyan
    Al Rayyan
    22115646-3238
    4.
    Al Gharafa
    Al Gharafa
    22113836-3636
    5.
    Duhail
    Duhail
    2296740-2733
    10.
    Al-Sailiya
    Al-Sailiya
    22641225-3822
    11.
    Al Shahaniya
    Al Shahaniya
    22631322-3921
    12.
    Umm Salal
    Umm Salal
    22621437-5620

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 17
    Conceded - 18
    -1
    -2
    16 - Scored
    18 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    2
    5
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    17
    Scored
    16
    18
    Conceded
    18
    3.5
    Match goals average
    3.4
    1.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.6
    1.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.8
    6
    Both teams scored
    7
    53'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    58'
    View all stats