Albion vs Progreso Prediction 7 September 2026
🔊 Albion and Progreso meet in the latest round of the Uruguayan Primera División, with both sides going through a difficult spell - each has won just once in their last five matches. Their league positions reflect that: Albion are bottom of the table, while Progreso sit 12th.
The hosts are looking to end a prolonged run of poor results and give their supporters something to cheer for the first time in a while. Progreso, for their part, are aiming to pull further clear of the relegation zone and show they can compete for survival.
This is a meeting of two clubs for whom every match is critical in the fight to stay in the top flight. Points here could prove decisive for both sides in what is a straight contest between two of the division's strugglers.
Head-to-Head
📊 In official meetings, Albion and Progreso have faced each other six times. The hosts have won three of those, the visitors two, with one match ending in a draw. Albion also have the edge in goals scored - 11 against Progreso's 8. The average number of goals per game between the two sides is 3.17.
Head-to-head statistics Albion - Progreso
Albion Team Overview
Albion have managed just one win in their last five matches, losing three and drawing one. Over their last ten matches, they have won only twice and lost five times. Their attack has been average over that period - one goal per game - while their defence has been slightly more reliable, conceding 1.3 goals per game over the same ten matches. At home they drop points regularly, and their defence doesn't always deal with straightforward situations: Albion have conceded at least one goal in 11 of their last 12 home matches. Their league position no longer has any bearing on their mindset - motivation is minimal.
Match Results: Albion
Progreso Team Overview
Progreso are having a poor season: just two wins and eight defeats in their last ten matches point to clear problems picking up points. They have lost four of their previous five matches in a row, which reflects a prolonged dip in form. Their attack has barely functioned, averaging just 0.5 goals per game over their last ten matches, while they have been conceding consistently more than one - 1.4 per game. These difficulties are particularly acute away from home, where the trend shows nine defeats in their last ten away matches.
Match Results: Progreso
Corners Prediction
In 14 of their last 16 matches, Albion have taken fewer than 5.5 corners, which shows a consistent tendency towards a low corner count. A bet on Albion's team total corners under 5.5 looks justified given how frequently this trend has come in. Our pick is Albion Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 at odds of 1.77*.
Risky Bet
Although Albion don't win by big margins very often, Progreso have lost away from home in 9 of their last 10 matches, and their season figures for goals conceded on the road remain high at an average of 1.38 per game. If Albion take their chances, the handicap (-1) option could pay off, though there is some uncertainty given the low scoring rate of both sides. Our pick: Albion to win with Handicap (-1) at odds of 3.20*.
Safe Bet
Progreso don't score much, but Albion rarely win by a big margin either - at home they average 1.92 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. The trends show that Albion have failed to win in 8 of their last 9 matches, while Progreso have lost away in 9 of their last 10, but mostly by a narrow margin. Progreso Handicap +1.5 looks like the most protected option given these starting points, priced at 1.20*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines are 1:1 (13.13%), 1:0 (11.14%) and 0:0 (9.02%). All three fit a general low-scoring pattern, with a 1:1 draw being the single most probable outcome. The probabilities are fairly evenly spread across the top three, with no clear frontrunner.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Progreso's poor away form is backed up by their season statistics and recent results: the team rarely pick up points on the road and almost always lose, even without any pressure from the table. Despite neither side having a clear motivation, Progreso's run of poor results makes them the obvious underdogs against Albion, even accounting for the hosts' inconsistent form in the second half of the season. The editorial's main prediction is an Albion win.
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Betting Tips: Albion - Progreso
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