Everton vs Manchester United Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 6 September 2026

Details
Key points

    🔊 This match has the look of the standout fixture of the round. In the third round of the English Premier League, Everton host Manchester United. The Toffees are desperately searching for their game and some consistency, but their home crowd always demands an extreme level of intensity and commitment in matches against the top clubs. United, meanwhile, arrive in Liverpool stung by their early-season stumbles, with one aim - to prove they still belong among the contenders at the top of the table.

    🔁 We update this prediction regularly. Keep an eye on the Latest News section.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The head-to-head record spans 43 meetings. Manchester United have won 23 of those, Everton have won 9, and 11 have ended in a draw. The two sides met twice last season, and on both occasions the away side won 1-0.

    Head-to-head statistics Everton - Manchester United

    20%
    9 Wins
    27%
    12 Draws
    52%
    23 Wins
    Total games
    44
    Avg. total goals
    2.8
    Both teams scored
    48%
    1.11
    Average total
    1.68
    Last matches
    06.09.26
    EPL
    Everton
    Everton
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    1.07
    0.84
    4
    3
    7
    11
    3
    3
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.07
    0.84
    4
    3
    7
    11
    3
    3
    23.02.26
    EPL
    Everton
    Everton
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    0.8
    1.4
    10
    1
    12
    7
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.8
    1.4
    10
    1
    12
    7
    2
    3
    24.11.25
    EPL
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Everton
    Everton
    1
    1.86
    0.23
    9
    1
    12
    9
    2
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.86
    0.23
    9
    1
    12
    9
    2
    0
    03.08.25
    Premier League Summer Series
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Everton
    Everton
    -
    -
    3
    6
    9
    13
    1
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    6
    9
    13
    1
    1
    22.02.25
    EPL
    Everton FC
    Everton FC
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    1.88
    0.38
    7
    8
    12
    9
    3
    1
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    1.88
    0.38
    7
    8
    12
    9
    3
    1
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Everton Team Overview

    David Moyes kept Everton in the top flight, and the club's hierarchy are now placing their full trust in the experienced Scotsman. The bar has been raised for the new season, with the board expecting a significant step forward and a European place. Moyes has always been known for building solid defensive structures, but he surprised his critics this summer. He has shown confidence in the club's young players and switched to an attacking 4-3-3 system.

    The Toffees' familiar pragmatism - built around defensive solidity, quick wide play and set-piece threats - has taken on a new look. With targeted midfield additions, Everton are aiming to play a more modern style and press opponents aggressively in their own half. The team have made a strong start, picking up four points from their first two league matches and progressing to the next round of the League Cup.

    Match Results: Everton

    Last matches
    19.09.26
    EPL
    Everton
    Everton
    Ipswich Town
    Ipswich Town
    1
    1.57
    1.27
    4
    4
    5
    9
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.57
    1.27
    4
    4
    5
    9
    2
    2
    W
    16.09.26
    EFL Cup
    Everton
    Everton
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    1.67
    0.34
    6
    2
    13
    13
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.67
    0.34
    6
    2
    13
    13
    1
    2
    W
    12.09.26
    EPL
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Everton
    Everton
    0.7
    1.31
    5
    6
    14
    8
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.7
    1.31
    5
    6
    14
    8
    0
    2
    D
    06.09.26
    EPL
    Everton
    Everton
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    1.07
    0.84
    4
    3
    7
    11
    3
    3
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.07
    0.84
    4
    3
    7
    11
    3
    3
    D
    29.08.26
    EPL
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Everton
    Everton
    2.66
    1.14
    10
    7
    11
    14
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    2.66
    1.14
    10
    7
    11
    14
    3
    2
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Manchester United Team Overview

    Former club legend Michael Carrick took charge mid-way through last season following the dismissal of Rúben Amorim. In a short space of time he guided the team back into the Champions League, which earned him the trust of the owners and a full contract through to 2028. Carrick builds his side on core principles of defensive solidity in the centre and explosive wide play. He frequently balances control with counter-attacking, adjusting his shape to suit the opposition.

    The team are having serious problems defensively. Premier League newcomers Hull City punished Manchester United in textbook fashion, winning 2-0 with both goals coming from set pieces - a corner and a free kick. Carrick has had to reorganise his defensive structure on the fly. The team made a difficult start, losing in the first round of matches, and although they then thrashed Ipswich in the second, there were still defensive problems. Across those first two fixtures, Manchester United faced two newly promoted sides and conceded four goals in total.

    Match Results: Manchester United

    Last matches
    10.10.26
    EPL
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Tottenham Hotspur
    1
    0.75
    1.66
    4
    4
    13
    16
    4
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.75
    1.66
    4
    4
    13
    16
    4
    3
    D
    20.09.26
    EPL
    Fulham
    Fulham
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    1.49
    2.1
    3
    13
    9
    5
    3
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.49
    2.1
    3
    13
    9
    5
    3
    0
    D
    16.09.26
    EFL Cup
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    0.86
    1.89
    4
    3
    5
    14
    0
    4
    2
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    0.86
    1.89
    4
    3
    5
    14
    0
    4
    L
    13.09.26
    EPL
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    1
    0.84
    0.77
    6
    7
    17
    10
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.84
    0.77
    6
    7
    17
    10
    1
    2
    L
    10.09.26
    UCL
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Sabah
    Sabah
    3.33
    0.74
    7
    2
    12
    13
    1
    1
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    3.33
    0.74
    7
    2
    12
    13
    1
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Latest news

    Everton

    ❗️ Several key players have left the club: Idrissa Gueye, Iliman Ndiaye and Dwight McNeil. Among the notable signings Everton have made in this summer transfer window are Brennan Johnson and Hayden Hackney, as well as the return of Jack Grealish.

    🔁 Update, 6 September, 09:20 UTC:

    • Jack Grealish has been included in the squad for the match against Manchester United. According to Al Jazeera, the 30-year-old, who has returned to Everton, is likely to start. Last season, Grealish made 22 appearances for the Merseyside club, scoring two goals and providing six assists.

    Manchester United

    ❌ Manchester United's injury list is extensive, which severely limits the manager's options. Matthijs De Ligt, Lisandro Martínez and Manuel Ugarte are all unavailable.

    🔁 Update - 6 September, 04:45 UTC:

    • According to Premier Injuries, Amad Diallo and Carlos Baleba will also definitely miss the match at Liverpool through ankle injuries, in addition to Ugarte and De Ligt. There is also a major doubt over first-choice left-back Luke Shaw due to a muscle injury. Patrick Dorgu could take the Englishman's place in the starting XI.

    Predicted Lineups

    Predicted starting XI - Everton: Pickford - Rohl, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko - Garner, Armstrong, Dewsbury-Hall - Johnson, George, Barry.

    Predicted starting XI - Manchester United: Lammens - Dalot, Maguire, Yoro, Shaw - Tielemans, Mainoo, Fernandes - Mbeumo, Rashford, Cunha.

    ⚽️ Total Goals Prediction

    In 7 of their last 8 away matches, Manchester United have seen fewer than 3.5 goals, which reflects the team's cautious approach on the road. The squad are aware of their defensive problems and, after conceding heavily in the first two rounds, are ready to be more careful at the back. Manchester United have also scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 away matches, which further limits the likelihood of a high-scoring game. The hosts, meanwhile, traditionally look to play in a disciplined, defensively compact way at home. These factors support the case for Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.53*.

    🚩 Corners Prediction

    In 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings between Everton and Manchester United, the total corners has gone over 9.5, pointing to consistent activity from both sides in this regard. Under Moyes, the Merseysiders place a heavy emphasis on physical football, wide crosses and set pieces. The team regularly work attacks through to deliveries into the box, which generates plenty of deflections. On top of that, Everton have served more than 4.5 corners at home in 9 consecutive head-to-head matches against Manchester United. In the last meeting between the sides at this same ground back in February, Everton utterly dominated the corner count, winning it 10-1. At home, the Toffees regularly force opposition defenders to put the ball behind for corners. These trends, over a substantial sample, support a high likelihood of plenty of corners in this match too - we'd suggest looking at Total Corners - Over 9.5 at odds of 1.75*.

    🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction

    David Moyes's switch to an attacking, high-pressure system will inevitably lead to fouls as United's quick counter-attacks are broken up. Everton's revamped midfield will operate at the edge of their aggression. With Manuel Ugarte and Carlos Baleba both out with serious injuries, Manchester United's centre of midfield looks vulnerable. The visitors' midfielders will be forced into frequent fouls to contain the hosts' sharp forward bursts. The Everton crowd in Liverpool always drives the team on, raising the emotional temperature. Players will go into tough challenges, and in matches against top clubs that often results in bookings for rough play or unsporting behaviour. Our prediction is Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5, priced at 1.65*.

    🚀 Player Stat Bet

    Bruno Fernandes saved Manchester United from dropping points last matchday, scoring a hat-trick against Ipswich. We don't think there will be many goals in this one - it's an away match against a side that defends well, and goals from midfielders seem even less likely. But United should find a goal here, and we see the top assist-maker of last season in the Premier League as the most likely creator, finding a partner in attack with a quality assist. Our bet is Bruno Fernandes to Assist - Yes, priced at 3*.

    😱 Risky Bet

    Manchester United conceded before half-time in both of their opening fixtures. Hull City scored twice in the first half and effectively closed the game out in the first period. Ipswich also scored first and forced Manchester United to chase the game in the first half. For those looking for a risky bet, we suggest the following: Everton Handicap (-0.5) - 1st Half, odds 3.8*.

    🎯 Reliable Bet

    Manchester United have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 away Premier League matches. Their recent away form backs this up further, with an average of 1.2 goals per game. That provides a solid basis for backing Manchester United Team Total - Under 2.5 Goals.

    👀 If the match doesn't go to script

    If the game follows a scenario where Everton score first early on and Manchester United are forced to chase it, the visitors would need to leave their defence exposed. In that case, it's quite possible that Total Goals - Over 2.5 could come in, with bookmakers offering odds of 1.7*.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐️ Editorial Prediction

    Everton have been very disciplined in their opening official matches of the season, keeping things tight at the back and conceding just one goal in three games. They will look to sit deep and defend solidly, with the occasional counter-attack. Manchester United face a tough trip to Hill Dickinson Stadium, where scoring will be far more difficult than it was in the recent match against Ipswich, where both sides played open football. Our main prediction is Total Goals - Under 3. Predicted score: 1-1.

    Total goals Under (3)
    Bovada
    Place a bet-139
    Published: 05/09/2026, 06:25
    Daniil Shilovich
    Daniil Shilovich
    Football expert
    23
    1
    20
    44 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

    No comments

    Minimum 20 characters, maximum 500 characters

    Betting Tips: Everton - Manchester United

    Everton have not won:
    everton-fc-1manchester-united-2in 9 of last 10 games against Manchester United.
    everton-fc-1manchester-united-2in 7 of last 8 games against Manchester United (Premier League).
    everton-fc-1manchester-united-2in 6 of last 7 home games against Manchester United (Premier League).
    everton-fc-1in 8 of last 9 games (Premier League).
    Manchester United have not lost:
    manchester-united-2in 7 of last 8 games (Premier League).
    Manchester United will not lose
    Everygame
    -357
    Everton have conceded:
    everton-fc-1manchester-united-2in 9 of last 10 games against Manchester United.
    everton-fc-1manchester-united-2in 7 of last 8 home games against Manchester United.
    everton-fc-1in 8 of last 9 games (Premier League).
    Manchester United have scored:
    manchester-united-2in 27 of last 29 games.
    manchester-united-2in 26 of last 28 games (Premier League).
    manchester-united-2in 16 of last 18 away games (Premier League).
    Manchester United will score goal
    Everygame
    -714
    Everton have scored under 1.5 goals:
    everton-fc-1manchester-united-2in 9 of last 10 games against Manchester United (Premier League).
    everton-fc-1manchester-united-2in 7 of last 8 home games against Manchester United.
    everton-fc-1manchester-united-2in 6 of last 7 home games against Manchester United (Premier League).
    Everton Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    -189
    Everton have scored:
    everton-fc-1in 11 of last 12 home games.
    everton-fc-1in 10 of last 11 games.
    everton-fc-1in 9 of last 10 games (Premier League).
    Everton will score goal
    Everygame
    -303
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    2 - Losses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 3
    Losses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 9
    +5
    +7
    21 - Scored
    14 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    4
    4
    Draws
    3
    2
    Losses
    3
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    21
    9
    Conceded
    14
    2.3
    Average total per match
    3.5
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.1
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.4
    4
    Both teams scored
    6
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    43'
    View all stats