Juventude vs Atl. Mineiro Prediction 4 August 2026
🔊 The second leg of the Copa do Brasil Round of 16 between Juventude and Atletico Mineiro takes place at the Alfredo Jaconi stadium. The first match at Arena MRV ended goalless, so the quarter-final spot is still completely up for grabs. Juventude now have the advantage - they play the decisive match at home. For Atletico Mineiro, things are less comfortable: they were the favourites going into the tie and had the better of the first leg, but couldn't convert the chances they created. Now Galo need to go and win away from home, while keeping things tight at the back - conceding will make their job considerably harder.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between these two sides took place on 01 August 2026 and ended 0-0. Here's the key stats from that game (Atletico Mineiro were the home side):
- possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corners: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 12 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview from official meetings between Juventude and Atletico Mineiro:
- 11 matches played;
- home wins - 1, away wins - 7, draws - 3;
- goals scored - 9 vs 16;
- average first-half total - 0.82, second-half - 1.45;
- average total goals per match - 2.27.
Head-to-head statistics Juventude - Atl. Mineiro
Juventude Team Overview
The team's last official match was played on in the Copa do Brasil (Atletico Mineiro at home, Juventude away). It finished 0-0.
Match stats (Juventude vs Atletico Mineiro):
- possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corners: 1 vs 7;
- fouls: 12 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 6.
Juventude got exactly the scenario they were hoping for going into the first leg. The plan was to travel to Arena MRV, keep Atletico Mineiro's attack in check, and leave the tie open for the home match - and that's what they did.
Juve were outpossessed in that first match (40% to 60%), but they defended well without the ball and didn't let Atletico turn their territorial dominance into a string of clear chances. The hosts did edge the xG - 1.10 to 0.73 - but the visitors held firm and kept a clean sheet.
The shot numbers tell the same story: Atletico attacked more, firing 17 shots to Juventude's 11, and led 6-2 on shots on target. Juventude stayed compact, cut off space in the box, and relied on the occasional opportunity going forward.
Now things shift. At home, they don't need to spend the whole match sitting deep - they can afford to be more aggressive. The Parrots have won their last six home games. The key advantage is still their organisation: Juventude know that even one goal forces Atletico Mineiro to open up and leave space on the counter.
Match Results: Juventude
Atletico Mineiro Team Overview
The visitors' last official match was played in the Copa do Brasil (Atletico Mineiro at home, Juventude away). It finished 0-0.
Match stats (Atletico Mineiro vs Juventude):
- possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corners: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 12 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
Atletico Mineiro can only be unhappy with the result from the first leg. In terms of play, they were the better side - more possession, more threat on goal, and an edge in almost every key attacking stat.
Galo created more chances and won corners at a rate of 7:1. They worked the flanks well and regularly got into dangerous positions, but finishing was the problem again. The 0-0 draw leaves Atletico Mineiro needing to prove their superiority away from home.
In the Copa do Brasil, they already came through a tough two-legged tie against Ceara - home wins for both sides (2:1 and 1:2), then Galo went through on penalties. That experience could matter here. They know what it's like when one mistake ends everything.
The main question is whether they can sharpen their finishing. The first leg showed they can get through Juventude's defence - now they need to actually score. That said, the hosts at Alfredo Jaconi have kept six clean sheets in a row.
Match Results: Atletico Mineiro
Total Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average total):
- home team - 0,82, away team - 1,45;
- in head-to-head matches - 2,27;
- both teams scored: 5 times overall; 4 times on the home team's field.
Average total statistics: Juventude vs Atletico Mineiro
- in the tournament: 2,5 vs 2;
- goals scored: 2 vs 1;
- in the 1st half: 0,83 vs 0,33;
- in the 2nd half: 1,17 vs 0,67;
- Juventude: at home in the tournament - 3,67;
- Atletico Mineiro: away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches: 1,3 (home - 1,8) vs 1,2 (away - 1).
- Atletico Mineiro have conceded away goals in 9 of their last 10 matches.
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent results this season:
- most common scoreline in the tournament: 1:1 (21/133, 15.8%);
- Juventude at home most often finish matches: 3:0, 3:1, 5:0 (1/3, 33.3%);
- Atletico Mineiro away most often play: 2:1 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.93% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 11.91% (odds 8.25)
2:0 - 11.38% (odds 13.5)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The first leg showed the difference in styles: Atletico Mineiro controlled the game and created more chances, while Juventude relied on discipline and defensive structure. The 0-0 leaves the home side in a decent position ahead of the second leg.
On their own ground, Juventude will likely push forward more, but Atletico have the stronger squad and already showed in the first match that they can create pressure even against an organised defence. That said, Galo have had problems at the back away from home - they've conceded in 9 of their last 10 away games.
Our prediction is total goals under 2.5, which landed in 7 of Juventude's last 8 matches. Expect a cautious start, though Atletico will need to pick up the pace and take risks as the game goes on. The Scores24 editorial team sees this one ending 1-1 in normal time.
No comments
Betting Tips: Juventude - Atletico Mineiro
in last 7 games against Atletico Mineiro.
in last 6 home games..svg)
in 8 of last 9 games against Atletico Mineiro.in 7 of last 8 games.in 13 of last 14 home games.in 8 of last 9 games.Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
