Vitoria vs Atletico PR Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 6 August 2026
🔊 The Copa do Brasil Round of 16 second leg between Vitória and Atlético Paranaense takes place at the Estádio Manoel Barradas in Salvador. The first match in Curitiba ended in a comfortable 2-0 win for Atlético Paranaense, so the hosts need to overturn a serious deficit. For Vitória, this is just about their last chance to stay alive in the Copa do Brasil; the visitors, meanwhile, just need to manage what they've already earned and avoid throwing it away.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the two sides took place on 04 August 2026 and ended 2-0. Here's the key stats from that game (Atletico Paranaense were the home side):
- possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corners: 5 vs 0;
- fouls: 16 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 0.
📊 Head-to-head stats from official meetings between Vitoria and Atletico Paranaense:
- 27 matches played;
- home wins: 12, away wins: 13, draws: 2;
- goals: 41 vs 48;
- average first-half total: 1.56, second-half: 1.74;
- average total goals per match: 3.3.
Head-to-head statistics Vitoria - Atletico PR
Vitoria Team Overview
The first leg was a tough night for Jair Ventura's side. Vitória created almost nothing going forward and didn't manage a single genuinely dangerous shot in 90 minutes. The stats told the same story - they were outplayed in nearly every key area. Vitória had 43% possession, the xG gap was significant at 1.48 vs 0.61, and the hosts led in shots 16-6, shots on target 5-0. Corners were just as one-sided - 5-0 in Atlético's favour. On top of that, Vitória have lost their last three matches and failed to score in four of the five before those.
Now they need to completely change how they play. They have to push forward from the first minute and find an early goal - otherwise this tie is effectively over. The Salvadorans have a decent record at Estádio Manoel Barradas, winning seven of their last eight home matches. But in seven of the last eight meetings with Atlético Paranaense, os Leões da Barra have come out on the losing side.
Match Results: Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense Team Overview
Atletico Paranaense are having a remarkable season. The win over Vitoria extended Odair Hellmann's side's unbeaten run to eight matches across all competitions - five wins and three draws. The Hurricane didn't just build a comfortable lead in Curitiba, they controlled the whole thing. A goal on the ninth minute let the hosts play at their own pace, and the second after the break settled the first-leg result pretty much for good.
The key thing for Hellmann's side now is that there's no need to push. Atletico can sit back, let the opposition have the ball and use the space in behind. The form is there too - five wins from their last six competitive matches. And historically, Vitoria is a good opponent for them: Atletico have scored against them in 15 consecutive head-to-head meetings.
Match Results: Atletico Paranaense
Total Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average total):
- home side - 1.52, away side - 1.78;
- in head-to-head matches - 3.3;
- both teams scored: all time - 17 times; at the home team's ground - 9 times.
Average total stats: Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense
- in the tournament: 2.33 vs 0.67;
- goals scored: 1 vs 0.67;
- 1st half: 0.67 vs 0.33;
- 2nd half: 0.33 vs 0.33;
- Vitoria: at home in the tournament - 2;
- Atletico Paranaense: away in the tournament - 0;
- last 10 matches: 1.2 (home - 1.25) vs 1 (away - 0.8).
- Vitoria have conceded in 15 consecutive head-to-head matches between these sides.
- Vitoria have conceded at home in 11 of their last 12 head-to-head meetings.
Corner Kick Prediction
Vitória: Stats
- season: average total in the tournament - 0.67; at home - 1;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.2; at home - 4.
Athletico Paranaense: Stats
- season: average total in the tournament - 3.67; away - 1;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.9; away - 3.8.
Correct Score Prediction
Most common results this season:
- most frequent score in the tournament: 1:1 (21/136, 15.4%);
- Vitoria at home most often finish matches: 2:0 (1/1, 100%);
- Atletico Paranaense away most often play: 0:0 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:0 - 23.32% (odds 2.3)
1:0 - 17.68% (odds 4)
0:1 - 16.45% (odds 4.2)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The first leg showed a noticeable difference in class. Athletico Paranaense were stronger in almost every statistical aspect and deservedly secured a two-goal advantage. Now Vitória are forced to take risks, and this scenario suits the visitors, who are highly effective at exploiting open spaces.
The hosts are expected to start the match aggressively, but Vitória are currently experiencing a difficult period and have serious problems with scoring goals. The visitors have all the qualities needed to take advantage of counter-attacking opportunities and protect their advantage.
Editorial prediction - Athletico Paranaense to score in the second half, as Vitória have conceded after the break in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head meetings with this opponent. Predicted score - 0:1.
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Betting Tips: Vitoria - Atletico Paranaense
in 7 of last 8 home games.
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in 7 of last 8 games against Atletico Paranaense.in 11 of last 12 home games.Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
