Fagiano vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction 6 September 2026

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The main thing

    🔊 The match between Fagiano Okayama and Sanfrecce Hiroshima at the start of the season stands out for the contrast in the two teams' scoring records and styles. The hosts take a cautious approach in home matches, where more than two goals are rarely seen. The visitors come into the game on an unbeaten run and with impressive scoring numbers. Both sides are maintaining a moderate level of motivation and are looking to improve further. That gives points added importance even at this early stage of the season.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The two sides have a short head-to-head history, with each team having won twice.

    Head-to-head statistics Fagiano - Sanfrecce Hiroshima

    50%
    2 Wins
    0%
    0 Draws
    50%
    2 Wins
    Total games
    4
    Total Goals Avg
    1.25
    Both teams scored
    25%
    0.75
    Total average
    0.5
    4
    Corner
    8
    1.75
    Yellow cards
    0.5
    12.75
    Fouls
    8.5
    Last matches
    02.05.26
    J1 League
    Fagiano Okayama
    Fagiano Okayama
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    -
    -
    5
    4
    17
    9
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    17
    9
    3
    1
    14.02.26
    J1 League
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Fagiano Okayama
    Fagiano Okayama
    1
    -
    -
    6
    1
    8
    11
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    5
    4
    -
    -
    6
    1
    8
    11
    0
    1
    05.07.25
    J1 League
    Fagiano Okayama
    Fagiano Okayama
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    0.41
    1.69
    5
    13
    12
    7
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.41
    1.69
    5
    13
    12
    7
    1
    0
    12.04.25
    J1 League
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Fagiano Okayama
    Fagiano Okayama
    1.14
    0.74
    9
    5
    10
    11
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.14
    0.74
    9
    5
    10
    11
    1
    0
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    Fagiano Okayama Team Overview

    Fagiano Okayama take a measured approach in home matches, particularly when it comes to scoring. In their last five league games at home, they have won two, drawn one and lost two, but even over a longer run their average of 0.9 goals conceded per game points to a reliable defence. In attack, Fagiano Okayama are pragmatic: they average one goal scored and one goal conceded per match over the longer term - figures that rarely produce high-scoring results. There is some motivation from the table, though the club are only just beginning to push for a top-five finish and are currently focused more on consistency.

    Match Results: Fagiano Okayama

    Last matches
    02.09.26
    J1 League
    Chiba
    Chiba
    Fagiano Okayama
    Fagiano Okayama
    0.59
    1.07
    4
    5
    9
    14
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.59
    1.07
    4
    5
    9
    14
    2
    1
    W
    29.08.26
    J1 League
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    Fagiano Okayama
    Fagiano Okayama
    1.89
    0.88
    6
    9
    10
    17
    2
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.89
    0.88
    6
    9
    10
    17
    2
    3
    L
    26.08.26
    Emperor Cup
    Fagiano Okayama
    Fagiano Okayama
    Belugarosso Iwami
    Belugarosso Iwami
    -
    -
    11
    0
    11
    11
    0
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    11
    0
    11
    11
    0
    3
    W
    22.08.26
    J1 League
    Fagiano Okayama
    Fagiano Okayama
    Tokyo Verdy
    Tokyo Verdy
    1.14
    0.1
    6
    1
    12
    14
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.14
    0.1
    6
    1
    12
    14
    1
    2
    D
    15.08.26
    J1 League
    Fagiano Okayama
    Fagiano Okayama
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    1.34
    0.27
    5
    1
    12
    10
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.34
    0.27
    5
    1
    12
    10
    0
    1
    W
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    Sanfrecce Hiroshima Team Overview

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima have made a confident start to the season and have the best attacking numbers in the division. In their last five league matches, they have won three and drawn two. They are averaging 2.2 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded per game, which reflects the strength of both their attack and defence. The team remain motivated in the table, sitting close to the leaders and looking to strengthen their position at this stage of the season. That consistency has helped them control matches even against well-organised opponents.

    Match Results: Sanfrecce Hiroshima

    Last matches
    02.09.26
    J1 League
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    1.75
    0.42
    2
    1
    12
    7
    1
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1.75
    0.42
    2
    1
    12
    7
    1
    2
    W
    29.08.26
    J1 League
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    1
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    0.57
    1.68
    5
    7
    8
    10
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.57
    1.68
    5
    7
    8
    10
    1
    2
    D
    26.08.26
    Emperor Cup
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Okinawa Sv
    Okinawa Sv
    -
    -
    6
    8
    9
    13
    1
    0
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    6
    8
    9
    13
    1
    0
    W
    22.08.26
    J1 League
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Kawasaki Frontale
    Kawasaki Frontale
    1.06
    1.05
    3
    3
    6
    10
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.06
    1.05
    3
    3
    6
    10
    2
    1
    D
    15.08.26
    J1 League
    Urawa Red Diamonds
    Urawa Red Diamonds
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    0.34
    3.41
    1
    11
    17
    7
    2
    1
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0.34
    3.41
    1
    11
    17
    7
    2
    1
    W
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    Total Goals Prediction

    In 14 of their last 15 matches, Fagiano Okayama have seen fewer than 3.5 goals, pointing to a clear low-scoring tendency in their games. In 6 of their last 7 home matches, the total has also come in under 2.5 goals, which further supports a cautious outlook. Season statistics show Fagiano Okayama averaging just 1 goal per game, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima concede an average of 0.4 goals per match. Taken together, these figures make Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.43* the most well-grounded selection.

    Reliable Bet

    Fagiano Okayama have lost only twice this season and are unbeaten at home, which points to a high level of solidity on their own ground. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have not lost either, but do not always win by large margins - Okayama's average goals conceded at home is 0, while Sanfrecce's average goals scored away is 2. On that basis, Fagiano Okayama Handicap +2 at 1.11* looks reliable even against the league leaders.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines are 0:1 (16.8%), 0:0 (16.13%) and 1:0 (11.76%). All three outcomes point to a low-scoring match, with a narrow away win considered the most probable. The probabilities are close to one another, reflecting a fairly cautious scenario for the game.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The shape of this match is likely to be defined by Fagiano Okayama's cautious home setup, where most games stay at two goals or fewer. In six of their last seven home matches, the total has gone under 2.5, which points to the consistency of the hosts' defence and their measured tempo at home. Even with Sanfrecce Hiroshima's considerable attacking potential, the visitors rarely come up against such an organised defence away from home. Both sides are focused on picking up points in the push for the upper positions early in the season, but the current trends and Fagiano Okayama's reliability at home suggest a low-scoring game. The bet is Total Goals - Under 2.5.
    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet+105
    Published: 03/09/2026, 09:03
    Yaroslav Saplenkov
    Yaroslav Saplenkov
    Snooker and football expert
    27
    0
    20
    47 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima

    Fagiano Okayama have not lost:
    fagiano-okayamain 7 of last 8 home games.
    Fagiano Okayama will not lose
    -120
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima have not lost:
    sanfrecce-hiroshimain last 12 games.
    sanfrecce-hiroshimain last 11 games (J1 League).
    sanfrecce-hiroshimain last 5 away games (J1 League).
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima will not lose
    -400
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    fagiano-okayamain 14 of last 15 Fagiano Okayama games.
    fagiano-okayamain 13 of last 14 Fagiano Okayama games (J1 League).
    fagiano-okayamain 7 of last 8 Fagiano Okayama home games.
    sanfrecce-hiroshimain 6 of last 7 Sanfrecce Hiroshima games (J1 League).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    -238
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored:
    sanfrecce-hiroshimain 11 of last 12 games.
    sanfrecce-hiroshimain 10 of last 11 games (J1 League).
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima will score goal
    -
    View more facts

    Fagiano - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Table position

    J.League 26/27
    gWDLGDPForm
    3.
    Kashima Antlers
    Kashima Antlers
    540113-1012
    4.
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    532011-211
    5.
    Vissel Kobe
    Vissel Kobe
    53116-310
    9.
    Yokohama Marinos
    Yokohama Marinos
    52128-87
    10.
    Fagiano Okayama
    Fagiano Okayama
    52125-57
    11.
    Kawasaki Frontale
    Kawasaki Frontale
    51319-86

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 8
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 0
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 9
    +6
    +20
    26 - Scored
    6 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    8
    2
    Draws
    2
    3
    Loses
    0
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    26
    9
    Conceded
    6
    2.4
    Match goals average
    3.2
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.6
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.6
    5
    Both teams scored
    5
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    35'
    View all stats