Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction 5 August 2026
๐ Two rounds in, and these two sides arrive in very different moods. Millonarios bounced back from a poor start with an important away win, while Deportivo Pasto are still waiting for their first points. For the hosts, this is a chance to build on that momentum - for the visitors, a chance to finally turn things around. Playing in Bogotรก is never easy, though, and that could matter here.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between these two sides took place on 29 January 2026 and ended 2-1. Here's the comparative stats from that game (home side - Deportivo Pasto):
- possession: 69% vs 31%;
- corners: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 9 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 4.
๐ The last meeting between these two came in January this year - Deportivo Pasto won it 2:1. That game had its own dynamic, though. Millonarios went down to ten men in the first half, which changed everything. At home in Bogotรก it's usually a different story. Millonarios are more comfortable on their own patch, and matches between these sides tend to be physical, with plenty of fouls.
Head-to-head statistics Millonarios - Deportivo Pasto
Millonarios Team Overview
The team's last official match was played on in the Primera A, with Atletico Junior as the home side and Millonarios as the visitors. The match ended 0:1.
Match stats (Millonarios vs Atletico Junior):
- possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corners: 7 vs 2;
- fouls: 15 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 1.
The Clausura got off to a mixed start. A home defeat to Atletico Bucaramanga was a nasty surprise, but they bounced back quickly in the second round - a goal in the first minute of stoppage time sealed the win over Junior, showing the hosts will fight until the final whistle.
In attack, a lot runs through Rodrigo Contreras, who regularly takes on the finishing role, while Andrey Estupinan handles the buildup play. And then there's El Campin - sitting at over 2,600 metres above sea level, it's an extra test for any visiting side.
Match Results: Millonarios
Pasto Team Overview
The away side's last official match took place in the Primera A, with Deportivo Pasto at home and Rionegro รguilas as the visitors. Final score: 1-2.
Match stats (Deportivo Pasto vs Rionegro รguilas):
- Possession: 45% vs 55%;
- Corners: 3 vs 5;
- Fouls: 9 vs 12;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 9.
The visitors have had a much harder start to the new phase of the season. Two straight defeats have left them without a point, and defensive problems have again been at the heart of it. Away from home, Deportivo Pasto look particularly vulnerable - the losing run on the road keeps going.
There are players up front who can change a game in a single moment. Santiago Cordoba remains the main threat in attack, while Sebastian Valencia Isasa tries to link midfield and attack. But without a more reliable backline, getting anything from a trip to Bogota looks very difficult.
Match Results: Pasto
Total Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average total):
- home side: 1.34, away side: 1;
- in head-to-head matches: 2.34;
- both teams scored: all time: 21 times; at the home team's ground: 10 times.
Average total stats: Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto
- in the tournament: 2.67 vs 2.83;
- goals scored: 1.52 vs 1.39;
- 1st half: 0.62 vs 0.7;
- 2nd half: 0.9 vs 0.7;
- Millonarios: at home in the tournament: 1.73;
- Deportivo Pasto: away in the tournament: 1.5;
- last 10 matches: 2.3 (home: 1) vs 1.4 (away: 2.2).
- Millonarios have scored under 2.5 goals at home in 12 of their last 14 matches (Primera A).
- Millonarios have scored under 2.5 goals in 8 matches in a row (Primera A).
Corners Prediction
Millonarios: Stats
- Season: average total in the league - 6; at home - 7.45;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 6.9; at home - 6.25.
Deportivo Pasto: Stats
- Season: average total in the league - 4; away - 3.7;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4; away - 2.8.
- Millonarios have taken more than 4.5 corners in 7 of their last 8 matches (Primera A).
Both Teams To Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- matches played - 41;
- both teams scored - 21 times overall;
- at the home team's ground - 10 times.
Correct Score Prediction
Most common scorelines this season:
- most frequent result in the tournament: 1-1 (34/222, 15.3%);
- Millonarios at home most often finish matches: 2-0 (2/11, 18.2%);
- Deportivo Pasto away most often play: 1-2 (2/10, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1-1 - 11.05% (odds 7)
1-0 - 10.43% (odds 6.5)
2-1 - 10.05% (odds 7.5)
โญ๏ธ Editor's Prediction
Millonarios go into this match in the better position. The win last round took some pressure off after a rough start, and home advantage is a real factor for the Bogotรก side. Deportivo Pasto, meanwhile, can't seem to find a way out of their slump.
The numbers back the hosts too. Deportivo Pasto have lost seven of their last eight matches, including six straight in Primera A. Given where both teams are right now, the logical call is a Millonarios win.
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Betting Tips: Millonarios - Pasto
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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